Seattle Sounders Playoff Chances 2016
Did not play, playoff odds up 1.5 to 37.5%
35 points 10-5-13
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/18 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Supporters Shield | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Sporting KC 2 Galaxy 2 | +1.3 | +0.0 | ||||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Dynamo vs Timbers | +3.6-0.5-6.6 | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | ||||||
| Earthquakes vs Sporting KC | +1.4+1.9-4.9 | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | ||||||
| Whitecaps vs Rapids | -1.3+0.7+0.9 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||||||
| Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas | -0.8*+0.0+1.2 | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | ||||||
| NYCFC vs Fire | -0.0*-0.0+0.1 | |||||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 9/25 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Supporters Shield | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Galaxy vs Sounders | -8.2+2.0+27.4 | No*No+0.0 | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | -0.3+0.1+1.0 | ||||
| Sounders vs Fire | +12.9-11.7-19.9 | -0.1-0.1+0.4 | +0.5-0.4-0.8 | |||||
| Revolution vs Sporting KC | +4.4+0.6-6.7 | +0.1+0.0-0.2 | ||||||
| Rapids vs Timbers | +3.1-1.0-6.8 | +0.1-0.0-0.2 | ||||||
| Impact vs Earthquakes | +1.8*+0.0-4.5 | +0.1-0.0-0.2 | ||||||
| Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake | -1.9+1.4+2.3 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||||||
| Dynamo vs NYCFC | -0.2+0.1+0.2 | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | ||||||
| FC Dallas vs Galaxy | No*+0.0*+0.0 | |||||||
| DC United vs Crew | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | |||||||
| Crew vs Revolution | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | |||||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Sounders finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Supporters | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Wooden | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | Shield | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Spoon | Count | |||||
| 53 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 0.1 | % | 1 | 19 | 64 | 16 | No | 18,639 | ||||||||||
| 51 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | No | 2 | 30 | 63 | 5 | 0 | No | 99,772 | ||||||||||
| 50 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | No | 0 | 10 | 69 | 20 | 1 | No | 163,858 | ||||||||||
| 49 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 99.9 | % | No | 0 | 4 | 53 | 39 | 4 | 0 | No | 239,353 | ||||||||
| 48 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 99.6 | No | 0 | 1 | 39 | 51 | 9 | 0 | 0 | No | 758,330 | ||||||||
| 47 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 98.0 | No | 0 | 17 | 58 | 23 | 2 | 0 | No | 588,640 | |||||||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 96.9 | No | 0 | 14 | 56 | 27 | 3 | 0 | No | 288,182 | ||||||||||
| 46 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 89.1 | No | 4 | 43 | 42 | 11 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,322,873 | |||||||||
| 45 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 77.0 | No | 1 | 28 | 48 | 22 | 1 | 0 | No | 1,957,206 | |||||||||
| 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 74.1 | No | 1 | 25 | 48 | 25 | 1 | No | 185,418 | |||||||||||
| 44 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 48.1 | No | 0 | 9 | 39 | 46 | 6 | 0 | No | 1,086,434 | |||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 53.5 | No | 0 | 11 | 42 | 42 | 4 | 0 | No | 931,730 | ||||||||||
| 43 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 22.7 | No | 2 | 21 | 56 | 20 | 1 | 0 | No | 2,297,564 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 21.4 | No | 2 | 20 | 59 | 19 | 0 | 0 | No | 60,519 | ||||||||||
| 42 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 8.6 | No | 0 | 8 | 51 | 36 | 5 | 0 | No | 2,071,084 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 8.3 | No | 0 | 8 | 53 | 35 | 3 | 0 | No | 423,966 | ||||||||||
| 41 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 0.9 | No | 0 | 1 | 31 | 52 | 15 | 1 | No | 1,143,865 | |||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 1.1 | No | 0 | 1 | 32 | 51 | 15 | 1 | No | 663,144 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0.1 | No | 0 | 31 | 54 | 14 | 1 | No | 7,969 | |||||||||||
| 40 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 12 | 48 | 35 | 5 | No | 1,476,687 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | No | 14 | 54 | 29 | 3 | No | 63,403 | ||||||||||||
| 39 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 4 | Out | No | 4 | 33 | 49 | 14 | 0.0 | % | 905,154 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 2 | Out | No | 5 | 38 | 46 | 12 | 0.0 | 205,402 | ||||||||||||
| 38 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 3 | Out | No | 1 | 18 | 53 | 28 | 0.1 | 342,136 | |||||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | - | 5 | Out | No | 1 | 16 | 50 | 33 | 0.1 | 211,031 | ||||||||||||
| 37 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 4 | Out | No | 0 | 6 | 44 | 50 | 0.8 | 302,945 | |||||||||||
| 36 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 5 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 26 | 73 | 6.1 | 136,881 | |||||||||||
| 35 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 6 | Out | No | 0 | 10 | 90 | 23.4 | 27,175 | ||||||||||||
| Total: | 37.5 | % | 0.0 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 28 | 20 | 11 | 4 | 0.1 | % | 17,979,360 | |||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 9/18 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Sporting KC 2 Galaxy 2 | -0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Dynamo vs Timbers | -0.1-0.0+0.2 | |
| Whitecaps vs Rapids | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
| Earthquakes vs Sporting KC | -0.0-0.1+0.1 | |
| Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Week of 9/25 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Sounders vs Fire | -0.9+0.7+1.5 | |
| Galaxy vs Sounders | +0.6-0.2-1.8 | |
| Rapids vs Timbers | -0.1+0.0+0.3 | |
| Revolution vs Sporting KC | -0.1-0.1+0.2 | |
| Impact vs Earthquakes | -0.1-0.0+0.2 | |
| Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
| Toronto FC vs Orlando | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | |
| Toronto FC vs DC United | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | |
| Crew vs Revolution | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | |
| Dynamo vs NYCFC | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | |
| 53 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 62 | 2 | 16 | ||||||||||||||
| 51 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 6 | 63 | 0 | 5 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 50 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 68 | 1 | 20 | 1 | |||||||||||||
| 49 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 51 | 2 | 39 | 0 | 4 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 48 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 5 | 51 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 47 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 56 | 2 | 23 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 54 | 2 | 27 | 0 | 3 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 46 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 2 | 2 | 39 | 4 | 41 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 45 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 7 | 47 | 1 | 22 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 47 | 1 | 25 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 44 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 36 | 3 | 46 | 6 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 39 | 3 | 42 | 4 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 43 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 5 | 55 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 58 | 20 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 42 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 46 | 38 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 48 | 38 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 41 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 47 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 47 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 46 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 40 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 38 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 6 | 31 | 38 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| 39 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 36 | 22 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 35 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 38 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 37 | 20 | 3 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 37 | 23 | 4 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 37 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 40 | 16 | 1 | ||||||||||||||
| 36 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 40 | 40 | 6 | ||||||||||||||
| 35 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 55 | 23 | ||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 17 | 2 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | ||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:36 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
