How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/1100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*C3100.0*Average seed
Blackhawks 1 vs Blackhawks 2+0.9+0.6-0.9
+0.2+0.8-0.3
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Keliix vs MU 1-0.5+0.8+1.1
-0.5+0.7+1.0
-0.0+0.1+0.1
EPSC vs Edina+0.7+0.7-0.7
+0.3+0.7-0.4
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Fusion 2 vs Tonka Blue+0.6+0.6-0.7
+0.4+0.3-0.4
Obrien Rebels vs Maplebrook+0.6+0.6-0.6
+0.3+0.5-0.4
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Shakopee vs Valley United-0.5+0.7+0.7
-0.2+0.6+0.3
-0.0+0.1+0.0
SCV Academy vs SCV Elite+0.4+0.4-0.4
+0.5+0.4-0.5
+0.0+0.1-0.1
SCV Elite vs North Oaks*-0.0+0.6-0.1
*-0.0+0.8-0.1
*-0.0+0.1-0.0
RYSA vs MU 2+0.2*+0.2-0.3
+0.4+0.3-0.4
Blaine vs Coon Rapids+0.4+0.2-0.4
Lakeville vs MTA*+0.1+0.4-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/8100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*C3100.0*Average seed
Coon Rapids vs NW Kickers-11.1-6.3+6.2
-19.6-6.0+10.2
+0.6+0.1-0.3
-2.1-0.7+1.1
MU 1 vs Tonka Blue+0.8+0.7-0.7
+0.8+0.5-0.6
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Edina vs Fusion 2-0.6+0.8+0.8
-0.3+0.7+0.4
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Maplebrook vs Gitchi Gummi-0.4+0.6+0.8
-0.5+0.4+0.9
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Blackhawks 1 vs SCV Elite*+0.0+0.6-0.2
*-0.0+0.6-0.1
*-0.0+0.1-0.0
Lakeville vs RYSA-0.2+0.3+0.3
-0.3+0.7+0.4
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Fusion 1 vs EPSC+0.3*+0.1-0.3
+0.4+0.3-0.4
Obrien Rebels vs Coon Rapids*+0.0+0.3-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NW Kickers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleState1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526C3Count
277-0-088.6%Yes891110No211,308
256-1-068.4Yes6827400No180,605
246-0-144.1100.0%4439143000No609,301
235-2-027.5100.027412471000No66,612
225-1-112.799.9133232175100No448,199
215-0-23.098.0314272918720000No745,913
4-3-03.898.8417302715510No13,576
204-2-10.893.1151728271551000No136,228
194-1-20.176.00161626261662000No454,816
3-4-00.282.702820292513410No1,666
184-0-30.026.9000281724241672000No499,136
3-3-1No33.701310202522135100No22,268
173-2-2No7.0000161525261882000No111,148
2-5-0No7.4341625231991No122
163-1-3No0.5000281725241561000No242,735
2-4-1No0.601311212623103100No1,972
153-0-4No0.0001381623231683100No197,207
2-3-2No0.00013101924221462000No13,447
1-6-0NoNo404020No5
142-2-3NoNo001310202723124100No43,648
1-5-1NoNo21010262614912No98
132-1-4NoNo0001614242518820000.0%71,385
1-4-2NoNo00261725231662000.1802
122-0-5NoNo0001514222519931003.546,408
1-3-3NoNo0027162425167202.63,590
0-6-1NoNo100Yes1
111-2-4NoNo002818262514510020.38,621
0-5-2NoNo428122028836.025
101-1-5NoNo000281825251551046.111,132
0-4-3NoNo14820202914547.6105
91-0-6NoNo0015142528196179.96,023
0-3-4NoNo16162331156176.3376
80-2-5NoNo01516233020593.6657
70-1-6NoNo0131635301498.9706
60-0-7NoNo15174036Yes699
Total:16.4%69.5%161512119765433221111100000000.4%4,150,540
Points
Chance Will Win Championship