Real Salt Lake Playoff Chances 2016
Did not play, playoff odds up 0.2 to 97.2%
44 points 12-8-10
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/18 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Supporters Shield | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Sporting KC 2 Galaxy 2 | +0.2 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas | +2.6-0.2-3.9 | +0.2-0.1No | +0.4-0.2-0.4 | |||
| Dynamo vs Timbers | +0.6+0.0-1.2 | +0.1+0.0-0.2 | ||||
| Earthquakes vs Sporting KC | +0.1+0.2-0.4 | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Whitecaps vs Rapids | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Toronto FC vs Union | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 9/25 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Supporters Shield | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake | -2.0+1.2+2.7 | -0.1-0.1+0.4 | -0.3+0.0+0.5 | |||
| Galaxy vs Sounders | +0.6-0.1-1.9 | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | ||||
| Sounders vs Fire | -0.9+0.8+1.3 | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | ||||
| Rapids vs Timbers | +0.5-0.1-1.3 | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | |||
| Revolution vs Sporting KC | +0.6*-0.0-0.9 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Impact vs Earthquakes | +0.3+0.1-1.0 | |||||
| FC Dallas vs Galaxy | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Toronto FC vs DC United | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | |||||
| Toronto FC vs Orlando | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well Real Salt Lake finishes out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Supporters | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Wooden | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | Shield | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Spoon | Count | |||||
| 56 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 8.9 | % | 19 | 49 | 31 | 2 | No | 232,540 | ||||||||||
| 54 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 0.2 | 1 | 20 | 53 | 26 | No | 796,901 | |||||||||||
| 53 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 0.0 | 0 | 9 | 46 | 45 | 0 | No | 1,180,168 | ||||||||||
| 52 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | No | 3 | 31 | 66 | 0 | No | 1,001,972 | |||||||||||
| 51 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | No | 1 | 16 | 81 | 3 | 0 | No | 2,878,719 | ||||||||||
| 50 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 100.0 | % | No | 0 | 7 | 83 | 9 | 0 | 0 | No | 2,011,099 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 100.0 | No | 0 | 7 | 84 | 8 | 0 | 0 | No | 534,635 | ||||||||||
| 49 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 100.0 | No | 0 | 3 | 79 | 17 | 1 | 0 | No | 2,227,912 | |||||||||
| 48 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 99.7 | No | 0 | 0 | 59 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 2,981,064 | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 99.9 | No | 0 | 64 | 32 | 4 | 0 | No | 103,602 | |||||||||||
| 47 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 97.7 | No | 0 | 34 | 45 | 18 | 2 | 0 | No | 1,269,682 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 98.8 | No | 37 | 46 | 16 | 1 | 0 | No | 552,719 | |||||||||||
| 46 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 93.0 | No | 17 | 43 | 33 | 7 | 0 | No | 1,067,223 | ||||||||||
| 45 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 73.2 | No | 3 | 24 | 46 | 25 | 2 | 0 | No | 879,299 | |||||||||
| 44 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 41.3 | No | 0 | 7 | 34 | 45 | 13 | 0 | 0 | No | 261,825 | ||||||||
| Total: | 97.2 | % | 0.1 | % | 0 | 2 | 11 | 57 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 17,979,360 | ||||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 9/18 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Sporting KC 2 Galaxy 2 | -0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas | -0.8+0.3+0.9 | |
| Dynamo vs Timbers | -0.1-0.0+0.3 | |
| Earthquakes vs Sporting KC | -0.1-0.0+0.2 | |
| Whitecaps vs Rapids | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | |
| Toronto FC vs Union | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Week of 9/25 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake | +0.6-0.0-1.1 | |
| Revolution vs Sporting KC | -0.1-0.0+0.2 | |
| Rapids vs Timbers | -0.1-0.0+0.2 | |
| Sounders vs Fire | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
| FC Dallas vs Galaxy | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |
| Galaxy vs Sounders | +0.0-0.1-0.0 | |
| Impact vs Earthquakes | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | |
| 56 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 2 | 31 | 0 | 2 | ||||||||||||||
| 54 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 52 | 1 | 26 | ||||||||||||||
| 53 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 44 | 2 | 45 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 52 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 4 | 66 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 51 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 80 | 0 | 3 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 50 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 81 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 81 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 49 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 72 | 7 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 48 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 45 | 14 | 34 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 44 | 20 | 31 | 1 | 4 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 47 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 0 | 20 | 14 | 43 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 2 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 19 | 18 | 43 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 46 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 6 | 11 | 37 | 6 | 33 | 0 | 7 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 45 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 44 | 1 | 25 | 2 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 44 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 3 | 45 | 13 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 51 | 6 | 17 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:36 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
