How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/1100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*C3100.0*Average seed
Blackhawks 1 vs Blackhawks 2*+0.1+0.3-0.1
*-0.0+1.1-0.2
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
EPSC vs Edina+0.1+0.2-0.1
*+0.1+0.7-0.2
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Keliix vs MU 1-0.1+0.2*+0.1
-0.2+1.0*+0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Obrien Rebels vs Maplebrook+0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.2+0.5-0.3
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.0
SCV Academy vs SCV Elite+0.1*+0.1-0.1
+0.2+0.7-0.4
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Shakopee vs Valley United-0.1*+0.2+0.1
-0.2+0.6*+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.0
RYSA vs MU 2*+0.1+0.6-0.2
*+0.0+0.1-0.0
Fusion 2 vs Tonka Blue*+0.1+0.5-0.2
Blaine vs Coon Rapids+0.2*+0.0-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/8100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*C3100.0*Average seed
Coon Rapids vs NW Kickers-3.2-1.6+3.4
-13.4-4.2+14.1
+5.5+0.7-5.6
-2.3-0.5+2.4
Fusion 1 vs EPSC*+0.0+0.2-0.1
*+0.1+0.6-0.2
*-0.0+0.1-0.0
MU 1 vs Tonka Blue+0.1*+0.1-0.2
*+0.2+0.8-0.3
+0.2*-0.2-0.2
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Maplebrook vs Gitchi Gummi-0.2*+0.1+0.1
-0.5*+0.2+0.5
-0.2*+0.0+0.2
Edina vs Fusion 2-0.1+0.2*+0.1
-0.0+0.1*-0.0
Lakeville vs RYSA-0.0+0.1*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NW Kickers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleState1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526C3Count
277-0-093.9%Yes9460No6,124
256-1-079.9Yes801820No7,294
246-0-161.2Yes6132610No41,681
235-2-044.6Yes45401320No3,804
225-1-124.7100.0%2540268100No42,887
215-0-28.299.6825322392000No124,214
4-3-011.299.811293419510No1,165
204-2-12.497.92132630197200No18,824
194-1-20.689.4141425271882000No107,735
3-4-01.291.51415272718611No165
184-0-30.043.900161423241893100No207,885
3-3-10.052.7002718252414620No4,337
173-2-2No14.801311212722114100No37,300
2-5-0No21.1111111322611No19
163-1-3No1.2001412212520114100No143,702
2-4-1No1.711616232320920No541
153-0-4No0.000013916222216831000No206,391
2-3-2No0.0001511192320136100No6,484
1-6-0NoNo5050No2
142-2-3NoNo00029182624145100No37,322
1-5-1NoNo558183218113No38
132-1-4NoNo00014101925221251000.2%108,228
1-4-2NoNo13514212617951No576
122-0-5NoNo00013816242416720009.9124,413
1-3-3NoNo014101726231361006.94,303
0-6-1NoNo5050No2
111-2-4NoNo0013102027231241039.218,632
0-5-2NoNo713277331346.715
101-1-5NoNo00139182725144169.943,120
0-4-3NoNo316182624103163.3196
91-0-6NoNo001515273018493.541,184
0-3-4NoNo01718282815492.41,079
80-2-5NoNo0151733321298.93,744
70-1-6NoNo001622403199.97,227
60-0-7NoNo0193554Yes6,075
Total:4.5%32.6%45666665555554444433222117.9%1,356,708
Points
Chance Will Win Championship