How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/1100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*C3100.0*Average seed
Blackhawks 1 vs Blackhawks 2-7.4-2.0+7.0
-15.3-6.2+14.7
+2.5*-0.0-2.2
-2.0-0.6+1.9
EPSC vs Edina+0.5+0.6-0.5
+0.2+0.4-0.3
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Shakopee vs Valley United-0.4+0.6+0.5
-0.2+0.5+0.2
-0.0*-0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Keliix vs MU 1-0.3+0.5+0.7
-0.3+0.6+0.8
-0.1*+0.0+0.2
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Fusion 2 vs Tonka Blue+0.5+0.5-0.5
+0.3+0.6-0.3
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Obrien Rebels vs Maplebrook+0.5+0.5-0.5
+0.2+0.3-0.2
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.0
RYSA vs MU 2+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.2+0.3-0.3
+0.1-0.1-0.0
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Blaine vs Coon Rapids+0.1*+0.1-0.1
+0.3+0.3-0.3
+0.1-0.1-0.0
+0.0+0.1-0.0
SCV Academy vs SCV Elite+0.1*+0.1-0.1
+0.4+0.3-0.4
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Lakeville vs MTA*+0.1+0.5-0.2
*+0.0+0.1-0.0
SCV Elite vs North Oaks*-0.0+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/8100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*C3100.0*Average seed
Coon Rapids vs NW Kickers+1.4+1.1-0.8
+0.3+0.6-0.2
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.0
MU 1 vs Tonka Blue+0.7+0.4-0.5
+0.5+0.5-0.4
+0.2-0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Maplebrook vs Gitchi Gummi-0.4+0.5+0.7
-0.3+0.5+0.6
-0.1*+0.0+0.2
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Edina vs Fusion 2-0.4+0.5+0.5
-0.2+0.5+0.3
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Fusion 1 vs EPSC+0.2+0.3-0.2
+0.3+0.4-0.4
+0.1-0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Lakeville vs RYSA-0.1+0.3+0.1
-0.2+0.4+0.3
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Blackhawks 2 finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleState1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526C3Count
278-0-099.4%Yes991No32,536
257-1-096.3Yes9640No38,269
247-0-179.7Yes8019100No180,935
236-2-078.8Yes791920No19,885
226-1-161.9Yes62326000No186,933
216-0-227.8100.0%28412371000No437,785
5-3-029.1Yes294122610No5,838
205-2-122.5100.02239279200No81,959
195-1-27.799.882534239200No384,167
4-4-09.299.892734207100No1,070
185-0-30.591.6151527271772000No595,329
4-3-10.793.815172926155100No20,041
174-2-20.061.50029212823114100No140,307
3-5-0No65.71610183123831No143
164-1-3No10.4000281826241561000No434,952
3-4-1No15.3141122272111310No2,930
154-0-4No2.90000292027231341000No503,918
3-3-2No4.401411232721103000No27,187
2-6-0NoNo14142943No7
143-2-3No0.0000310212723124100No126,304
2-5-1NoNo05122128211110No271
133-1-4NoNo000151323261993000No292,289
2-4-2NoNo012718262415610No2,923
1-7-0NoNo100No1
123-0-5NoNo0001413242820920000.0%270,265
2-3-3NoNo0015162626177200No18,331
1-6-1NoNo50201020No10
112-2-4NoNo00151424271982000.363,717
1-5-2NoNo1241923291741No157
102-1-5NoNo00131122272211310014.6117,294
1-4-3NoNo151426251882010.51,397
92-0-6NoNo000271726251561047.490,239
1-3-4NoNo00291928231241040.56,165
0-6-2NoNo252550No4
81-2-5NoNo001617292915392.816,886
0-5-3NoNo682825221194.436
71-1-6NoNo0029233425797.926,064
0-4-4NoNo311243022997.5237
61-0-7NoNo002928392299.816,960
0-3-5NoNo02831401999.6805
50-2-6NoNo01124047Yes1,841
40-1-7NoNo0073459Yes2,452
30-0-8NoNo022375Yes1,701
Total:12.5%50.1%1311976556653334422111111003.1%4,150,540
Points
Chance Will Win Championship