New England Revolution Playoff Chances 2016 50/50
Did not play, playoff odds up 0.04 to 45.8%
36 points 9-9-12
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 9/18 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Red Bulls vs Impact | +3.3+0.6-3.8 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| DC United vs Orlando | -2.2+4.3-1.1 | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | ||||
| Toronto FC vs Union | +0.9*-0.1-0.8 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| NYCFC vs Fire | +0.6+0.4-0.9 | -0.3-0.2+0.4 | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | |||
| Dynamo vs Timbers | +0.3-0.1-0.2 | |||||
| Whitecaps vs Rapids | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 9/25 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Crew vs Revolution | -18.7-4.6+22.2 | +1.0-0.4-0.7 | -0.7-0.1+0.7 | |||
| Revolution vs Sporting KC | +20.8-5.7-16.5 | -0.7-0.2+0.8 | +0.7-0.2-0.6 | |||
| Toronto FC vs DC United | +5.2+1.7-6.5 | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | +0.1+0.0-0.2 | |||
| Toronto FC vs Orlando | +4.7+1.6-5.9 | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | +0.1+0.0-0.2 | |||
| DC United vs Crew | -5.5+2.9+3.3 | -0.2-0.1+0.2 | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | |||
| Impact vs Earthquakes | -3.8+0.6+3.3 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||||
| Crew vs Fire | -1.2+1.2+0.3 | *-0.0-0.1+0.1 | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | |||
| Red Bulls vs Union | +0.8*-0.0-0.8 | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Sounders vs Fire | +0.6+0.4-0.9 | -0.3-0.1+0.4 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |||
| Dynamo vs NYCFC | +0.3-0.1-0.2 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Revolution finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Supporters | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Wooden | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | Shield | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Spoon | Count | |||||
| 48 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | No | 0 | 3 | 26 | 59 | 13 | 0 | No | 99,924 | |||||||||
| 46 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 99.8 | % | No | 0 | 3 | 41 | 48 | 8 | 0 | No | 302,468 | ||||||||
| 45 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 98.2 | No | 0 | 20 | 54 | 24 | 2 | 0 | No | 397,615 | |||||||||
| 44 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 93.9 | No | 6 | 45 | 43 | 6 | 0 | No | 345,674 | ||||||||||
| 43 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 79.6 | No | 2 | 25 | 52 | 20 | 1 | 0 | No | 906,746 | |||||||||
| 42 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 57.7 | No | 0 | 10 | 47 | 37 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 597,326 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 58.8 | No | 0 | 10 | 49 | 37 | 4 | 0 | No | 175,551 | ||||||||||
| 41 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 32.8 | No | 2 | 31 | 52 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 691,973 | ||||||||
| 40 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 11.8 | No | 0 | 12 | 48 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 0.0 | 909,537 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 11.2 | No | 0 | 11 | 48 | 35 | 6 | 0 | No | 33,123 | ||||||||||
| 39 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 3.2 | No | 0 | 3 | 31 | 47 | 18 | 1 | 0.1 | 397,552 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 3.3 | No | 0 | 3 | 33 | 47 | 16 | 1 | 0.1 | 175,010 | ||||||||||
| 38 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 0.5 | No | 0 | 15 | 46 | 35 | 4 | 0.9 | 343,785 | ||||||||||
| 37 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 3 | 28 | 53 | 16 | 5.5 | 302,301 | ||||||||||
| 36 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 4 | Out | No | 0 | 11 | 52 | 36 | 18.3 | 100,135 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 45.8 | % | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 27 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 0.7 | % | 5,778,720 | ||||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Week of 9/18 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Red Bulls vs Impact | -0.2-0.0+0.2 | |
| DC United vs Orlando | +0.1-0.2+0.1 | |
| Toronto FC vs Union | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | |
| Whitecaps vs Rapids | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | |
| NYCFC vs Fire | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | |
| Earthquakes vs Sporting KC | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | |
| Dynamo vs Timbers | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Week of 9/25 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Crew vs Revolution | +1.4+0.3-1.7 | |
| Revolution vs Sporting KC | -1.6+0.4+1.3 | |
| Toronto FC vs DC United | -0.2-0.1+0.3 | |
| Toronto FC vs Orlando | -0.2-0.1+0.3 | |
| DC United vs Crew | +0.2-0.1-0.1 | |
| Impact vs Earthquakes | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
| Red Bulls vs Union | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | |
| Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | |
| Crew vs Fire | +0.1-0.1-0.0 | |
| Galaxy vs Sounders | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | |
| Dynamo vs NYCFC | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | |
| 48 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 26 | 14 | 45 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 46 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 40 | 13 | 35 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 45 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 6 | 48 | 12 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 44 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 6 | 1 | 45 | 7 | 35 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 43 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 3 | 50 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||
| 42 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 47 | 6 | 19 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 48 | 5 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 41 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 2 | 0 | 31 | 2 | 16 | 30 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||
| 40 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 8 | 29 | 33 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 17 | 4 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 39 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 34 | 31 | 12 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 33 | 31 | 14 | 2 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 38 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 36 | 30 | 11 | 1 | ||||||||||||
| 37 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 40 | 27 | 6 | |||||||||||||
| 36 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 43 | 18 | |||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 2 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:36 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
