How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/1100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*C3100.0*Average seed
Obrien Rebels vs Maplebrook+1.5-0.7-1.3
+9.4-2.7-8.2
-8.4+1.0+7.6
+2.2-0.5-2.0
Blackhawks 1 vs Blackhawks 2+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.6-0.2
+0.4*-0.0-0.3
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Keliix vs MU 1-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.4+0.7
-0.3*+0.2+0.8
Fusion 2 vs Tonka Blue+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2+0.4-0.3
+0.4*-0.2-0.3
-0.0+0.1+0.0
EPSC vs Edina+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2+0.3-0.2
+0.3*-0.2-0.3
-0.0+0.1+0.0
SCV Academy vs SCV Elite+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.3+0.5-0.3
+0.3-0.3-0.2
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Shakopee vs Valley United-0.1*+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.4+0.2
-0.1*-0.0+0.2
+0.0+0.1-0.0
RYSA vs MU 2+0.2*+0.2-0.2
+0.3-0.2-0.3
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Lakeville vs MTA*+0.0+0.1-0.0
Blaine vs Coon Rapids+0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.2*-0.0-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/8100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*C3100.0*Average seed
Obrien Rebels vs Coon Rapids+1.1-0.8-1.3
+7.4-3.8-8.7
-7.9+2.3+9.6
+1.9-0.8-2.3
Obrien Rebels vs TwinStars+1.1-0.8-1.3
+7.4-3.8-8.7
-7.9+2.4+9.6
+1.9-0.8-2.3
Coon Rapids vs NW Kickers+0.2+0.1-0.1
+0.4*+0.1-0.2
+0.4*+0.1-0.2
MU 1 vs Tonka Blue+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.6+0.4-0.4
+0.6-0.2-0.4
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Edina vs Fusion 2-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.4+0.3
-0.2*-0.0+0.4
Maplebrook vs Gitchi Gummi-0.0*+0.0+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.5
-0.3*+0.2+0.6
Fusion 1 vs EPSC+0.3+0.2-0.3
+0.3-0.3-0.2
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Lakeville vs RYSA-0.2+0.3+0.2
-0.2*-0.1+0.3
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Blackhawks 1 vs SCV Elite*-0.0+0.6-0.1
*-0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Obrien Rebels finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleState1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526C3Count
3010-0-099.3%Yes991No1,459
289-1-097.2Yes973No1,948
279-0-187.7Yes881110No11,999
268-2-075.3Yes752220No1,614
258-1-167.3Yes6728400No20,772
248-0-242.1Yes423915300No62,595
7-3-049.2Yes49391020No826
237-2-124.8Yes254125820No15,046
227-1-211.599.9%1231331861000No92,758
6-4-018.5Yes1933311241No275
217-0-32.697.431226292082000No187,128
6-3-13.298.33152928167100No6,462
206-2-20.690.815152627187200No59,054*
196-1-30.172.4015152527188200No237,442
5-4-10.278.601719272414710No1,822
186-0-40.024.30002716242417820000No355,676
5-3-20.030.500039192523146200No21,610*
175-2-3No5.7000151324271992000No128,042
4-5-1No9.70281825251751No330
165-1-4No0.4000271725241662000No382,096
4-4-2No0.500310212522134100No4,831*
155-0-5No0.000002816232316831000No453,793
4-3-3NoNo01391825221462000No38,481*
144-2-4NoNo001310212722124100No170,909
3-5-2NoNo014132325219300No641
134-1-5NoNo00026152425178200000.0%402,605
3-4-3NoNo00281825251451000.06,827*
124-0-6NoNo00016142325188300003.0393,449
3-3-4NoNo000271625241672002.340,578*
113-2-5NoNo00002919272413410018.7142,443
2-5-3NoNo0151124242284112.7758
103-1-6NoNo000281827241451043.9276,946
2-4-4NoNo13102027221341039.65,327*
93-0-7NoNo0015142528197179.8230,426
2-3-5NoNo0015152628176178.525,075*
82-2-6NoNo001414283118495.072,742
1-5-4NoNo11616302519393.2381
72-1-7NoNo00151732321399.1119,891
1-4-5NoNo0151732321399.22,209*
62-0-8NoNo001520413399.985,973
1-3-6NoNo01521423299.98,407*
51-2-7NoNo01113850Yes20,798
0-5-5NoNo544051Yes84
41-1-8NoNo00153064100.029,917
0-4-6NoNo162865Yes377
31-0-9NoNo011584Yes18,605
0-3-7NoNo011485Yes1,225
20-2-8NoNo0891Yes2,571
10-1-9NoNo0595Yes3,131
00-0-10NoNo199Yes2,186
Total:1.8%17.5%2233444445555555555544433017.6%4,150,540

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship