How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/1100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*C3100.0*Average seed
Obrien Rebels vs Maplebrook-5.1-2.7+5.1
-14.1-3.7+13.6
+2.6+0.2-2.5
-2.0-0.5+1.9
Blackhawks 1 vs Blackhawks 2+0.5+0.4-0.5
+0.2+0.8-0.3
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Keliix vs MU 1-0.2+0.3+0.6
-0.5+0.7+1.1
-0.1*+0.1+0.2
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Fusion 2 vs Tonka Blue+0.4+0.2-0.4
+0.4+0.6-0.5
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.0
EPSC vs Edina+0.4+0.3-0.4
+0.3+0.5-0.3
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Shakopee vs Valley United-0.3+0.4+0.3
-0.2+0.4+0.3
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.0
SCV Elite vs North Oaks*+0.0+0.4-0.1
*+0.0+0.5-0.1
SCV Academy vs SCV Elite+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.5+0.4-0.5
+0.1-0.2-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.0
RYSA vs MU 2+0.1*+0.1-0.1
+0.4+0.3-0.4
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Lakeville vs MTA*+0.0+0.5-0.1
Blaine vs Coon Rapids+0.3*+0.2-0.3
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/8100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*C3100.0*Average seed
Maplebrook vs Gitchi Gummi+3.1-3.7-5.7
+9.0-7.8-17.3
-2.1+1.2+4.3
+1.3-1.1-2.6
MU 1 vs Tonka Blue+0.5+0.3-0.4
+0.8+0.6-0.6
+0.2*-0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.0
Edina vs Fusion 2-0.3+0.4+0.4
-0.4+0.6+0.4
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Coon Rapids vs NW Kickers+0.5+0.3-0.3
+0.8+0.3-0.4
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Fusion 1 vs EPSC+0.1*+0.1-0.1
+0.4+0.4-0.5
+0.1-0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Lakeville vs RYSA-0.1*+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.3+0.4
-0.1*-0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Blackhawks 1 vs SCV Elite*+0.0+0.5-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Maplebrook finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleState1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526C3Count
309-0-098.7%Yes9910No12,377
288-1-096.9Yes9730No16,725
278-0-188.8Yes891100No84,488
267-2-076.3Yes762220No10,352
257-1-168.3Yes6827400No104,063
247-0-245.5100.0%4539132000No259,912
6-3-051.3Yes513610200No3,738
236-2-125.2100.02540258100No55,923
226-1-212.699.91332321751000No278,488
5-4-013.6Yes1438331230No868
216-0-33.298.031427291872000No460,668
5-3-13.998.74162928166100No17,090
205-2-20.791.8151527271761000No126,736
4-5-00.896.112222636931No129
195-1-30.175.10161626261672000No417,866
4-4-10.280.802819282413510No3,273
185-0-40.027.1000281724241672000No513,214
4-3-20.032.400039202622135100No31,910
3-6-0No11.8121847186No17
174-2-3No6.5000151425261882000No158,289
3-5-1No11.500382225221440No451
164-1-4No0.50002818252415610000No388,260
3-4-2No0.40041021262211410No5,010
154-0-5No0.00000271623231683100No378,777
3-3-3No0.0001310192522146200No31,748
2-6-1NoNo313261910263No31
143-2-4NoNo001310212722114100No117,152
2-5-2NoNo251424271973No429
133-1-5NoNo001514242618820000.0%227,144
2-4-3NoNo02717252416720No3,704*
123-0-6NoNo00015132226191031003.8184,301
2-3-4NoNo00261524251772002.817,541
1-6-2NoNo43519271243.826
112-2-5NoNo0002818272514510020.151,469
1-5-3NoNo1212182522164120.3187
102-1-6NoNo00271726261661048.081,510
1-4-4NoNo028192724135143.61,322*
92-0-7NoNo0014122429218183.556,440
1-3-5NoNo014142628207181.25,044
0-6-3NoNo6733Yes3
81-2-6NoNo000413273220495.812,201
0-5-4NoNo2101440141988.142
71-1-7NoNo00141533341599.416,913
0-4-5NoNo131835291398.9179
61-0-8NoNo014184135100.010,022
0-3-6NoNo06234129Yes607
50-2-7NoNo01103850Yes1,223
40-1-8NoNo052965Yes1,449
30-0-9NoNo11386Yes1,229
Total:8.9%45.5%98877766555443332222111003.7%4,150,540

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship