EPSC Title Chances 2017Plays Fusion 1, title odds up 0.006 to 2.1% 0 points 0-0-0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 5/1 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | State | 100.0* | C3 | 100.0* | Average seed | EPSC vs Edina | +1.7-0.8-1.4 | | +9.7-2.8-8.4 | | -8.2+1.0+7.4 | | +2.2-0.5-2.0 | | Blackhawks 1 vs Blackhawks 2 | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1+0.4-0.2 | | +0.3*-0.1-0.3 | | | | Shakopee vs Valley United | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.2+0.3+0.2 | | -0.1*-0.0+0.2 | | | | Obrien Rebels vs Maplebrook | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | +0.2+0.3-0.2 | | +0.3*-0.1-0.2 | | | | Fusion 2 vs Tonka Blue | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | | +0.3+0.2-0.3 | | +0.3*+0.0-0.3 | | | | SCV Academy vs SCV Elite | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | +0.3+0.3-0.3 | | +0.3-0.3-0.2 | | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | | Keliix vs MU 1 | -0.0*+0.0+0.1 | | -0.3+0.3+0.6 | | -0.2*+0.1+0.6 | | | | RYSA vs MU 2 | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | | +0.2+0.3-0.3 | | +0.3-0.3-0.2 | | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | | Blaine vs Coon Rapids | | | +0.2+0.2-0.2 | | +0.3-0.2-0.2 | | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | | Lakeville vs MTA | | | | | | | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 5/8 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | State | 100.0* | C3 | 100.0* | Average seed | Fusion 1 vs EPSC | -1.4-0.8+1.4 | | -8.2-3.3+8.2 | | +8.9+1.4-8.5 | | -2.1-0.6+2.1 | | Coon Rapids vs NW Kickers | +0.3+0.2-0.1 | | +0.3+0.3-0.2 | | +0.4*+0.1-0.2 | | | | Maplebrook vs Gitchi Gummi | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.3+0.4+0.5 | | -0.3*+0.1+0.6 | | | | MU 1 vs Tonka Blue | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | | +0.5*+0.2-0.4 | | +0.5*+0.1-0.4 | | | | Lakeville vs RYSA | | | -0.2+0.2+0.3 | | -0.2*-0.1+0.3 | | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | | Blackhawks 1 vs SCV Elite | | | *+0.0+0.4-0.1 | | | | | | Edina vs Fusion 2 | | | -0.2*+0.1+0.3 | | -0.2*+0.0+0.3 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the EPSC finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | State | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | C3 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 30 | | 10 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 98.8 | % | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,705 | | 28 | | 9 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 97.2 | | Yes | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,468 | | 27 | | 9 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 88.4 | | Yes | 88 | 11 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 14,254 | | 26 | | 8 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 75.5 | | Yes | 75 | 22 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,802 | | 25 | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 67.5 | | Yes | 68 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 23,304 | | 24 | | 8 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 43.2 | | Yes | 43 | 39 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 68,700 | | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 45.2 | | Yes | 45 | 41 | 11 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 921 | | 23 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 24.7 | | Yes | 25 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 16,527 | | 22 | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 11.4 | | 99.9 | % | 11 | 31 | 33 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 99,141 | | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 14.8 | | Yes | 15 | 32 | 28 | 20 | 3 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 298 | | 21 | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 2.7 | | 97.5 | | 3 | 13 | 26 | 29 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 195,979 | | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 3.2 | | 98.9 | | 3 | 16 | 30 | 28 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,921 | | 20 | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 0.5 | | 90.8 | | 1 | 4 | 15 | 26 | 27 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 62,353 | * | 19 | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 0.1 | | 72.6 | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 26 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 244,437 | | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0.3 | | 78.5 | | 0 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 25 | 25 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,884 | | 18 | | 6 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 0.0 | | 25.1 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 24 | 24 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 361,233 | | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 2 | No | 30.7 | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 26 | 22 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 22,259 | * | 17 | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 3 | No | 5.8 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 27 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 130,504 | | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 1 | No | 7.8 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 23 | 26 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 370 | | 16 | | 5 | - | 1 | - | 4 | No | 0.4 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 25 | 24 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 384,870 | | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 2 | No | 0.6 | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 25 | 22 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,905 | * | 15 | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 5 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 23 | 23 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 451,801 | | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 3 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 24 | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 38,724 | * | 14 | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 27 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 169,577 | | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | | 1 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 25 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 718 | | 13 | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 25 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 0.0 | % | 396,779 | | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 27 | 24 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 0.0 | | 6,832 | * | 12 | | 4 | - | 0 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 23 | 25 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 3.2 | | 385,453 | | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 25 | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | 2.2 | | 39,804 | * | 11 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 27 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 18.7 | | 138,620 | | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 23 | 28 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 0 | | | | 13.4 | | 702 | | 10 | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 27 | 25 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | 44.8 | | 268,831 | | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 27 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | 40.0 | | 5,221 | * | 9 | | 3 | - | 0 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 29 | 19 | 7 | 1 | | 81.2 | | 221,910 | | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 28 | 18 | 6 | 1 | | 78.9 | | 24,648 | * | 8 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 31 | 19 | 4 | | 95.5 | | 70,357 | | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 17 | 27 | 32 | 14 | 3 | | 93.8 | | 338 | | 7 | | 2 | - | 1 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 32 | 34 | 14 | | 99.3 | | 115,918 | | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 32 | 33 | 14 | | 99.3 | | 2,134 | | 6 | | 2 | - | 0 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 41 | 36 | | 100.0 | | 82,589 | | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 41 | 34 | | 100.0 | | 8,289 | * | 5 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 36 | 53 | | Yes | 20,160 | * | 4 | | 1 | - | 1 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 28 | 67 | | Yes | 28,609 | | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 24 | 72 | | Yes | 329 | | 3 | | 1 | - | 0 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 13 | 86 | | Yes | 18,410 | | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 12 | 88 | | Yes | 1,109 | | 2 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 93 | | Yes | 2,544 | | 1 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 96 | | Yes | 3,088 | | 0 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 2,211 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 2.1 | % | 18.5 | % | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 17.2 | % | 4,150,540 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |