Columbus Crew Playoff Chances 2016
Did not play, playoff odds up 0.03 to 4.7%
29 points 6-11-11
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 9/18 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | 100.0* | Average seed |
| DC United vs Orlando | -0.2+0.9-0.6 | -0.1+0.1*+0.1 | ||||
| Red Bulls vs Impact | +0.3-0.2-0.7 | |||||
| NYCFC vs Fire | -3.9+0.1+10.3 | +0.1+0.0-0.2 | ||||
| Dynamo vs Timbers | +2.9-1.5-4.0 | |||||
| Whitecaps vs Rapids | +0.3+0.1-0.4 | |||||
| Earthquakes vs Sporting KC | +0.1*+0.0-0.3 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 9/25 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | 100.0* | Average seed |
| DC United vs Crew | -3.4-0.8+10.5 | +6.6-1.3-16.3 | -0.3+0.0+0.8 | |||
| Crew vs Revolution | +3.0-3.0-4.2 | -9.9+8.1+16.4 | +0.3-0.3-0.5 | |||
| Crew vs Fire | +2.8-2.7-3.6 | -15.1+7.4+29.6 | +0.4-0.3-0.6 | |||
| Revolution vs Sporting KC | -1.3+0.7+1.2 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||||
| Toronto FC vs DC United | +0.5-0.1-1.6 | -0.1+0.1+0.2 | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | |||
| Toronto FC vs Orlando | +0.5-0.1-1.5 | -0.2+0.2+0.4 | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | |||
| Impact vs Earthquakes | -0.5+0.3+0.9 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||||
| Sounders vs Fire | +0.0*+0.0-0.1 | -3.7+0.3+10.4 | +0.1+0.0-0.2 | |||
| Dynamo vs NYCFC | +2.8-1.5-4.1 | |||||
| Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake | +0.1*+0.0-0.3 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Crew finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Supporters | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Wooden | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | Shield | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Spoon | Count | |||||
| 47 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | No | 1 | 17 | 51 | 29 | 3 | No | 9,592 | ||||||||||
| 45 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 99.0 | % | No | 15 | 57 | 27 | 1 | 0 | No | 49,933 | |||||||||
| 44 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 95.7 | No | 7 | 47 | 42 | 4 | 0 | No | 86,946 | ||||||||||
| 43 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 82.4 | No | 1 | 27 | 54 | 16 | 1 | 0 | No | 135,443 | |||||||||
| 42 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 57.7 | No | 0 | 10 | 47 | 35 | 7 | 0 | No | 461,550 | |||||||||
| 41 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 34.6 | No | 3 | 32 | 47 | 17 | 1 | 0 | No | 389,674 | |||||||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 30.3 | No | 2 | 28 | 47 | 21 | 1 | No | 187,930 | |||||||||||
| 40 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 9.4 | No | 0 | 9 | 38 | 43 | 10 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 942,114 | ||||||||
| 39 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 2.0 | No | 0 | 2 | 21 | 51 | 25 | 1 | 0.1 | 1,553,373 | |||||||||
| 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 1.8 | No | 2 | 20 | 55 | 23 | 0 | 0.0 | 140,306 | |||||||||||
| 38 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0.2 | No | 0 | 6 | 43 | 49 | 2 | 0.5 | 909,604 | ||||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 0.3 | No | 0 | 9 | 44 | 44 | 2 | 0.5 | 840,456 | |||||||||||
| 37 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 1 | 22 | 68 | 10 | 3.9 | 2,181,033 | ||||||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 22 | 73 | 4 | 2.0 | 52,758 | ||||||||||||
| 36 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 8 | 68 | 24 | 13.4 | 2,268,162 | |||||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 10 | 73 | 17 | 10.4 | 413,356 | ||||||||||||
| 35 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 2 | Out | No | 3 | 59 | 38 | 28.5 | 1,268,615 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 4 | Out | No | 3 | 57 | 41 | 28.5 | 861,912 | |||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | No | 1 | 70 | 29 | 22.6 | 7,905 | |||||||||||||
| 34 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 37 | 62 | 52.1 | 1,884,960 | ||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | No | 50 | 50 | 43.9 | 70,857 | ||||||||||||||
| 33 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 4 | Out | No | 19 | 81 | 73.6 | 1,344,278 | |||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 2 | Out | No | 24 | 76 | 70.7 | 259,682 | ||||||||||||||
| 32 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 3 | Out | No | 8 | 92 | 88.7 | 490,904 | |||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | - | 5 | Out | No | 7 | 93 | 87.6 | 361,918 | ||||||||||||||
| 31 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 4 | Out | No | 1 | 99 | 96.8 | 497,301 | |||||||||||||
| 29 | -30 | Out | No | 100 | 99.5 | 308,798 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 4.7 | % | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 39 | 32 | 26.6 | % | 17,979,360 | |||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Week of 9/18 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Dynamo vs Timbers | +0.1-0.1-0.2 | |
| NYCFC vs Fire | -0.1-0.0+0.2 | |
| Whitecaps vs Rapids | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | |
| Earthquakes vs Sporting KC | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Week of 9/25 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| DC United vs Crew | +0.6+0.0-1.5 | |
| Crew vs Fire | -0.7+0.5+1.1 | |
| Crew vs Revolution | -0.6+0.6+0.9 | |
| Dynamo vs NYCFC | +0.1-0.1-0.2 | |
| Toronto FC vs Orlando | -0.1+0.0+0.2 | |
| Sounders vs Fire | -0.0-0.0+0.2 | |
| Revolution vs Sporting KC | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | |
| Toronto FC vs DC United | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | |
| Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | |
| 47 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | 17 | 2 | 49 | 14 | 15 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 45 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 15 | 5 | 52 | 12 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 44 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 7 | 1 | 46 | 9 | 33 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 43 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 3 | 51 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||
| 42 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 47 | 6 | 18 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 41 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 3 | 0 | 32 | 2 | 16 | 28 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 2 | 15 | 29 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 40 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 35 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 39 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 36 | 18 | 3 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 36 | 18 | 3 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 38 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 34 | 38 | 14 | 1 | ||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 36 | 35 | 11 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 37 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 44 | 33 | 4 | |||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 44 | 36 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||
| 36 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 48 | 13 | |||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 32 | 52 | 10 | ||||||||||||||||
| 35 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 54 | 28 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 51 | 29 | |||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 15 | 62 | 23 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 34 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 41 | 52 | ||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 6 | 50 | 44 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 33 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 2 | 25 | 74 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 2 | 28 | 71 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 32 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 0 | 11 | 89 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 0 | 12 | 88 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 31 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 0 | 3 | 97 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 30 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 1 | 99 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 29 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 0 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 27 | 27 | ||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:36 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
