Kansas City Royals Playoff Chances 1 50/50

Lost to Twins 3-5, playoff odds down 3.1 to 42.1%
5-2   .714

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Reg Season Champ100.0*Worst Team100.0*Average seed
Royals 3 Twins 5 -3.5
-0.9
+0.3
-0.3
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Reg Season Champ100.0*Worst Team100.0*Average seed
Royals vs Twins+3.1-3.1
+0.7-0.7
-0.3+0.3
+0.3-0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Royals finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inReg SeasonChance will finish regular season at seedWorst
TWW-LplayoffsChamp123456789101112131415TeamCount
102-160InYes100No346*
10196-59In98.3%1000No231
10095-60In97.1982No375
9994-61In95.5982No597
9893-62In91.39630No878
9792-63In86.795500No1,283
9691-64In80.592702No1,802
9590-65In70.9861102No2,645
9489-66In58.38016030No3,577
9388-67In43.77023160No4,709
9287-68In29.15829390No6,107
9186-69100.0%17.5473551300No7,663
9085-7099.97.73339917100No9,227
8984-7199.83.22139132240No11,231
8883-7298.90.6113420268100No13,186
8782-7396.60.14252428163000No14,829
8681-7490.30.011626242381000No16,598
8580-7576.5No08241728175100No17,680
8479-7655.0No031982527144000No18,674
8378-7731.0No01133142825123000No19,079
8277-7813.5No0815183024113000No19,298
8176-795.2No04017203124102000No18,665
8075-802.1No0200282331239200No17,756
7974-810.9No10002102431228100No16,348
7873-820.2No0000312263219610No15,052
7772-830.1No000141528311740No13,064
7671-840.0No0000161933291120.0%11,072
7570-850.0No00002926352350.19,533
7469-86OutNo0003163534120.67,655
7368-87OutNo00182741222.96,131
7267-88OutNo0041843357.94,630
7166-89OutNo0110385018.03,522
7065-90OutNo006355930.12,516
6964-91OutNo03237446.01,858
6863-92OutNo01188157.81,288
6762-93OutNo1138773.2833
6661-94OutNo79381.3584
6560-95OutNo039684.8363
6459-96OutNo59587.7227
6358-97OutNo59590.9164
6257-98OutNo10095.793
6156-99OutNo298Yes42
5-60OutNo10098.989*
Total:42.1%5.0%9998777766665541.8%301,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Royals 3 Twins 5 +0.7
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Royals vs Twins-0.6+0.6

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
102-160100
10196-59982
10095-60973
9994-619540
9893-629180
9792-63871210
9691-64811720
9590-65712630
9489-665833810
9388-67443914300
9287-682941226100
9186-691735291441000
9085-70826322210310000
8984-713132628188200000
8883-7215152526178200100
8782-73015142325178203000
8681-740014122124188282000
8580-750013817221971571000
8479-7600015132016181772000
8378-7701310171220191251000
8277-7800031131119221794100
8176-7900050261521221683100
8075-80020013816222215731000
7974-810100014101823211462100
7873-8200002512202320115100
7772-830000138152223178310
7671-84000001512192421124100
7570-85000013918252414510
7469-86000281825261651
7368-8700028182827143
7267-8800292133268
7166-89001412303618
7065-90016233930
6964-91002133846
6863-920173458
6762-93042273
6661-9421681
6560-9511485
6459-961288
6358-971991
6257-98496
6156-99100
6055-100397
5-59100
Total:554444444444333333333333332222