Philadelphia Phillies Playoff Chances 1 50/50

Lost to Mets 3-4, playoff odds down 2.9 to 30.5%
3-4   .429

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Reg Season Champ100.0*Worst Team100.0*Average seed
Phillies 3 Mets 4 -3.1
-0.6
+0.5
-0.3
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Reg Season Champ100.0*Worst Team100.0*Average seed
Phillies vs Mets+2.8-2.8
+0.5-0.5
-0.6+0.6
+0.3-0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Phillies finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inReg SeasonChance will finish regular season at seedWorst
TWW-LplayoffsChamp123456789101112131415TeamCount
101-158In99.5%100No205*
10097-58In96.6991No146
9996-59In93.89810No227
9895-60In92.0973No376
9794-61In84.39271No554
9693-62In80.79352No884
9592-63In71.088903No1,329
9491-64In57.8821404No1,867
9390-65In44.57219170No2,629
9289-66In30.261263100No3,521
9188-67In16.947334141No4,581
9087-6899.9%8.63636720200No6,159
8986-6999.73.022371125400No7,540
8885-7099.00.6123216309100No9,230
8784-7196.70.1524213016300No11,364
8683-7290.1No2152128259100No13,101
8582-7376.8No07201831185100No14,869
8481-7455.5No021692828133000No16,621
8380-7531.6No0111317302610200No17,579
8279-7613.5No06172031249200No18,954
8178-774.6No030192332228200No18,982
8077-781.5No0102102431218100No19,383
7976-790.5No0003112631207100No18,541
7875-800.1No0000414283117510No17,859
7774-810.0No000151730301430No16,372
7673-820.0No000172133271010.0%14,878
7572-83OutNo00021027342150.113,170
7471-84OutNo0014173632100.711,206
7370-85OutNo00192941202.89,415
7269-86OutNo000141944328.07,522
7168-87OutNo00211404618.26,142
7067-88OutNo16355929.84,643
6966-89OutNo03286944.63,532
6865-90OutNo02198059.42,655
6764-91OutNo1138771.01,896
6663-92OutNo0089279.61,237
6562-93OutNo069486.2864
6461-94OutNo49690.4561
6360-95OutNo29895.3339
61-62OutNo10098.6365*
6057-98OutNo19998.885
3-59OutNo100Yes117*
Total:30.5%2.6%6666777777777773.7%301,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Phillies 3 Mets 4 +0.7
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Phillies vs Mets-0.7+0.7

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
103-158100
10299-56982
10198-57100
10097-58973
9996-599460
9895-609280
9794-6184151
9693-62811810
9592-63712540
9491-645834710
9390-65453913200
9289-663040227100
9188-67173630133100
9087-68926312110300000
8986-693142628188200000
8885-7015152626177200100
8784-7101514232518820300
8683-72014112124189281000
8582-730013817231871561000
8481-740015132015191582000
8380-75001311171121191151000000
8279-7600310310202217941000
8178-77000402615222216831000
8077-78001001381622221573100
7976-7900001410182321146200
7875-8000002512212419115100
7774-8100001381522231783100
7673-82000001512202420124100
7572-8300013918252315510
7471-840001381826251551
7370-8500028192827133
7269-86001292331268
7168-8700313293618
7067-880016224030
6966-89003133945
6865-900183259
6764-910032571
6663-92021980
6562-9311386
6461-941090
6360-95595
6259-96298
6158-97199
6057-98199
3-59100
Total:333333333333333333444444444444