"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats" (thank you Mr. Dater) |
Houston Dynamo Playoff Chances 2016 50/50
Did not play, playoff odds up 0.03 to 1.1%
29 points 6-11-11
Add your own league!
How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 9/18 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Dynamo vs Timbers | +1.6-0.7-1.0 | -12.1+2.1+10.5 | +0.3-0.1-0.3 | |||
| Earthquakes vs Sporting KC | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | +0.2*+0.1-0.3 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |||
| Whitecaps vs Rapids | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | +0.4*+0.1-0.5 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |||
| NYCFC vs Fire | -4.9-1.5+6.1 | |||||
| DC United vs Orlando | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 9/25 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Dynamo vs NYCFC | +1.4-0.6-0.9 | -12.0+2.0+10.5 | +0.3-0.1-0.2 | |||
| Rapids vs Timbers | +0.3+0.1-0.4 | |||||
| Revolution vs Sporting KC | +0.3*+0.0-0.3 | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Sounders vs Fire | -0.2+0.1+0.2 | -4.9-1.5+6.0 | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | |||
| Galaxy vs Sounders | +0.2+0.1-0.2 | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Impact vs Earthquakes | +0.2+0.0-0.2 | -0.2*+0.1+0.2 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |||
| Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake | -0.2+0.0+0.1 | +0.2*+0.0-0.2 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |||
| Crew vs Revolution | +4.0-0.9-3.3 | |||||
| DC United vs Crew | -2.9-0.8+3.5 | |||||
| Crew vs Fire | -1.4-1.4+2.5 | |||||
| Toronto FC vs DC United | -0.6*+0.0+0.5 | |||||
| Toronto FC vs Orlando | -0.5*+0.1+0.5 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well Dynamo finishes out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Supporters | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Wooden | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | Shield | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Spoon | Count | |||||
| 47 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 88.4 | % | No | 5 | 43 | 40 | 11 | 1 | No | 13,729 | |||||||||
| 45 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 45.1 | No | 0 | 9 | 36 | 43 | 11 | 1 | No | 60,004 | |||||||||
| 44 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 18.1 | No | 2 | 17 | 47 | 30 | 5 | 0 | No | 78,542 | |||||||||
| 43 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 5.8 | No | 0 | 6 | 36 | 44 | 14 | 1 | No | 113,601 | |||||||||
| 42 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0.7 | No | 0 | 1 | 18 | 49 | 30 | 3 | No | 297,493 | |||||||||
| 41 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 5 | 35 | 48 | 11 | No | 195,500 | ||||||||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 6 | 36 | 47 | 11 | No | 115,689 | |||||||||||
| 40 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | Out | No | 1 | 20 | 54 | 25 | 0.0 | % | 453,577 | ||||||||||
| 39 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 9 | 50 | 41 | 0.1 | 594,674 | |||||||||||
| 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 9 | 50 | 41 | 0.2 | 65,340 | ||||||||||||
| 38 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 34 | 63 | 1.5 | 344,388 | |||||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 34 | 63 | 1.0 | 261,171 | ||||||||||||
| 37 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 20 | 80 | 6.7 | 679,323 | |||||||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 19 | 81 | 8.8 | 20,054 | |||||||||||||
| 36 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 10 | 90 | 16.8 | 596,062 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 10 | 90 | 20.1 | 130,945 | |||||||||||||
| 35 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 2 | Out | No | 3 | 97 | 35.5 | 344,278 | |||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 4 | Out | No | 3 | 97 | 30.2 | 195,363 | ||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | No | 2 | 98 | 39.4 | 2,477 | ||||||||||||||
| 34 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 100 | 53.2 | 453,611 | |||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | No | 100 | 58.3 | 19,949 | |||||||||||||||
| 29 | -33 | Out | No | 100 | 77.9 | 742,950 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 1.1 | % | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 65 | 20.7 | % | 5,778,720 | |||||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Week of 9/18 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Dynamo vs Timbers | -0.9+0.3+0.7 | |
| NYCFC vs Fire | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | |
| Whitecaps vs Rapids | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | |
| Earthquakes vs Sporting KC | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Week of 9/25 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Dynamo vs NYCFC | -0.9+0.3+0.7 | |
| Toronto FC vs Orlando | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | |
| Toronto FC vs DC United | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | |
| Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | |
| Sounders vs Fire | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | |
| Crew vs Revolution | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
| Impact vs Earthquakes | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | |
| Crew vs Fire | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
| DC United vs Crew | -0.0-0.1+0.1 | |
| Galaxy vs Sounders | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | |
| 47 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 2 | 40 | 0 | 11 | 1 | |||||||||||||
| 45 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 3 | 43 | 12 | 1 | ||||||||||||
| 44 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 3 | 47 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 43 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 33 | 43 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 42 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 42 | 34 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 41 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 42 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 39 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 40 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 37 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 39 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 38 | 22 | 5 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 38 | 25 | 6 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 38 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 29 | 41 | 19 | 2 | |||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 33 | 39 | 15 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| 37 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 40 | 39 | 7 | ||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 36 | 45 | 9 | ||||||||||||||||
| 36 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 52 | 17 | |||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 53 | 20 | |||||||||||||||||
| 35 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 53 | 36 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 55 | 30 | |||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 8 | 52 | 39 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 34 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 0 | 3 | 44 | 53 | |||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 2 | 40 | 58 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 33 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 1 | 31 | 68 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 0 | 27 | 72 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 32 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 0 | 17 | 83 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 0 | 21 | 79 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 31 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 0 | 9 | 91 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 30 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 5 | 95 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 29 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 2 | 98 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 25 | 21 | ||||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:36 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
