East Playoff Chances 2016

Orlando +0.2, DC United -0.3
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsSupporters ShieldChance will finish regular season at seedWooden Spoon
PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change12345678910Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength
Toronto FC47113-8-812In24.7%-9.2821530001.2-0.03No4.584Toronto FC
Red Bulls4512-9-912100.0%+0.01.0-0.613532571002.3+0.05No7.569New York Red Bulls
NYCFC4512-9-9-1100.00.2+0.142756111002.8No6.486New York City FC
Union4111-8-11298.3+0.00.00412522372004.2No11.504Philadelphia Union
Impact3819-11-9-382.3-0.1No013193821125105.3-0.010.0%15.471Montreal Impact
DC United3417-13-9-144.7-0.3No0004132724201016.8-0.010.8+0.019.484DC United
Revolution369-9-12-1242.6+0.1No000314253119716.70.3+0.017.409New England Revolution
Orlando3417-13-9-526.5+0.2No000381622331727.3+0.011.4-0.013.462Orlando City SC
Crew2926-11-11-64.7+0.0No0001471639328.926.6+0.018.450Columbus Crew
Fire2726-9-13-90.9+0.0No00013726649.555.7-0.020.425Chicago Fire

Direct Comments/Corrections to bgix on BigSoccer
Monte Carlo simulation: Does not prove mathematical Clinching or Elimination
Tie Breakers:
1. Wins
2. Goal Differential
3. Goals Scored

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 9/18
Toronto FC 3 Red Bulls 3
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Toronto FC-9.7
-0.0
Red Bulls-0.7
+0.0
Union-0.0
Sporting KC 2 Galaxy 2
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Toronto FC+0.9
Red Bulls+0.1
DC United vs OrlandoIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Impact81.185.481.0
5.45.25.4
DC United61.532.817.5
0.11.02.3
6.27.17.7
Revolution40.247.941.8
6.76.66.7
Orlando13.928.556.5
2.20.80.0
7.87.26.3
Crew4.45.54.1
Red Bulls vs ImpactHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Toronto FC24.524.924.9
1.31.21.1
Red BullsIn100.0100.0
1.70.10.0
2.02.52.8
NYCFC2.92.72.6
Union98.698.297.6
4.24.24.3
Impact77.284.096.1
0.00.0No
5.65.34.5
DC United46.044.440.9
6.76.86.9
Revolution44.741.837.3
6.66.76.9
Orlando27.626.223.3
7.37.37.4
NYCFC vs FireHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Red Bulls2.42.22.1
NYCFCIn100.0100.0
0.50.00.0
2.53.03.2
Union4.34.24.1
DC United44.944.844.1
0.50.71.6
Orlando26.6*26.526.1
0.8*1.42.9
7.37.37.4
Crew22.726.736.9
8.88.99.0
Fire0.20.63.2
64.2*55.733.1
9.69.59.0
Toronto FC vs UnionHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Toronto FC35.314.49.0
1.11.31.5
NYCFC2.82.72.9
Union97.499.1100.0
No*No0.0
4.44.23.6
Impact5.35.45.5
Real Salt Lake vs FC DallasHomeDrawAway
9:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Toronto FC29.726.814.7
Whitecaps vs RapidsHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Toronto FC28.025.820.0
Dynamo vs TimbersHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Crew29.525.122.5
Fire60.353.649.0
Week of 9/25
Crew vs RevolutionIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Union98.798.596.9
4.24.24.3
Impact84.282.776.2
5.35.35.5
DC United48.444.834.1
6.76.76.9
Revolution31.244.971.9
7.16.65.8
Orlando28.826.619.9
1.81.00.7
7.37.37.4
Crew7.71.60.4
16.734.742.9
8.59.29.3
Fire61.751.045.7
9.69.49.4
Revolution vs Sporting KCHomeDrawAway
7:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Union97.598.899.1
4.34.24.2
Impact77.484.786.9
5.55.35.2
DC United37.247.852.5
6.96.76.6
Revolution62.533.822.8
0.00.20.7
6.16.97.3
Orlando21.528.531.7
7.57.37.2
Crew3.35.45.9
8.98.88.8
DC United vs CrewHomeDrawAway
7:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Impact79.985.184.8
5.45.35.3
DC United59.033.621.1
0.00.72.9
6.37.17.7
Revolution37.647.749.2
6.86.66.6
Orlando23.729.729.6
1.11.42.3
7.47.37.3
Crew1.23.915.2
33.225.310.3
9.28.98.0
Fire0.61.11.3
52.356.763.9
9.59.59.6
Toronto FC vs DC UnitedHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Toronto FC34.814.18.8
1.11.31.5
Red Bulls0.71.21.4
2.42.22.2
Union98.7*98.397.1
4.24.24.3
Impact84.0*82.376.7
5.35.35.5
DC United35.946.770.5
1.10.50.0
7.16.75.9
Revolution46.341.532.4
6.66.76.9
Orlando28.825.919.8
7.37.47.5
Crew5.24.53.1
8.88.98.9
Toronto FC vs OrlandoHomeDrawAway
7:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Toronto FC34.714.18.7
1.11.31.5
Red Bulls0.71.11.4
2.42.22.2
NYCFC2.82.72.7
Union98.7*98.397.2
4.24.24.3
Impact83.882.477.0
5.35.35.5
DC United47.144.337.3
6.76.87.0
Revolution45.342.134.5
6.66.76.9
Orlando18.927.550.3
2.10.80.0
7.67.36.5
Crew5.24.63.2
26.326.827.0
8.88.99.0
Impact vs EarthquakesHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Union97.998.699.0
4.34.14.1
Impact92.774.866.4
No0.00.0
4.95.76.0
DC United41.846.949.1
6.96.76.6
Revolution38.745.348.7
6.86.66.5
Orlando24.028.430.1
7.47.37.2
Crew4.15.05.6
Crew vs FireHomeDrawAway
7:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
DC United44.145.645.1
6.86.76.8
Revolution42.143.542.8
6.76.66.7
Orlando25.927.226.9
7.47.37.3
Crew7.51.91.0
11.534.056.2
8.59.19.5
Fire0.20.63.2
71.049.923.3
9.79.48.9
Sounders vs FireHomeDrawAway
10:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
DC United44.944.844.1
0.5*0.81.6
Revolution42.9*42.741.9
6.76.76.8
Orlando26.626.526.0
0.81.42.9
7.37.37.4
Crew22.826.836.9
8.88.99.0
Fire0.20.63.3
63.955.432.7
9.69.59.0
Red Bulls vs UnionHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Toronto FC24.524.924.9
1.31.21.2
Red BullsIn100.0100.0
1.80.10.0
2.02.52.9
NYCFC2.82.72.7
Union97.399.1100.0
No*No0.0
4.54.23.5
Impact5.35.45.5
Dynamo vs NYCFCHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Toronto FC1.21.21.3
Red Bulls2.22.32.5
NYCFC100.0100.0In
0.00.01.0
3.02.82.3
Union4.14.24.3
Crew29.425.122.5
Fire60.353.549.0
FC Dallas vs GalaxyHomeDrawAway
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Toronto FC18.330.728.6
UnionNo0.0*0.0
Rapids vs TimbersHomeDrawAway
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Toronto FC21.926.928.7
Galaxy vs SoundersHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Toronto FC23.426.126.9
UnionNo*0.00.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.