How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/1100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*C3100.0*Average seed
RYSA vs MU 2-1.5-0.8+1.5
-8.7-3.3+8.6
+8.5+1.1-8.0
-2.1-0.6+2.0
Blackhawks 1 vs Blackhawks 2+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.5-0.2
+0.3*-0.1-0.3
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Keliix vs MU 1-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.3+0.5+0.7
-0.3*-0.0+0.7
-0.0+0.1-0.0
EPSC vs Edina+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2+0.4-0.3
+0.3*-0.1-0.2
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Fusion 2 vs Tonka Blue+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2+0.4-0.3
+0.4*-0.1-0.3
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Obrien Rebels vs Maplebrook+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2+0.3-0.3
+0.3*-0.2-0.2
-0.0+0.1+0.0
SCV Academy vs SCV Elite+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.3+0.5-0.4
+0.2-0.4-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Blaine vs Coon Rapids+0.2+0.3-0.2
+0.2*-0.1-0.2
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
SCV Elite vs North Oaks*+0.0+0.5-0.1
Shakopee vs Valley United-0.2*+0.1+0.3
-0.1*+0.0+0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/8100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*C3100.0*Average seed
Valley United vs MU 2-1.4-0.7+2.0
-8.0-2.0+10.6
+6.6*+0.1-8.5
-1.8-0.3+2.4
Coon Rapids vs NW Kickers+0.3+0.2-0.2
+0.3+0.3-0.2
+0.4*+0.1-0.2
Maplebrook vs Gitchi Gummi-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.3+0.5+0.5
-0.3*+0.1+0.5
MU 1 vs Tonka Blue+0.1*+0.1-0.1
+0.5+0.4-0.4
+0.6-0.2-0.4
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Edina vs Fusion 2-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.5+0.3
-0.2*-0.2+0.3
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Blackhawks 1 vs SCV Elite*+0.0+0.1-0.0
*+0.0+0.4-0.1
*-0.0+0.1-0.0
Fusion 1 vs EPSC+0.3+0.3-0.3
+0.3*-0.2-0.2
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Lakeville vs RYSA-0.1*+0.1+0.2
-0.2*+0.0+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the MU 2 finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleState1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526C3Count
3010-0-098.4%Yes982No1,990
289-1-097.2Yes9730No2,922
279-0-187.9Yes881210No16,669
268-2-073.7Yes74242No2,244
258-1-165.8Yes6629500No26,218
248-0-241.4100.0%4140153000No76,625
7-3-043.7Yes44381530No1,060
237-2-122.7Yes234027910No18,702
227-1-211.099.9113033186100No108,632
6-4-014.1Yes1434351340No313
217-0-32.497.521226292082000No208,809
6-3-12.798.3314272918720No7,666
206-2-20.591.304142628187200No66,243
5-5-01.393.619182422196No78
196-1-30.173.10151525271772000No256,523
5-4-10.178.801719282315510No2,109
186-0-40.024.9000271624241672000No372,765
5-3-2No30.300291926231351000No23,261*
175-2-3No6.10015142426198200No134,765
4-5-1No8.4181831231542No344
165-1-4No0.4000281725241561000No389,107
4-4-2No0.60131121262112410No5,115
155-0-5No0.00002816242316720000No449,068
4-3-3No0.00013101925221362000No39,328*
144-2-4NoNo001310212722114100No169,096
3-5-2NoNo015142626169210No710
134-1-5NoNo0002615242617720000.0%390,492
3-4-3NoNo02718262515610No6,818*
124-0-6NoNo0001614232518830003.1371,269
3-3-4NoNo0002716252516720002.338,946*
113-2-5NoNo0002819272413410018.5134,900
2-5-3NoNo1310192923114015.5737
103-1-6NoNo000281927241451044.0257,825
2-4-4NoNo00392127231330039.85,127*
93-0-7NoNo00015142629186180.1209,391
2-3-5NoNo0015152728175178.223,436*
82-2-6NoNo001415283117494.866,359
1-5-4NoNo1517263216293.3345
72-1-7NoNo00151733321299.1108,299
1-4-5NoNo0161835301199.21,982*
62-0-8NoNo01521423199.976,961
1-3-6NoNo01622413099.97,593*
51-2-7NoNo002123948100.018,840*
41-1-8NoNo0163163Yes26,092
0-4-6NoNo172864Yes287
31-0-9NoNo011683Yes16,256
0-3-7NoNo011880Yes1,093
20-2-8NoNo0792Yes2,260
10-1-9NoNo0694Yes2,852
00-0-10NoNo298Yes2,018
Total:2.2%19.9%2334444445555555544444332016.0%4,150,540

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship