How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/1100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*C3100.0*Average seed
EPSC vs Edina-5.1-2.6+5.1
-14.1-3.6+13.6
+2.5+0.1-2.3
-1.9-0.4+1.9
Blackhawks 1 vs Blackhawks 2+0.4+0.5-0.5
+0.2+0.7-0.3
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Obrien Rebels vs Maplebrook+0.3+0.3-0.3
+0.3+0.4-0.3
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Shakopee vs Valley United-0.3+0.3+0.4
-0.2+0.6+0.2
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Keliix vs MU 1-0.2+0.2+0.4
-0.4+0.6+1.0
-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
SCV Academy vs SCV Elite+0.2+0.2-0.2
+0.5+0.5-0.5
+0.1-0.1-0.0
+0.0+0.1-0.1
SCV Elite vs North Oaks*+0.0+0.4-0.1
*-0.0+0.7-0.1
*-0.0+0.1-0.0
Fusion 2 vs Tonka Blue+0.2*+0.1-0.2
+0.4*+0.2-0.4
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
RYSA vs MU 2+0.1*+0.1-0.1
+0.4+0.5-0.4
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Blaine vs Coon Rapids+0.1*+0.1-0.1
+0.3+0.4-0.3
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Lakeville vs MTA*+0.0+0.5-0.2
*+0.0+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/8100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*C3100.0*Average seed
Edina vs Fusion 2+3.8-3.2-5.5
+10.9-6.2-16.3
-2.2+0.6+3.4
+1.5-0.8-2.3
Coon Rapids vs NW Kickers+0.9+0.6-0.5
+0.4+0.5-0.2
+0.2*-0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Maplebrook vs Gitchi Gummi-0.3+0.3+0.5
-0.5+0.5+0.8
-0.1*-0.0+0.2
-0.0+0.1+0.1
MU 1 vs Tonka Blue+0.3*+0.1-0.2
+0.8*+0.2-0.6
+0.2*-0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Blackhawks 1 vs SCV Elite*+0.0+0.4-0.1
*-0.0+0.7-0.1
*-0.0+0.1-0.0
Lakeville vs RYSA-0.1*+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.5+0.4
-0.0*-0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Fusion 1 vs EPSC+0.4*+0.2-0.4
+0.1*-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Edina finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleState1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526C3Count
309-0-099.0%Yes9910No12,183
288-1-097.3Yes9730No16,652
278-0-189.1Yes891000No84,917
267-2-075.4Yes7522200No10,438
257-1-168.2Yes6827400No104,367
247-0-244.2100.0%4439143000No262,153
6-3-050.6Yes51371120No3,788
236-2-124.9100.02541258100No55,955
226-1-212.199.9123133175100No279,496
5-4-014.6Yes1536321341No875
216-0-32.897.731327291972000No461,291
5-3-13.598.64173028155100No17,046
205-2-20.692.215162727166100No127,958
4-5-0No95.51218351912211No134
195-1-30.175.10161626261672000No421,352
4-4-10.181.102820282412510No3,357
185-0-40.026.90002817242416720000No516,741
4-3-20.033.2000310202622135100No32,300
3-6-0No28.6721292977No14
174-2-3No6.6000151525261882000No158,945
3-5-1No9.90281628221851No395
164-1-4No0.50000281826241461000No387,943
3-4-2No0.701311222621114100No4,915*
154-0-5No0.000013817242315720000No376,384
3-3-3NoNo013102025211251000No31,948
2-6-1NoNo3131316162569No32
143-2-4NoNo001311212722113100No116,254
2-5-2NoNo1614272419610No473
133-1-5NoNo0002616242517720000.0%225,500
2-4-3NoNo01281726241561000.03,607*
123-0-6NoNo0001614232518830003.1181,157
2-3-4NoNo00271625251672002.317,431
1-6-2NoNo713132027137No15
112-2-5NoNo0002818272414510019.450,857
1-5-3NoNo0410192427104115.7210
102-1-6NoNo000281827251451044.980,037
1-4-4NoNo00210202824113139.31,329
92-0-7NoNo0014142529197181.055,265
1-3-5NoNo015152627196178.54,912*
81-2-6NoNo01313273219496.011,783
0-5-4NoNo816352414391.937
71-1-7NoNo0141632341499.316,186
0-4-5NoNo131736331098.9180
61-0-8NoNo00519423499.99,515
0-3-6NoNo4194334Yes543
50-2-7NoNo193654Yes1,197
40-1-8NoNo143065Yes1,340
30-0-9NoNo11386Yes1,133
Total:8.8%45.7%98887766555443332221111003.4%4,150,540

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship