How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/1100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*C3100.0*Average seed
Obrien Rebels vs Maplebrook-3.7-1.8+4.0
-12.1-4.3+12.9
+6.2+1.1-6.4
-2.2-0.5+2.3
SCV Academy vs SCV Elite+0.2+0.3-0.3
+0.2+0.6-0.3
+0.0+0.1-0.0
EPSC vs Edina*+0.1+0.2-0.1
*+0.1+0.5-0.2
*+0.0+0.1-0.0
Fusion 2 vs Tonka Blue*+0.1+0.2-0.1
Shakopee vs Valley United-0.1*+0.2+0.1
Blaine vs Coon Rapids+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Blackhawks 1 vs Blackhawks 2+0.2*-0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Keliix vs MU 1-0.2+0.5*+0.1
*-0.0+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/8100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*C3100.0*Average seed
Maplebrook vs Gitchi Gummi+4.0-1.8-3.7
+12.7-4.0-12.0
-6.5+0.9+6.4
+2.3-0.5-2.2
MU 1 vs Tonka Blue+0.2*+0.2-0.2
+0.2*+0.4-0.3
+0.2-0.3*-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Edina vs Fusion 2-0.1+0.2*+0.1
-0.0+0.1*-0.0
Fusion 1 vs EPSC+0.1*+0.1-0.1
*+0.1+0.6-0.2
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Lakeville vs RYSA-0.2+0.6*+0.1
-0.0+0.1*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Maplebrook finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleState1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526C3Count
309-0-099.9%Yes1000No1,336
288-1-098.1Yes9820No1,960
278-0-193.6Yes9460No11,200
267-2-085.0Yes85151No1,386
257-1-180.3Yes8018100No15,779
247-0-262.4Yes6231610No44,837
6-3-067.2Yes672750No570
236-2-144.8Yes453913200No9,695
226-1-225.7100.0%2640258100No54,787
5-4-032.3Yes3238273No133
216-0-38.899.6926322292000No105,083
5-3-110.799.811303318610No3,256
205-2-22.798.23132829187200No28,808
4-5-0NoYes21392514No28
195-1-30.590.0141425271882000No109,262
4-4-11.393.21618252815520No687
185-0-40.045.9002615232417931000No157,896
4-3-20.053.80029182423156210No8,504
3-6-0NoYes100No2
174-2-3No14.9001311212622114100No47,588
3-5-1No23.6171625191986No89
164-1-4No1.300014122125201141000No136,691
3-4-2No1.9026182423168300No1,423
154-0-5No0.0001391622221683100No157,901
3-3-3No0.0001411192320125200No11,048
2-6-1NoNo33223311No9
143-2-4NoNo00028182624145100No47,759
2-5-2NoNo11411193416103No134
133-1-5NoNo0013101925221351000.2%109,345
2-4-3NoNo01514222519103100.11,441
123-0-6NoNo0002715232417820010.5105,111
2-3-4NoNo01391825231562007.68,395
1-6-2NoNo333333No3
112-2-5NoNo000392027231341040.928,746
1-5-3NoNo237232820133237.5104
102-1-6NoNo00028182725144171.854,703
1-4-4NoNo0210212924103065.9695
0-7-2NoNo100Yes1
92-0-7NoNo001414273119594.645,018
1-3-5NoNo01615293015493.43,274
0-6-3NoNo505050.02
81-2-6NoNo0141633331499.39,599
0-5-4NoNo122444164Yes25
71-1-7NoNo01621413299.915,751
0-4-5NoNo35254622Yes142
61-0-8NoNo0183456Yes11,275
0-3-6NoNo01103356Yes535
50-2-7NoNo032770Yes1,291
40-1-8NoNo11980Yes1,990
30-0-9NoNo0792Yes1,411
Total:6.3%34.1%666655554444444433333322111.1%1,356,708
Points
Chance Will Win Championship