SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/1100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*C3100.0*Average seed
Fusion 2 vs Tonka Blue-4.7-2.4+4.7
-13.9-3.7+13.5
+2.8*+0.1-2.6
-2.0-0.4+1.9
Blackhawks 1 vs Blackhawks 2+0.4+0.3-0.4
+0.2+0.7-0.3
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Obrien Rebels vs Maplebrook+0.3+0.3-0.3
+0.3+0.6-0.4
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Shakopee vs Valley United-0.3+0.4+0.3
-0.2+0.6+0.2
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.0
EPSC vs Edina+0.2+0.2-0.2
+0.3+0.4-0.3
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
SCV Academy vs SCV Elite+0.2+0.2-0.2
+0.5+0.5-0.5
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Keliix vs MU 1-0.1+0.3+0.2
-0.4+0.5+1.0
-0.1*+0.0+0.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Blaine vs Coon Rapids+0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.3+0.5-0.3
+0.1-0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.0
RYSA vs MU 2+0.1*+0.1-0.1
+0.3+0.5-0.4
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/8100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*C3100.0*Average seed
MU 1 vs Tonka Blue-5.0-2.9+3.8
-15.1-5.6+11.2
+3.6+0.6-2.5
-2.2-0.7+1.6
Coon Rapids vs NW Kickers+0.9+0.6-0.5
+0.4+0.4-0.2
+0.2*-0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Maplebrook vs Gitchi Gummi-0.3+0.3+0.5
-0.4+0.5+0.8
-0.1*-0.0+0.2
Edina vs Fusion 2-0.2*+0.1+0.3
-0.3+0.4+0.5
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Blackhawks 1 vs SCV Elite*+0.0+0.3-0.1
*+0.0+0.7-0.2
*-0.0+0.1-0.0
Lakeville vs RYSA-0.1*+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.5+0.4
-0.0*-0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Obrien Rebels vs TwinStars-0.1+0.4*+0.0
Fusion 1 vs EPSC+0.3+0.3-0.3
+0.1*-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Tonka Blue finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleState1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526C3Count
309-0-098.7%Yes9910No11,149
288-1-096.8Yes9730No14,978
278-0-187.9Yes881110No78,293
267-2-075.0Yes752320No9,574
257-1-166.5Yes6729500No98,165
247-0-241.9Yes424015300No250,315
6-3-048.1Yes483712300No3,590
236-2-123.9100.0%2441268100No53,092
226-1-211.399.9113133186100No270,261
5-4-015.1Yes1532331450No801
216-0-32.697.631326291982000No454,554
5-3-13.398.33152929176200No16,710
205-2-20.591.514152628187200No124,910
4-5-01.698.425143328172No126
195-1-30.173.70151525261772000No417,718
4-4-10.280.102818272514510No3,167
185-0-40.025.70002716242416720000No519,676
4-3-2No31.701391925221361000No31,863
3-6-0No66.71111442211No9
174-2-3No6.300151424271882000No159,836
3-5-1No10.102716292316610No367
164-1-4No0.5000281725241562000No394,614
3-4-2No0.701410202622124100No4,916*
154-0-5No0.000002715232317831000No387,574
3-3-3No0.0001391824221462000No32,345
2-6-1NoNo442323191944No26
143-2-4NoNo001310212722124100No119,122
2-5-2NoNo1412272818820No433
133-1-5NoNo0001614232618820000.0%234,174
2-4-3NoNo00271626251662000.03,569*
123-0-6NoNo000151222262010310004.1189,208
2-3-4NoNo00261524251782002.517,905
1-6-2NoNo12202028164No25
112-2-5NoNo0002718272515510021.153,115
1-5-3NoNo159152428134118.3241
102-1-6NoNo000161626261761050.884,126
1-4-4NoNo0271726271641048.11,342*
92-0-7NoNo00003112330229185.658,259
1-3-5NoNo014132330207182.35,256
0-6-3NoNo255025Yes4
81-2-6NoNo00312263321596.712,621
0-5-4NoNo217302322698.464
71-1-7NoNo0031331361799.717,375
0-4-5NoNo131531341698.9178
61-0-8NoNo003174139100.010,260
0-3-6NoNo03174436Yes615
50-2-7NoNo01103455Yes1,303
40-1-8NoNo032770Yes1,504
30-0-9NoNo0991Yes1,212
Total:8.0%44.1%88877766555443332222111103.9%4,150,540

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:12 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)