Tonka Blue Title Chances 2017 50/50Plays MU 1, title odds up 0.06 to 6.1% 3 points 1-0-0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 5/1 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | State | 100.0* | C3 | 100.0* | Average seed | Fusion 2 vs Tonka Blue | -3.6-1.7+3.9 | | -12.1-3.8+12.8 | | +6.3+1.1-6.5 | | -2.2-0.5+2.3 | | Blackhawks 1 vs Blackhawks 2 | *+0.1+0.3-0.1 | | *+0.1+0.6-0.2 | | +0.2*-0.0-0.2 | | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | | Obrien Rebels vs Maplebrook | *+0.0+0.3-0.1 | | | | | | *-0.0+0.1-0.0 | | SCV Academy vs SCV Elite | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | | +0.2*+0.3-0.3 | | | | | | RYSA vs MU 2 | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | | | | | | | | Blaine vs Coon Rapids | | | *+0.1+0.4-0.2 | | | | | | Lakeville vs MTA | | | | | | | -0.0+0.1*+0.0 | | Shakopee vs Valley United | | | | | | | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | EPSC vs Edina | | | | | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 5/8 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | State | 100.0* | C3 | 100.0* | Average seed | MU 1 vs Tonka Blue | -3.6-1.8+3.9 | | -11.9-4.1+12.6 | | +6.4+1.0-6.6 | | -2.2-0.5+2.3 | | Maplebrook vs Gitchi Gummi | -0.2+0.2+0.2 | | -0.3*+0.4+0.2 | | -0.1*-0.1+0.1 | | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | | Lakeville vs RYSA | -0.1*+0.1+0.1 | | -0.2+0.4*+0.1 | | | | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | | Coon Rapids vs NW Kickers | | | *+0.1+0.5-0.2 | | +0.1*-0.1-0.1 | | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Tonka Blue finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | State | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | C3 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 30 | | 9 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 99.1 | % | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,384 | | 28 | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 98.2 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,010 | | 27 | | 8 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 93.2 | | Yes | 93 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 11,453 | | 26 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 85.5 | | Yes | 85 | 14 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,344 | | 25 | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 79.2 | | Yes | 79 | 19 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 15,519 | | 24 | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 60.9 | | Yes | 61 | 32 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 44,931 | | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 65.6 | | Yes | 66 | 30 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 587 | | 23 | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 43.4 | | Yes | 43 | 40 | 14 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,708 | | 22 | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 24.6 | | 100.0 | % | 25 | 40 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 54,967 | | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 24.7 | | Yes | 25 | 42 | 24 | 6 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 158 | | 21 | | 6 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 7.9 | | 99.5 | | 8 | 25 | 32 | 23 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 105,122 | | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 10.0 | | 99.7 | | 10 | 28 | 32 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,248 | | 20 | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 2.6 | | 97.9 | | 3 | 13 | 26 | 30 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 28,481 | | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 7.1 | | 92.9 | | 7 | 29 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 11 | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 28 | | 19 | | 5 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 0.5 | | 89.3 | | 1 | 4 | 14 | 25 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 110,174 | | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 1.6 | | 91.7 | | 2 | 5 | 18 | 25 | 27 | 16 | 7 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 746 | | 18 | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 0.0 | | 43.3 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 22 | 24 | 18 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 156,827 | | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | 51.7 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 24 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,358 | | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 0 | No | Yes | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2 | | 17 | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | 14.5 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 26 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 47,962 | | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 1 | No | 17.4 | | | | 1 | | 4 | 12 | 34 | 28 | 12 | 5 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 92 | | 16 | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 4 | No | 1.1 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 25 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 137,024 | | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 2 | No | 2.1 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 24 | 23 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,422 | * | 15 | | 4 | - | 0 | - | 5 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 157,478 | | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 3 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 23 | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 10,839 | | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 1 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 25 | 13 | 25 | 13 | 13 | 13 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8 | | 14 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 26 | 24 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 0.0 | % | 47,806 | | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 22 | 22 | 13 | 2 | 3 | | | | | | | | | No | 175 | | 13 | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 25 | 23 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.2 | | 109,178 | | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 22 | 27 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | 0.1 | | 1,525 | * | 12 | | 3 | - | 0 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 23 | 24 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 10.9 | | 104,947 | | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 24 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | 8.3 | | 8,263 | | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 50 | | 25 | 25 | | | | | | | No | 8 | | 11 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 27 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | 42.1 | | 28,945 | | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 13 | 29 | 19 | 23 | 9 | 1 | 1 | | | 34.4 | | 90 | | 10 | | 2 | - | 1 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 27 | 26 | 15 | 5 | 1 | | 73.4 | | 54,907 | | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 29 | 24 | 13 | 4 | | | 69.9 | | 724 | | 9 | | 2 | - | 0 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 26 | 31 | 19 | 5 | | 95.1 | | 44,974 | | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 28 | 33 | 15 | 4 | | 94.3 | | 3,311 | | | 0 | - | 6 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 40 | 40 | 20 | | | Yes | 5 | | 8 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 31 | 35 | 13 | | 99.3 | | 9,547 | | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 15 | 45 | 30 | 10 | | Yes | 20 | | 7 | | 1 | - | 1 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 40 | 33 | | 100.0 | | 15,518 | | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 5 | 22 | 36 | 36 | | Yes | 157 | | 6 | | 1 | - | 0 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 34 | 57 | | Yes | 11,370 | | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 9 | 38 | 52 | | Yes | 546 | | 5 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 26 | 70 | | Yes | 1,408 | | 4 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 17 | 82 | | Yes | 2,023 | | 3 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 93 | | Yes | 1,389 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 6.1 | % | 33.7 | % | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | | 11.3 | % | 1,356,708 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |