How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/1100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*C3100.0*Average seed
Blackhawks 1 vs Blackhawks 2-5.0-1.6+5.3
-12.9-5.0+13.7
+6.9*+0.0-6.9
-2.4-0.8+2.5
Fusion 2 vs Tonka Blue*+0.1+0.5-0.2
*+0.1+0.7-0.2
-0.0+0.1-0.0
RYSA vs MU 2*+0.1+0.4-0.2
*+0.0+0.1-0.0
EPSC vs Edina*+0.1+0.3-0.1
*-0.0+0.1-0.0
Shakopee vs Valley United-0.2+0.3+0.1
-0.2+0.4*+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Obrien Rebels vs Maplebrook*+0.1+0.3-0.1
*+0.0+0.1-0.0
Blaine vs Coon Rapids*+0.1+0.3-0.1
*+0.1+0.5-0.2
-0.0+0.1-0.0
SCV Academy vs SCV Elite+0.1*-0.1-0.1
+0.2*+0.3-0.2
+0.2*+0.1-0.2
Keliix vs MU 1-0.2+0.6*+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/8100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*C3100.0*Average seed
MU 1 vs Tonka Blue+0.3*+0.2-0.3
+0.2+0.5-0.3
+0.2*-0.1-0.2
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Maplebrook vs Gitchi Gummi-0.3*+0.2+0.2
-0.2+0.7*+0.1
-0.2*-0.2+0.2
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Edina vs Fusion 2-0.1+0.3*+0.1
-0.2+0.6*+0.1
-0.0+0.1*+0.0
Fusion 1 vs EPSC+0.1*+0.2-0.1
Lakeville vs RYSA-0.1*+0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Coon Rapids vs NW Kickers*+0.1+0.5-0.2
+0.2*+0.0-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Blackhawks 2 finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleState1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526C3Count
278-0-099.7%Yes1000No2,861
257-1-097.9Yes9820No3,823
247-0-190.1Yes90100No21,680
236-2-090.8Yes9190No2,274
226-1-178.5Yes782020No26,202
216-0-248.7Yes493811200No75,999
5-3-050.6Yes51351310No817
205-2-143.1Yes434014200No13,597
195-1-220.3100.0%20382811200No79,462
4-4-023.7Yes24412483No186
185-0-32.697.931327301972000No152,408
4-3-12.598.5315302915610No4,061
174-2-20.182.3028202824134100No34,583
3-5-0No84.25113237115No19
164-1-30.022.0000161524251882000No132,114
3-4-1No29.9029182323165300No748
154-0-4No7.500161525261772000No190,521
3-3-2No10.0002819262514510No7,991
2-6-0No50.0502525No4
143-2-3No0.100141324271992000No45,817
2-5-1NoNo46132138118No53
133-1-4NoNo001412222620103100No132,444
2-4-2NoNo026172524167210No1,067
123-0-5NoNo0013102127221141000.0%152,414
2-3-3NoNo01513232719920000.08,084
1-6-1NoNo333333No3
112-2-4NoNo000281827241451001.334,408
1-5-2NoNo131220252010632.969
102-1-5NoNo001413232720930032.480,116
1-4-3NoNo161625251862126.1685
92-0-6NoNo00027172626155173.476,258
1-3-4NoNo000310222723113064.34,093
0-6-2NoNo100No1
81-2-5NoNo0272032291098.313,776
0-5-3NoNo52040305Yes20
71-1-6NoNo0021129382099.726,561
0-4-4NoNo311313619Yes156
61-0-7NoNo003154042100.021,642
0-3-5NoNo02164140Yes791
50-2-6NoNo032769Yes2,259
40-1-7NoNo021978Yes3,776
30-0-8NoNo011288Yes2,865
Total:8.3%33.4%876544566433455432233322211.5%1,356,708
Points
Chance Will Win Championship