Montreal Impact Playoff Chances 2016
Did not play, playoff odds down 0.06 to 82.3%
38 points 9-11-9
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 9/18 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Red Bulls vs Impact | -5.1+1.7+13.8 | +0.0-0.0No | -0.3+0.0+0.8 | |||
| DC United vs Orlando | -1.2+3.1-1.2 | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | ||||
| Toronto FC vs Union | +0.2-0.2-0.3 | +0.1-0.0-0.2 | ||||
| NYCFC vs Fire | +0.1+0.1-0.4 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 9/25 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Impact vs Earthquakes | +10.5-7.5-15.9 | No-0.0+0.0 | +0.4-0.3-0.6 | |||
| Revolution vs Sporting KC | -4.9+2.4+4.6 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||||
| Crew vs Revolution | +1.9+0.4-6.0 | +0.0+0.0-0.2 | ||||
| Toronto FC vs DC United | +1.7*+0.0-5.6 | +0.1+0.0-0.2 | ||||
| Toronto FC vs Orlando | +1.5+0.1-5.3 | +0.0+0.0-0.2 | ||||
| DC United vs Crew | -2.4+2.8+2.5 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||||
| Crew vs Fire | -0.4+0.5+0.3 | |||||
| Red Bulls vs Union | +0.2-0.2-0.3 | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Sounders vs Fire | +0.1+0.1-0.4 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Impact finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Supporters | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Wooden | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | Shield | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Spoon | Count | |||||
| 53 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | No | 16 | 65 | 17 | 1 | No | 41,954 | |||||||||||
| 51 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | No | 1 | 26 | 49 | 24 | No | 200,651 | |||||||||||
| 50 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | No | 0 | 13 | 46 | 39 | 2 | No | 328,581 | ||||||||||
| 49 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | No | 0 | 2 | 25 | 67 | 7 | 0 | No | 389,606 | |||||||||
| 48 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 100.0 | % | No | 0 | 11 | 66 | 23 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,248,088 | ||||||||
| 47 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 100.0 | No | 0 | 6 | 56 | 38 | 0 | 0 | No | 984,079 | |||||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 0 | In | No | 0 | 3 | 56 | 41 | 1 | No | 365,044 | |||||||||||
| 46 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 99.9 | No | 0 | 39 | 56 | 5 | 0 | No | 1,712,234 | ||||||||||
| 45 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 99.5 | No | 20 | 67 | 12 | 1 | 0 | No | 2,622,762 | ||||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 99.8 | No | 21 | 69 | 10 | 0 | No | 164,417 | ||||||||||||
| 44 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 98.0 | No | 9 | 66 | 23 | 2 | 0 | No | 1,317,364 | ||||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 97.6 | No | 8 | 63 | 27 | 2 | 0 | No | 999,340 | |||||||||||
| 43 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 88.2 | No | 2 | 43 | 43 | 11 | 0 | 0 | No | 2,233,159 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 92.8 | No | 3 | 49 | 41 | 7 | 0 | No | 28,542 | |||||||||||
| 42 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 71.6 | No | 0 | 23 | 48 | 26 | 2 | 0 | No | 2,168,283 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 75.8 | No | 0 | 25 | 50 | 22 | 2 | 0 | No | 210,693 | ||||||||||
| 41 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 46.6 | No | 9 | 38 | 44 | 9 | 0 | 0 | No | 767,606 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 42.7 | No | 7 | 36 | 45 | 12 | 0 | No | 607,538 | |||||||||||
| 40 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 16.4 | No | 1 | 15 | 49 | 31 | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 853,584 | ||||||||
| 39 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 3.5 | No | 0 | 3 | 37 | 49 | 10 | 0 | 0.0 | 581,994 | |||||||||
| 38 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 0.1 | No | 0 | 18 | 58 | 23 | 1 | 0.2 | 153,841 | ||||||||||
| Total: | 82.3 | % | No | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 38 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 17,979,360 | ||||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Week of 9/18 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Red Bulls vs Impact | +0.6-0.1-1.8 | |
| Toronto FC vs Union | -0.1+0.0+0.3 | |
| DC United vs Orlando | +0.1-0.2+0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Week of 9/25 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Impact vs Earthquakes | -1.0+0.7+1.6 | |
| Toronto FC vs DC United | -0.1-0.0+0.4 | |
| Crew vs Revolution | -0.1-0.0+0.4 | |
| Revolution vs Sporting KC | +0.2-0.1-0.2 | |
| Toronto FC vs Orlando | -0.1-0.0+0.3 | |
| DC United vs Crew | +0.1-0.2-0.2 | |
| Red Bulls vs Union | -0.1+0.0+0.2 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | |
| 53 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 16 | 4 | 61 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 51 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 5 | 44 | 17 | 7 | ||||||||||||||
| 50 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 44 | 19 | 19 | 2 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 49 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 21 | 46 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||
| 48 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 47 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 53 | 18 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 54 | 18 | 23 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 46 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 14 | 42 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 45 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 0 | 20 | 6 | 62 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 21 | 6 | 64 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 44 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 9 | 1 | 65 | 5 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 8 | 1 | 62 | 5 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 43 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 43 | 2 | 41 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 3 | 0 | 49 | 2 | 39 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 42 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 48 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 50 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 41 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 9 | 0 | 38 | 2 | 13 | 24 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 7 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 11 | 26 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 40 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 33 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 39 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 35 | 34 | 13 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 38 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 42 | 29 | 7 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 5 | 33 | 2 | 19 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:36 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
