Philadelphia Union Playoff Chances 2016 50/50
Did not play, playoff odds unchanged at 97.1%
41 points 11-8-11
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/18 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Supporters Shield | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Toronto FC 3 Red Bulls 3 | +0.0 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Toronto FC vs Union | -3.0+0.3+2.7 | NoNo+0.0 | -0.5-0.1+0.6 | |||
| Red Bulls vs Impact | +0.7+0.1-0.8 | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | ||||
| DC United vs Orlando | -0.1+0.6-0.3 | |||||
| NYCFC vs Fire | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||||
| Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas | +0.0NoNo | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 9/25 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Supporters Shield | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Red Bulls vs Union | -3.0+0.3+2.7 | NoNo+0.0 | -0.6-0.1+0.7 | |||
| Revolution vs Sporting KC | -1.4+0.6+1.0 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||||
| Crew vs Revolution | +0.7+0.7-1.2 | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Toronto FC vs Orlando | +0.8+0.4-1.1 | |||||
| Toronto FC vs DC United | +0.7+0.4-1.0 | |||||
| Impact vs Earthquakes | -0.8+0.1+0.7 | -0.2+0.0+0.1 | ||||
| DC United vs Crew | -0.8+0.4+0.5 | |||||
| Crew vs Fire | -0.2+0.2+0.0 | |||||
| Sounders vs Fire | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | |||||
| Galaxy vs Sounders | No*+0.0+0.0 | |||||
| FC Dallas vs Galaxy | No+0.0*+0.0 | |||||
| Dynamo vs NYCFC | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Union finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Supporters | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Wooden | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | Shield | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Spoon | Count | |||||
| 53 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 0.1 | % | 55 | 40 | 5 | No | 100,033 | |||||||||||
| 51 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | No | 20 | 52 | 26 | 2 | No | 303,015 | |||||||||||
| 50 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | No | 5 | 35 | 45 | 15 | 0 | No | 398,508 | ||||||||||
| 49 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | No | 2 | 25 | 49 | 24 | 1 | No | 345,724 | ||||||||||
| 48 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | No | 0 | 6 | 34 | 54 | 5 | 0 | No | 908,394 | |||||||||
| 47 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 100.0 | % | No | 1 | 14 | 68 | 17 | 0 | 0 | No | 596,480 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | In | No | 2 | 20 | 64 | 14 | 0 | No | 174,629 | |||||||||||
| 46 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 100.0 | No | 0 | 6 | 62 | 31 | 2 | 0 | No | 691,469 | |||||||||
| 45 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 99.7 | No | 1 | 44 | 47 | 8 | 0 | 0 | No | 906,902 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 99.7 | No | 43 | 49 | 8 | 0 | No | 33,289 | ||||||||||||
| 44 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 98.6 | No | 26 | 54 | 18 | 1 | 0 | No | 398,480 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 98.3 | No | 25 | 54 | 19 | 2 | 0 | No | 174,769 | |||||||||||
| 43 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 91.6 | No | 10 | 45 | 36 | 8 | 0 | 0 | No | 344,420 | |||||||||
| 42 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 75.1 | No | 3 | 26 | 46 | 22 | 3 | 0 | No | 302,470 | |||||||||
| 41 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 50.7 | No | 0 | 10 | 40 | 40 | 9 | 0 | No | 100,138 | |||||||||
| Total: | 97.1 | % | 0.0 | % | 2 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 24 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 5,778,720 | |||||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 9/18 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Toronto FC 3 Red Bulls 3 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Toronto FC vs Union | +1.1+0.3-1.3 | |
| NYCFC vs Fire | +0.2-0.0-0.2 | |
| Red Bulls vs Impact | -0.0-0.1+0.1 | |
| DC United vs Orlando | +0.0-0.1+0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Week of 9/25 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Red Bulls vs Union | +1.2+0.3-1.4 | |
| Impact vs Earthquakes | +0.3-0.1-0.2 | |
| Dynamo vs NYCFC | -0.2-0.0+0.2 | |
| Crew vs Revolution | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | |
| Revolution vs Sporting KC | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
| DC United vs Crew | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | |
| Toronto FC vs Orlando | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | |
| 53 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 55 | 6 | 34 | 3 | 2 | |||||||||||||||
| 51 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 20 | 1 | 51 | 6 | 20 | 2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 50 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 5 | 0 | 35 | 4 | 41 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 49 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 48 | 9 | 15 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 48 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 34 | 10 | 44 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 47 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 64 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 2 | 20 | 2 | 62 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 46 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 61 | 6 | 24 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 45 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 43 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 43 | 2 | 46 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 44 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 53 | 4 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 25 | 0 | 54 | 3 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 43 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 10 | 0 | 45 | 2 | 35 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 42 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 3 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 45 | 4 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||
| 41 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 40 | 2 | 14 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 15 | 3 | 35 | 3 | 21 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:36 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
