FC Dallas Playoff Chances 2016

Did not play, average seed up 0.04 to 1.6
52 points   15-7-8

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/18100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Average seed
Toronto FC 3 Red Bulls 3 +6.1
Sporting KC 2 Galaxy 2 +1.0
+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas-12.2-3.6+22.7
-0.2-0.0+0.3
Toronto FC vs Union-6.0+6.2+8.2
Whitecaps vs Rapids+5.5+2.1-8.0
+0.1+0.0-0.2
Red Bulls vs Impact-0.3+0.4+0.4
NYCFC vs Fire-0.1+0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/25100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Average seed
FC Dallas vs Galaxy+19.8-8.7-21.7
+0.3-0.0-0.5
Toronto FC vs DC United-5.7+6.4+8.3
Toronto FC vs Orlando-5.7+6.4+8.4
Rapids vs Timbers-4.9+4.1+6.9
-0.1+0.1+0.2
Galaxy vs Sounders-1.4+1.8+2.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Red Bulls vs Union-0.3+0.4+0.4
Dynamo vs NYCFC+0.1+0.1-0.3
Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake+0.1*+0.0-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well FC Dallas finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910SpoonCount
644-0-0In99.5%1000No236,200
623-1-0In94.9982No824,205
613-0-1In92.2955No1,233,229
602-2-0In81.5928No1,033,615
592-1-1In68.28416No2,962,629
582-0-2In58.673261No2,046,179
1-3-0In54.07723No548,055
571-2-1In31.560373No2,245,004
561-1-2In16.33649150No2,944,373
0-4-0In20.05149No103,460
551-0-3In6.41647361No1,216,742
0-3-1In6.12652210No542,727
540-2-2In1.0839503No1,018,097
530-1-3In0.111966140No801,330
520-0-4InNo8692300No223,515
Total:In43.6%582813100No17,979,360
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs