How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/1100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*C3100.0*Average seed
Lakeville vs MTA-1.9-1.0+2.0
-10.2-4.0+10.9
+8.9+1.8-9.2
-2.3-0.6+2.4
SCV Academy vs SCV Elite+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2+0.6-0.3
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Blackhawks 1 vs Blackhawks 2*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.2*-0.1-0.2
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Fusion 2 vs Tonka Blue*+0.1+0.4-0.1
Shakopee vs Valley United-0.2+0.4*+0.1
EPSC vs Edina*+0.1+0.4-0.2
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Blaine vs Coon Rapids-0.0+0.1*+0.0
Keliix vs MU 1-0.1*-0.2+0.2
-0.0+0.1-0.0
RYSA vs MU 2+0.2*-0.1-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/8100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*C3100.0*Average seed
Maplebrook vs Gitchi Gummi-0.1*+0.0+0.1
-0.3+0.5+0.2
-0.3*-0.1+0.3
-0.0+0.1-0.0
MU 1 vs Tonka Blue+0.1*+0.1-0.1
*+0.1+0.7-0.2
+0.2*-0.1-0.2
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Fusion 1 vs EPSC*+0.1+0.5-0.2
Edina vs Fusion 2-0.2+0.4*+0.1
Coon Rapids vs NW Kickers+0.2*-0.1-0.1
Lakeville vs RYSA-0.2*+0.0+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the MTA finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleState1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526C3Count
278-0-095.1%Yes9550No2,839
257-1-081.6Yes821710No3,714
247-0-162.8Yes63316100No21,946
236-2-044.2Yes44411320No2,286
226-1-125.6100.0%26412581000No26,581
216-0-28.599.69263222920000No76,266
5-3-010.499.910303220610No791
205-2-12.898.23142630187200No13,743
195-1-20.590.0141426271882000No79,552
4-4-00.688.41721212316831No164
185-0-30.044.6001614232518931000No152,842
4-3-10.054.20028182522156200No3,983
174-2-2No14.901311212721114100No34,453
3-5-0No10.77411362518No28
164-1-3No1.100014122125211141000No132,120
3-4-1No1.601615262815620No679
154-0-4No0.00001381723221583100No190,117
3-3-2No0.000151219232112520No7,912
2-6-0NoNo5050No2
143-2-3NoNo00029192624145100No45,889
2-5-1NoNo226182927942No82
133-1-4NoNo0000141020252212510000.2%132,751
2-4-2NoNo0141225251894000.11,082
123-0-5NoNo00002817242416720009.2152,517
2-3-3NoNo013102025221351006.38,033
1-6-1NoNo5050No2
112-2-4NoNo0013102027231241039.634,234
1-5-2NoNo31420321412531.174
102-1-5NoNo00029192724134069.279,210
1-4-3NoNo01211202822114065.5690
0-7-1NoNo100No1
92-0-6NoNo0001515273017493.576,020
1-3-4NoNo01617292715392.24,018
0-6-2NoNo505050.02
81-2-5NoNo00151733311299.113,652
0-5-3NoNo44273527496.226
71-1-6NoNo001623412999.926,355
0-4-4NoNo27234919Yes178
61-0-7NoNo01103652Yes21,839
0-3-5NoNo1113949Yes860
50-2-6NoNo0042768Yes2,331
40-1-7NoNo011980Yes3,974
30-0-8NoNo0792Yes2,870
Total:2.6%21.8%334444444455544455444443217.0%1,356,708
Points
Chance Will Win Championship