San Jose Earthquakes Playoff Chances 2016
Did not play, playoff odds up 0.6 to 19.2%
34 points 7-13-8
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/18 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Sporting KC 2 Galaxy 2 | +0.6 | +0.0 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Earthquakes vs Sporting KC | +11.7-7.6-14.8 | -0.4+0.0+0.8 | +0.5-0.3-0.7 | |||
| Dynamo vs Timbers | +1.7-0.2-3.0 | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Whitecaps vs Rapids | -0.6+0.3+0.5 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||||
| Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas | -0.3*+0.0+0.5 | |||||
| NYCFC vs Fire | -0.2-0.0+0.5 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 9/25 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Impact vs Earthquakes | -7.3*-0.0+17.9 | +0.3-0.2-0.4 | -0.3+0.0+0.8 | |||
| Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake | +9.2-6.1-11.5 | -0.4+0.0+0.8 | +0.5-0.3-0.6 | |||
| Revolution vs Sporting KC | +3.4*-0.0-4.7 | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Galaxy vs Sounders | +1.3-0.4-4.2 | +0.1-0.0-0.2 | ||||
| Sounders vs Fire | -2.0+1.8+3.1 | -0.2*-0.0+0.5 | -0.1+0.1+0.2 | |||
| Rapids vs Timbers | +1.6-0.6-3.2 | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Dynamo vs NYCFC | -0.2+0.2+0.2 | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | |||
| Crew vs Revolution | +0.1-0.1-0.2 | |||||
| DC United vs Crew | -0.1+0.0+0.3 | |||||
| Crew vs Fire | -0.0-0.1+0.1 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Earthquakes finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Supporters | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Wooden | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | Shield | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Spoon | Count | |||||
| 52 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | No | 6 | 36 | 55 | 3 | 0 | No | 18,706 | ||||||||||
| 50 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | No | 0 | 6 | 57 | 34 | 2 | 0 | No | 97,585 | ||||||||
| 49 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 99.9 | No | 0 | 2 | 45 | 47 | 6 | 0 | No | 156,992 | |||||||||
| 48 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 99.0 | No | 0 | 21 | 59 | 19 | 1 | 0 | No | 230,614 | |||||||||
| 47 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 93.8 | No | 7 | 51 | 36 | 6 | 0 | No | 723,197 | ||||||||||
| 46 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 77.5 | No | 1 | 30 | 46 | 20 | 2 | 0 | No | 558,227 | |||||||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 88.2 | No | 2 | 40 | 46 | 11 | 1 | No | 278,498 | |||||||||||
| 45 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 60.3 | No | 0 | 15 | 45 | 33 | 7 | 0 | No | 1,270,496 | |||||||||
| 44 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 27.6 | No | 3 | 24 | 47 | 24 | 1 | 0 | No | 1,895,442 | |||||||||
| 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 37.8 | No | 5 | 32 | 44 | 18 | 1 | 0 | No | 180,472 | ||||||||||
| 43 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 13.8 | No | 1 | 13 | 43 | 40 | 3 | 0 | No | 1,058,439 | |||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 5.7 | No | 0 | 6 | 39 | 49 | 6 | 0 | No | 914,316 | ||||||||||
| 42 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 1.9 | No | 0 | 2 | 25 | 59 | 14 | 1 | No | 2,271,694 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 1.8 | No | 0 | 2 | 24 | 59 | 14 | 1 | No | 59,099 | ||||||||||
| 41 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 9 | 55 | 33 | 3 | No | 2,087,183 | ||||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | Out | No | 9 | 55 | 33 | 3 | No | 420,564 | ||||||||||||
| 40 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 2 | Out | No | 3 | 41 | 47 | 9 | 0.0 | % | 1,157,204 | ||||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 4 | Out | No | 3 | 39 | 50 | 9 | 0.0 | 688,862 | ||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | No | 3 | 44 | 45 | 8 | No | 7,735 | ||||||||||||
| 39 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 3 | Out | No | 1 | 22 | 56 | 21 | 0.0 | 1,532,443 | |||||||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 21 | 57 | 21 | 0.0 | 64,496 | ||||||||||||
| 38 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 4 | Out | No | 0 | 9 | 55 | 35 | 0.2 | 969,456 | |||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 9 | 55 | 36 | 0.3 | 213,848 | ||||||||||||
| 37 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 3 | 45 | 52 | 1.9 | 364,017 | |||||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | - | 5 | Out | No | 0 | 3 | 47 | 51 | 1.6 | 235,187 | ||||||||||||
| 36 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 4 | Out | No | 0 | 31 | 68 | 7.2 | 334,702 | ||||||||||||
| 35 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 5 | Out | No | 21 | 79 | 17.1 | 157,744 | |||||||||||||
| 34 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 6 | Out | No | 13 | 87 | 33.9 | 32,142 | |||||||||||||
| Total: | 19.2 | % | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 18 | 30 | 23 | 9 | 0.4 | % | 17,979,360 | |||||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 9/18 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Sporting KC 2 Galaxy 2 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Earthquakes vs Sporting KC | -1.0+0.6+1.4 | |
| Whitecaps vs Rapids | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | |
| Dynamo vs Timbers | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Week of 9/25 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Impact vs Earthquakes | +0.7-0.1-1.6 | |
| Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake | -0.9+0.6+1.3 | |
| Galaxy vs Sounders | -0.1+0.0+0.2 | |
| Sounders vs Fire | +0.1-0.1-0.2 | |
| Rapids vs Timbers | -0.1+0.0+0.2 | |
| Toronto FC vs Orlando | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | |
| Dynamo vs NYCFC | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
| Toronto FC vs DC United | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | |
| Revolution vs Sporting KC | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | |
| DC United vs Crew | +0.0-0.1-0.0 | |
| Crew vs Revolution | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | |
| 52 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 7 | 55 | 3 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 50 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 55 | 2 | 34 | 2 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 49 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 5 | 47 | 0 | 6 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 48 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 58 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 47 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 3 | 4 | 47 | 3 | 36 | 0 | 6 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 46 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 6 | 45 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 1 | 2 | 34 | 6 | 46 | 0 | 11 | 1 | ||||||||||||||
| 45 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 43 | 2 | 33 | 7 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 44 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 5 | 47 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 5 | 44 | 18 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 43 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 40 | 40 | 6 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 49 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 42 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 52 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 52 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 41 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 32 | 39 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 4 | 30 | 39 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| 40 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 36 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 1 | 12 | 33 | 35 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 1 | 11 | 32 | 36 | 18 | 4 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| 39 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 34 | 35 | 14 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 32 | 37 | 16 | 2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 38 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 39 | 34 | 10 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| 37 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 44 | 25 | 2 | ||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 43 | 22 | 2 | |||||||||||||||
| 36 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 38 | 43 | 7 | |||||||||||||||
| 35 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 54 | 17 | ||||||||||||||||
| 34 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 53 | 34 | ||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 16 | 21 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | ||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:36 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
