Minnesota Twins Playoff Chances 1 50/50

Beat Royals 5-3, playoff odds up 2 to 29.8%
3-4   .429

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Reg Season Champ100.0*Worst Team100.0*Average seed
Royals 3 Twins 5 +2.7
+0.4
-0.7
+0.3
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Reg Season Champ100.0*Worst Team100.0*Average seed
Royals vs Twins-2.8+2.8
-0.4+0.4
+0.6-0.6
-0.3+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Twins finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inReg SeasonChance will finish regular season at seedWorst
TWW-LplayoffsChamp123456789101112131415TeamCount
100-158In99.1%100No352*
9996-59In96.19810No231
9895-60In93.89721No371
9794-61In82.99361No543
9693-62In78.990802No866
9592-63In70.88611030No1,289
9491-64In58.68015040No1,839
9390-65In45.47022180No2,595
9289-66In31.96127290No3,380
9188-67100.0%17.2463451510No4,538
9087-6899.88.3333781920No6,045
8986-6999.73.321361325500No7,572
8885-7098.70.7103318299100No9,348
8784-7196.20.14242230163000No11,138
8683-7289.30.01142425259100No13,152
8582-7374.6No07211730196100No14,783
8481-7452.1No021782428154100No16,502
8380-7529.2No01113152926123000No17,707
8279-7612.5No061519302511200No18,735
8178-774.5No301721312410200No19,282
8077-781.6No100292231239200No19,328
7976-790.5No1000210243222810No18,686
7875-800.2No00000312273119610No18,094
7774-810.1No000141529301740No16,364
7673-820.0No00016193228122No14,942
7572-830.0No00002926362350.1%13,014
7471-84OutNo0003153534120.611,307
7370-85OutNo00182742222.79,372
7269-86OutNo00041844358.17,564
7168-87OutNo0110394917.86,052
7067-88OutNo016326131.14,665
6966-89OutNo02257245.03,631
6865-90OutNo01178257.62,700
6764-91OutNo00128869.71,844
6663-92OutNo079280.01,258
6562-93OutNo059487.4889
6461-94OutNo029890.1567
6360-95OutNo19994.6352
6259-96OutNo39796.2235
6158-97OutNo19998.6139
3-60OutNo10099.1229*
Total:29.8%2.6%5666677777777783.7%301,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Royals 3 Twins 5 -0.7
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Royals vs Twins+0.7-0.7

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
101-158100
10097-58982
9996-59964
9895-609460
9794-6183161
9693-62791920
9592-63712630
9491-64593381
9390-65453913200
9289-66324120510
9188-67173729133100
9087-688253221103000
8986-693132629187200000
8885-7015142626177200100
8784-71015142325188203000
8683-72001412202418829200
8582-73012817221871771000
8481-74000151219142017820000
8380-750000310161221201251000
8279-76002103112023171041000
8178-7700402715222216831000
8077-780020013917232214731000
7976-79010001410182321146200
7875-80000025132023191151000
7774-810000138152322169300
7673-8200000251220252011510
7572-830000013918252414510
7471-840001281726251551
7370-850028182926133
7269-860001292133268
7168-87001413303518
7067-88016233931
6966-89003133945
6865-900173458
6764-910032770
6663-92021880
6562-9311287
6461-9401090
6360-951595
6259-96496
6158-97199
6057-98298
3-59100
Total:333333333333333333334444444444