How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/1100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*C3100.0*Average seed
Obrien Rebels vs Maplebrook+2.7-1.2-2.4
+10.5-3.6-9.9
-9.0+1.8+8.7
+2.3-0.6-2.2
Blackhawks 1 vs Blackhawks 2*+0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.2*-0.2-0.2
-0.0+0.1+0.0
SCV Academy vs SCV Elite+0.1*+0.1-0.1
*+0.1+0.5-0.2
+0.0+0.1-0.0
EPSC vs Edina+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Shakopee vs Valley United+0.0*+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/8100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*C3100.0*Average seed
Obrien Rebels vs TwinStars+2.6-1.1-2.4
+10.3-3.4-9.7
-9.2+1.9+8.9
+2.3-0.6-2.2
Obrien Rebels vs Coon Rapids+2.6-1.2-2.4
+10.3-3.6-9.7
-9.2+1.8+8.9
+2.3-0.6-2.2
Edina vs Fusion 2-0.1+0.2*+0.0
-0.2*+0.1+0.2
MU 1 vs Tonka Blue+0.1*+0.1-0.1
+0.2*+0.2-0.2
+0.2*-0.1-0.2
Lakeville vs RYSA-0.2*-0.1+0.2
Maplebrook vs Gitchi Gummi-0.2*-0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Obrien Rebels finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleState1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526C3Count
3010-0-099.3%Yes991No725
289-1-098.1Yes9820No1,028
279-0-193.9Yes9460No5,761
268-2-084.6Yes85141No804
258-1-181.5Yes821710No9,041
248-0-263.4Yes6330610No26,123
7-3-070.9Yes712351No388
237-2-144.8Yes45401320No6,238
227-1-226.2100.0%2641247100No35,918
6-4-042.3Yes4237183No104
217-0-39.299.6926322182000No68,974
6-3-110.799.811313218620No2,497
206-2-23.198.23142729187200No21,876*
196-1-30.690.315152627187200No83,987
5-4-10.593.51718302513510No736
186-0-40.045.800261523241793100No120,728
5-3-20.054.80028192523146200No7,706*
175-2-3No15.3001411212621114100No43,638
4-5-1No19.82414262520621No121
165-1-4No1.20015122225201141000No125,881
4-4-2No1.7017162325167210No1,669
155-0-5No0.000013917222115731000No144,975
4-3-3No0.0001512212320115200No12,818*
144-2-4NoNo00028182624145100No54,660
3-5-2NoNo02122228211040No224
134-1-5NoNo000141020252212510000.2%125,874
3-4-3NoNo015142325191031No2,257*
124-0-6NoNo00013816242416720009.4120,946
3-3-4NoNo00131019252313520006.712,791*
113-2-5NoNo001392027231241040.443,516
2-5-3NoNo1410242721113034.7259
103-1-6NoNo00029192725134069.584,186
2-4-4NoNo01311212721113063.51,654*
93-0-7NoNo0001515283017493.569,582
2-3-5NoNo001617292815492.77,477
1-6-3NoNo8338381391.724
82-2-6NoNo00151732331399.121,918
1-5-4NoNo32193932697.2107
72-1-7NoNo001622413099.936,144
1-4-5NoNo01722432799.9684*
62-0-8NoNo001103554100.026,002
1-3-6NoNo02103652Yes2,553*
51-2-7NoNo042769Yes6,315*
41-1-8NoNo011980Yes9,087
0-4-6NoNo22376Yes115
31-0-9NoNo0793Yes5,736
0-3-7NoNo0793Yes367
20-2-8NoNo0397Yes746
10-1-9NoNo0397Yes1,038
00-0-10NoNo199Yes710
Total:3.8%23.8%4444444444444444444444444020.1%1,356,708

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship