How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/2100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Lakeville vs Eagan-1.8-0.9+2.5
-8.2-2.2+10.9
+6.9*+0.2-8.8
-2.2-0.4+2.9
Edina vs Tonka+0.2+0.2-0.2
+0.2+0.3-0.2
+0.2*-0.0-0.2
Fusion 2 vs Orono+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2+0.2-0.2
+0.2-0.2-0.2
+0.0+0.1-0.0
STMA vs MU*+0.0+0.3-0.1
North Metro vs Gitchi Gummi+0.1-0.2*-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/9100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Eagan vs Prior Lake+1.8-1.2-2.0
+8.3-4.2-9.8
-7.6+2.2+9.3
+2.3-1.0-2.7
Orono vs Tonka+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.2*+0.1-0.2
+0.2*+0.1-0.2
Three Rivers vs Maplebrook*+0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Eagan finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleState1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829RelegatedCount
3010-0-099.3%Yes991No1,680
289-1-097.2Yes9730No2,352
279-0-191.7Yes9280No13,726
268-2-081.7Yes82172No1,789
258-1-175.1Yes752220No21,512
248-0-255.3Yes55359100No62,252
7-3-058.1Yes583381No864
237-2-134.3Yes344120410No15,085
227-1-218.4100.0%183729123000No87,654
6-4-022.5Yes2238271020No249
217-0-35.198.851930261451000No169,722
6-3-16.199.3621322412410No6,273
206-2-21.494.51820282413410000No54,095
5-5-0NoYes1310422312No60
196-1-30.278.50281926241462000No206,868
5-4-10.283.7041021262211410No1,782
186-0-40.029.20013917232215721000No299,162
5-3-2No35.4014112024211252000No18,940*
175-2-3No5.800015122225201141000No108,517
4-5-1No9.401813252418711No277
165-1-4No0.200014111924211362000No313,284
4-4-2No0.4002514212419113100No4,106*
155-0-5NoNo001371421221710410000No360,297
4-3-3No0.00001391722211583100No31,740*
144-2-4NoNo0001513222519103100No136,285
3-5-2NoNo038162622157210No567
134-1-5NoNo0001512212420114100000.0%313,740
3-4-3NoNo0127152323189310No5,573*
124-0-6NoNo00013817232215720002.8298,888
3-3-4NoNo00141018242113620002.031,564*
113-2-5NoNo0013818252414610021.5108,986
2-5-3NoNo0148212623114116.8564
103-1-6NoNo000271524251772051.8207,415
2-4-4NoNo00281825241561046.44,074*
93-0-7NoNo000131022292310285.5169,958
2-3-5NoNo0014112328229284.118,733*
82-2-6NoNo000310233324797.053,280
1-5-4NoNo129303419597.1274
72-1-7NoNo0021128382199.687,314
1-4-5NoNo021028401999.51,643
62-0-8NoNo0002144044100.062,549
1-3-6NoNo003154043100.06,110*
51-2-7NoNo0163162Yes14,979*
41-1-8NoNo032374Yes21,329
0-4-6NoNo032571Yes240
31-0-9NoNo01090Yes13,485
0-3-7NoNo11090Yes862
20-2-8NoNo0595Yes1,887
10-1-9NoNo397Yes2,311
00-0-10NoNo199Yes1,634
Total:3.0%20.8%3344444433444443444444444333017.0%3,346,530

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship