How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/1100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*C3100.0*Average seed
SCV Elite vs North Oaks-2.3-1.4+3.2
-9.6-3.8+13.0
+8.2+1.1-10.7
-2.2-0.4+2.9
Obrien Rebels vs Maplebrook+0.2+0.2-0.2
+0.2+0.3-0.3
+0.2*-0.2-0.2
-0.0+0.1+0.0
EPSC vs Edina+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.2*-0.2-0.2
Shakopee vs Valley United-0.1+0.2+0.2
-0.2*+0.2+0.2
-0.1*+0.0+0.2
Fusion 2 vs Tonka Blue+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.3*+0.2-0.3
+0.2*-0.1-0.2
Keliix vs MU 1-0.1+0.2+0.2
-0.3+0.4+0.8
-0.2*-0.2+0.6
Blackhawks 1 vs Blackhawks 2+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.3+0.5-0.3
+0.2*-0.1-0.2
RYSA vs MU 2+0.1*+0.1-0.1
+0.3*+0.2-0.3
+0.2-0.4-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Blaine vs Coon Rapids+0.3*+0.0-0.2
+0.2-0.4-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.0
SCV Academy vs SCV Elite+0.3+0.4-0.3
+0.3-0.2-0.2
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Lakeville vs MTA*+0.0+0.3-0.1
*+0.0+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/8100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*C3100.0*Average seed
Coon Rapids vs NW Kickers+0.4+0.4-0.3
+0.4*+0.1-0.2
+0.4*-0.1-0.2
MU 1 vs Tonka Blue+0.2+0.2-0.2
+0.6+0.3-0.5
+0.4-0.2-0.3
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Maplebrook vs Gitchi Gummi-0.1+0.2+0.2
-0.3+0.3+0.6
-0.2*-0.1+0.4
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Edina vs Fusion 2-0.1+0.2+0.2
-0.3+0.3+0.4
-0.1*-0.2+0.3
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Fusion 1 vs EPSC+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.3*+0.0-0.3
+0.2-0.2-0.2
Lakeville vs RYSA-0.2*+0.2+0.3
-0.1-0.3+0.2
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Blackhawks 1 vs SCV Elite*-0.0+0.5-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the North Oaks finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleState1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526C3Count
248-0-099.3%Yes991No7,878
227-1-096.2Yes9640No10,668
217-0-178.9Yes7919200No63,580
206-2-071.1Yes7125300No6,650
196-1-128.1100.0%2841236100No78,332
186-0-220.4100.0203828112000No229,651
5-3-024.1Yes244027810No2,361
175-2-18.399.882634228200No41,726
165-1-20.590.8041426281872000No242,308
4-4-01.394.61416292915410No540
155-0-30.051.100161726261661000No468,171
4-3-10.057.4002819282413510No12,192
144-2-2No9.2000271725251662000No106,116
3-5-0No8.83623292311331No80
134-1-3No1.8000271726261661000No409,204
3-4-1No2.9121021282312400No2,110
124-0-4No0.00002615232417931000No590,642
3-3-2NoNo0128172423157200No24,789
2-6-0NoNo333333No6
113-2-3NoNo002717262615610000.0%142,068
2-5-1NoNo0292130251030No247
103-1-4NoNo0001616262617620000.2409,605
2-4-2NoNo028202725134100.13,243
93-0-5NoNo00015132427198200011.1469,011
2-3-3NoNo00161525261772009.124,743
1-6-1NoNo88422517No12
82-2-4NoNo00291927241341042.5105,899
1-5-2NoNo01310242822100133.5212
72-1-5NoNo0001617292915393.1242,618
1-4-3NoNo02618312714392.72,192
62-0-6NoNo00029233425797.7229,468
1-3-4NoNo0029243423797.612,177
0-6-2NoNo141429291485.77
51-2-5NoNo0021028392099.841,653
0-5-3NoNo11336321798.777
41-1-6NoNo001103752100.078,122
0-4-4NoNo2113354Yes546
31-0-7NoNo0022375Yes63,614
0-3-5NoNo22177Yes2,454
20-2-6NoNo00892Yes6,704
10-1-7NoNo0694Yes10,736
00-0-8NoNo0199Yes8,128
Total:3.5%22.3%4433444444444444554434443018.7%4,150,540
Points
Chance Will Win Championship