San Jose Earthquakes Playoff Chances 2016 50/50
Did not play, playoff odds up 0.5 to 19.8%
34 points 7-13-8
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/18 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Sporting KC 2 Galaxy 2 | +0.5 | +0.0 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Earthquakes vs Sporting KC | +16.4-4.1-13.3 | -1.0-0.1+1.1 | +0.7-0.2-0.6 | |||
| Dynamo vs Timbers | +2.0+0.4-2.3 | +0.3-0.0-0.2 | ||||
| Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas | -0.6*-0.0+0.6 | |||||
| Whitecaps vs Rapids | -0.6+0.2+0.4 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||||
| NYCFC vs Fire | -0.4-0.2+0.6 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 9/25 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake | +12.4-3.6-9.7 | -1.0-0.2+1.1 | +0.6-0.1-0.5 | |||
| Impact vs Earthquakes | -9.3-3.4+11.9 | +1.1-0.1-1.0 | -0.5-0.1+0.6 | |||
| Revolution vs Sporting KC | +3.9+0.5-4.3 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Sounders vs Fire | -2.8+0.8+2.2 | -0.4-0.1+0.6 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |||
| Galaxy vs Sounders | +2.2+0.8-2.8 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Rapids vs Timbers | +2.3+0.2-2.5 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Dynamo vs NYCFC | -0.3+0.1+0.2 | +0.3-0.0-0.2 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |||
| Crew vs Revolution | +0.4-0.1-0.3 | |||||
| DC United vs Crew | -0.3-0.1+0.3 | |||||
| Crew vs Fire | -0.1-0.1+0.2 | |||||
| Toronto FC vs DC United | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | |||||
| Toronto FC vs Orlando | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Earthquakes finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Supporters | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Wooden | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | Shield | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Spoon | Count | |||||
| 52 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | No | 12 | 44 | 41 | 2 | 0 | No | 13,824 | ||||||||||
| 50 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | No | 1 | 11 | 54 | 30 | 4 | 0 | No | 59,728 | ||||||||
| 49 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 99.7 | No | 0 | 4 | 40 | 46 | 10 | 0 | No | 78,707 | |||||||||
| 48 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 98.1 | No | 0 | 0 | 20 | 52 | 26 | 2 | 0 | No | 113,665 | ||||||||
| 47 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 88.5 | No | 5 | 40 | 44 | 11 | 1 | No | 297,457 | ||||||||||
| 46 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 65.3 | No | 1 | 19 | 45 | 30 | 5 | 0 | No | 195,419 | |||||||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 79.8 | No | 2 | 28 | 51 | 19 | 2 | 0 | No | 114,824 | ||||||||||
| 45 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 47.3 | No | 0 | 8 | 39 | 41 | 12 | 0 | No | 454,085 | |||||||||
| 44 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 19.0 | No | 2 | 18 | 48 | 31 | 1 | 0 | No | 596,243 | |||||||||
| 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 26.4 | No | 2 | 24 | 47 | 26 | 1 | 0 | No | 65,647 | ||||||||||
| 43 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 8.8 | No | 0 | 8 | 41 | 46 | 4 | 0 | No | 343,980 | |||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 4.3 | No | 0 | 4 | 36 | 52 | 8 | 0 | No | 260,599 | ||||||||||
| 42 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 1.3 | No | 0 | 1 | 23 | 60 | 15 | 1 | No | 677,967 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 1.1 | No | 1 | 24 | 63 | 12 | 1 | No | 19,822 | |||||||||||
| 41 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 0.1 | No | 0 | 9 | 53 | 34 | 4 | 0.0 | % | 597,345 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | Out | No | 9 | 58 | 30 | 3 | No | 130,719 | ||||||||||||
| 40 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 2 | Out | No | 3 | 43 | 45 | 9 | 0.0 | 344,372 | |||||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 4 | Out | No | 2 | 35 | 51 | 11 | 0.0 | 195,013 | ||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | No | 4 | 50 | 39 | 7 | No | 2,534 | ||||||||||||
| 39 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 3 | Out | No | 1 | 24 | 55 | 21 | 0.2 | 453,999 | |||||||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | No | 1 | 27 | 53 | 20 | 0.2 | 19,968 | ||||||||||||
| 38 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 4 | Out | No | 0 | 9 | 54 | 37 | 1.2 | 297,804 | |||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 11 | 54 | 35 | 1.2 | 65,450 | ||||||||||||
| 37 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 4 | 45 | 52 | 6.1 | 114,649 | |||||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | - | 5 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 45 | 53 | 5.6 | 78,013 | ||||||||||||
| 36 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 4 | Out | No | 0 | 32 | 68 | 16.6 | 113,222 | ||||||||||||
| 35 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 5 | Out | No | 21 | 79 | 31.2 | 59,676 | |||||||||||||
| 34 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 6 | Out | No | 14 | 86 | 49.9 | 13,989 | |||||||||||||
| Total: | 19.8 | % | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 30 | 21 | 10 | 1.1 | % | 5,778,720 | |||||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 9/18 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Sporting KC 2 Galaxy 2 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Earthquakes vs Sporting KC | -1.4+0.3+1.1 | |
| Whitecaps vs Rapids | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | |
| Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | |
| Dynamo vs Timbers | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
| NYCFC vs Fire | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Week of 9/25 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Impact vs Earthquakes | +1.0+0.3-1.2 | |
| Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake | -1.2+0.3+1.0 | |
| Galaxy vs Sounders | -0.1-0.0+0.2 | |
| Rapids vs Timbers | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | |
| Sounders vs Fire | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
| Toronto FC vs DC United | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | |
| Toronto FC vs Orlando | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | |
| Dynamo vs NYCFC | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | |
| Revolution vs Sporting KC | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | |
| 52 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 6 | 6 | 40 | 4 | 41 | 2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 50 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 53 | 2 | 30 | 0 | 4 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 49 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 36 | 4 | 46 | 0 | 10 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 48 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 51 | 1 | 26 | 0 | 2 | 0 | ||||||||||
| 47 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 2 | 3 | 36 | 4 | 44 | 0 | 11 | 1 | |||||||||||||
| 46 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 44 | 1 | 30 | 5 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 7 | 49 | 1 | 19 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 45 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 5 | 41 | 12 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 44 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 47 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 45 | 27 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 43 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 35 | 46 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 50 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 42 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 47 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 48 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 41 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 39 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 3 | 24 | 38 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| 40 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 0 | 7 | 26 | 37 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 0 | 7 | 26 | 36 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 8 | 29 | 34 | 22 | 6 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| 39 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 37 | 20 | 4 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 37 | 21 | 5 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 38 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 34 | 37 | 15 | 1 | ||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 33 | 38 | 16 | 1 | ||||||||||||||
| 37 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 41 | 34 | 6 | ||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 41 | 32 | 6 | |||||||||||||||
| 36 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 48 | 17 | |||||||||||||||
| 35 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 51 | 31 | ||||||||||||||||
| 34 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 0 | 7 | 43 | 50 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 16 | 19 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 1 | ||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:36 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
