West Playoff Chances 2016

Sounders +1.5, Sporting KC -3.8
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsSupporters ShieldChance will finish regular season at seedWooden Spoon
PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change12345678910Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength
FC Dallas5215-7-88In43.6%+7.85828131001.6+0.04No3.547FC Dallas
Galaxy4811-15-417100.0%+0.07.7-1.4122453101002.6-0.07No2.610Los Angeles Galaxy
Rapids47212-11-55100.0+0.022.7+3.4294520410002.0+0.05No1.545Colorado Rapids
Real Salt Lake4412-8-10097.2+0.20.1+0.002115718830004.3+0.04No5.492Real Salt Lake
Timbers4111-8-11073.5+1.30.0001113229187105.8+0.06No12.492Portland Timbers
Sporting KC4011-7-12065.5-3.8No-0.0011126282012306.0-0.18No-0.08.492Sporting Kansas City
Sounders35210-5-13-337.5+1.50.00005141928201146.9+0.040.1%+0.014.466Seattle Sounders
Earthquakes3427-13-8-319.2+0.6No00161118302397.8+0.010.4+0.09.460San Jose Earthquakes
Whitecaps349-7-14-96.0+0.2No024112342198.5+0.010.8+0.010.427Vancouver Whitecaps
Dynamo2926-11-11-41.1+0.0No0013820689.514.0-0.016.458Houston Dynamo

Direct Comments/Corrections to bgix on BigSoccer
Monte Carlo simulation: Does not prove mathematical Clinching or Elimination
Tie Breakers:
1. Wins
2. Goal Differential
3. Goals Scored

