Vancouver Whitecaps Playoff Chances 2016
Did not play, playoff odds up 0.2 to 6%
34 points 9-7-14
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/18 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Sporting KC 2 Galaxy 2 | +0.2 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Whitecaps vs Rapids | +6.2-3.0-4.7 | -0.7-0.1+1.0 | +0.5-0.2-0.4 | |||
| Dynamo vs Timbers | +1.1+0.0-2.3 | +0.2-0.1-0.2 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | |||
| Earthquakes vs Sporting KC | +0.5+0.3-1.3 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||||
| Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | |||||
| NYCFC vs Fire | -0.3-0.1+1.0 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 9/25 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Rapids vs Timbers | +1.0-0.2-2.4 | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Revolution vs Sporting KC | +1.3-0.1-1.7 | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Galaxy vs Sounders | +0.5-0.1-1.9 | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Sounders vs Fire | -0.9+0.9+1.3 | -0.3-0.1+1.0 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | |||
| Impact vs Earthquakes | +0.5*-0.0-1.1 | +0.1-0.0-0.2 | ||||
| Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake | -0.6+0.3+0.7 | -0.1+0.1+0.2 | ||||
| Dynamo vs NYCFC | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | +0.2-0.1-0.2 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | |||
| DC United vs Crew | -0.2+0.0+0.5 | |||||
| Crew vs Revolution | +0.3-0.2-0.4 | |||||
| Crew vs Fire | *+0.0-0.1+0.2 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Whitecaps finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Supporters | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Wooden | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | Shield | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Spoon | Count | |||||
| 46 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 92.4 | % | No | 4 | 52 | 36 | 7 | 0 | No | 283,405 | |||||||||
| 44 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 49.9 | No | 0 | 12 | 38 | 39 | 11 | 0 | 0 | No | 937,941 | ||||||||
| 43 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 19.7 | No | 2 | 18 | 45 | 30 | 5 | 0 | No | 1,344,313 | |||||||||
| 42 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 6.5 | No | 0 | 6 | 35 | 48 | 10 | 0 | No | 1,110,243 | |||||||||
| 41 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0.6 | No | 0 | 1 | 14 | 49 | 34 | 2 | No | 3,025,690 | |||||||||
| 40 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 3 | 31 | 58 | 7 | No | 1,963,036 | ||||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | Out | No | 4 | 42 | 48 | 6 | No | 561,511 | ||||||||||||
| 39 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 1 | Out | No | 1 | 21 | 64 | 15 | 0.0 | % | 2,210,977 | ||||||||||
| 38 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 7 | 64 | 28 | 0.0 | 2,788,565 | |||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 12 | 59 | 29 | 0.1 | 103,691 | ||||||||||||
| 37 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 57 | 42 | 0.3 | 1,135,008 | |||||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 3 | 56 | 41 | 0.6 | 526,552 | ||||||||||||
| 36 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 2 | Out | No | 1 | 44 | 55 | 2.7 | 974,856 | ||||||||||||
| 35 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 31 | 69 | 7.6 | 781,431 | ||||||||||||
| 34 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 4 | Out | No | 21 | 79 | 17.9 | 232,141 | |||||||||||||
| Total: | 6.0 | % | No | 0 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 42 | 19 | 0.8 | % | 17,979,360 | |||||||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Week of 9/18 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Whitecaps vs Rapids | -1.1+0.3+1.0 | |
| Earthquakes vs Sporting KC | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | |
| Dynamo vs Timbers | +0.1-0.1-0.0 | |
| NYCFC vs Fire | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Week of 9/25 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake | +0.1-0.1-0.2 | |
| Toronto FC vs Orlando | -0.1+0.0+0.2 | |
| Dynamo vs NYCFC | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
| Galaxy vs Sounders | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | |
| Toronto FC vs DC United | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | |
| Impact vs Earthquakes | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |
| Sounders vs Fire | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
| Rapids vs Timbers | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | |
| Revolution vs Sporting KC | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | |
| Crew vs Fire | +0.0-0.1-0.0 | |
| Crew vs Revolution | +0.0-0.0+0.1 | |
| DC United vs Crew | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | |
| 46 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 47 | 5 | 36 | 0 | 7 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 44 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 35 | 3 | 39 | 11 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 43 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 44 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 42 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 31 | 47 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 41 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 40 | 38 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 40 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 41 | 31 | 9 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 2 | 20 | 41 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| 39 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 40 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 38 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 41 | 20 | 3 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 40 | 22 | 4 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 37 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 39 | 38 | 11 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 38 | 13 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| 36 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 45 | 28 | 3 | ||||||||||||||
| 35 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 45 | 8 | |||||||||||||||
| 34 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 55 | 18 | ||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 12 | 6 | 1 | ||||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:36 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