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 9/18
Sporting KC 2 Galaxy 2
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
FC Dallas+1.0
+0.0
Galaxy-2.7
-0.1
Rapids+0.6
+0.0
Real Salt Lake+0.2
Timbers+1.3
+0.1
Sporting KC-3.8
No
-0.2
Sounders+1.3
+0.0
Earthquakes+0.6
+0.0
Whitecaps+0.2
Toronto FC 3 Red Bulls 3
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
FC Dallas+6.1
Galaxy+1.6
Rapids+2.6
Earthquakes vs Sporting KCIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
10:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Timbers74.275.070.6
5.75.75.9
Sporting KC51.169.290.0
6.55.95.2
Sounders38.939.432.6
6.96.86.9
Earthquakes30.911.74.5
0.00.41.2
7.28.18.5
Dynamo vs TimbersHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Real Salt Lake97.897.295.9
4.24.24.4
Timbers62.774.993.5
6.25.85.0
Sporting KC68.365.659.7
5.96.06.2
Sounders41.137.031.0
6.96.97.0
Earthquakes20.919.016.2
0.50.40.3
Whitecaps7.26.13.7
0.90.70.5
8.68.58.5
Dynamo2.10.20.0
5.818.125.9
9.39.79.8
Whitecaps vs RapidsHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
FC Dallas49.145.835.6
1.41.51.7
Galaxy9.48.25.2
2.52.62.8
Rapids11.818.938.3
2.32.11.7
Timbers71.374.575.3
5.85.75.7
Sporting KC63.666.366.9
6.16.06.0
Sounders36.238.238.4
7.06.96.8
Earthquakes18.619.519.7
7.97.77.6
Whitecaps12.33.11.3
0.00.61.7
8.08.79.0
Dynamo14.1*14.113.9
9.69.59.4
Real Salt Lake vs FC DallasHomeDrawAway
9:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
FC Dallas31.440.066.4
1.81.61.3
Galaxy9.18.44.7
2.62.62.7
Rapids27.923.413.9
2.02.02.1
Real Salt Lake99.797.093.3
0.30.0No
3.94.44.7
Timbers72.773.774.7
5.95.75.7
Sporting KC64.8*65.566.4
6.16.05.9
Sounders36.7*37.538.7
7.06.96.9
Toronto FC vs UnionHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
FC Dallas37.649.951.9
Galaxy6.18.910.3
Rapids20.025.226.9
NYCFC vs FireHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Dynamo11.014.121.9
Week of 9/25
Galaxy vs SoundersIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
FC Dallas42.245.545.7
1.61.51.5
GalaxyIn100.0100.0
11.53.11.5
2.42.93.1
Rapids21.923.724.1
2.11.91.9
Real Salt Lake97.897.095.2
Timbers76.472.864.1
No0.0*0.0
5.75.86.0
Sporting KC68.264.955.9
6.06.06.2
Sounders29.339.564.9
No*No0.0
7.26.85.9
Earthquakes20.618.815.0
7.77.87.9
Whitecaps6.66.04.1
8.58.68.7
Revolution vs Sporting KCHomeDrawAway
7:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Real Salt Lake97.8*97.296.3
4.24.24.4
Timbers77.374.067.9
5.65.76.0
Sporting KC51.864.585.4
6.56.15.3
Sounders41.938.130.9
6.86.97.1
Earthquakes22.6*19.214.5
7.77.87.9
Whitecaps7.36.04.3
8.58.68.6
Sounders vs FireHomeDrawAway
10:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Real Salt Lake96.398.098.5
4.34.24.2
Timbers69.177.580.5
5.95.75.6
Sporting KC60.969.672.4
6.15.95.9
Sounders50.425.917.6
0.00.00.5
6.47.37.7
Earthquakes17.321.022.3
0.2*0.40.9
7.97.77.6
Whitecaps5.16.97.3
0.40.71.7
8.68.58.4
Dynamo11.114.322.0
9.59.59.4
Rapids vs TimbersHomeDrawAway
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
FC Dallas38.847.850.5
1.71.51.4
Galaxy6.18.910.0
2.72.62.5
RapidsIn100.0100.0
32.214.88.9
1.82.22.5
Real Salt Lake97.797.195.9
4.24.24.4
Timbers64.575.893.8
No*No0.0
6.15.75.0
Sporting KC68.165.059.3
5.96.06.3
Sounders40.736.530.7
6.86.97.1
Earthquakes20.818.716.0
7.77.87.8
Whitecaps7.05.93.6
8.58.68.6
Impact vs EarthquakesHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Timbers75.473.868.6
5.75.85.9
Sporting KC68.165.159.3
6.06.06.2
Sounders39.3*37.533.0
6.86.97.1
Earthquakes12.0*19.237.2
0.70.20.0
8.17.77.0
Whitecaps6.5*6.04.9
8.58.68.7
Earthquakes vs Real Salt LakeHomeDrawAway
10:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Galaxy2.62.62.8
Real Salt Lake95.298.399.8
0.00.00.5
4.54.23.7
Timbers71.775.075.6
Sporting KC62.867.169.0
Sounders35.638.939.8
7.06.96.8
Earthquakes28.413.27.7
0.00.41.2
7.38.08.4
Whitecaps5.56.46.8
8.78.58.4
Dynamo vs NYCFCHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Whitecaps0.90.70.5
8.68.58.4
Dynamo2.00.30.1
5.818.226.0
9.39.79.8
FC Dallas vs GalaxyHomeDrawAway
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
FC Dallas63.435.021.9
1.21.62.0
Galaxy100.0100.0In
0.85.520.2
3.02.72.1
Rapids16.926.827.7
2.11.92.0
SoundersNo*0.0*0.0
Toronto FC vs DC UnitedHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
FC Dallas37.950.052.0
Galaxy6.29.010.3
Rapids20.125.327.0
Toronto FC vs OrlandoHomeDrawAway
7:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
FC Dallas38.050.052.0
Galaxy6.29.010.3
Rapids20.125.327.1
Crew vs RevolutionHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Dynamo16.611.89.7
DC United vs CrewHomeDrawAway
7:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Dynamo12.414.418.0
Crew vs FireHomeDrawAway
7:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Dynamo13.913.015.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.