Seattle Mariners Playoff Chances 1 50/50

Beat Astros 2-0, playoff odds up 3.2 to 38.6%
5-3   .625

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Reg Season Champ100.0*Worst Team100.0*Average seed
Mariners 2 Astros 0 +3.2
+0.6
-0.4
+0.3
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Reg Season Champ100.0*Worst Team100.0*Average seed
Mariners vs Astros+3.0-3.0
+0.7-0.7
-0.4+0.4
+0.3-0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Mariners finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inReg SeasonChance will finish regular season at seedWorst
TWW-LplayoffsChamp123456789101112131415TeamCount
102-159In98.6%100No277*
10196-58In97.1982No172
10095-59In97.41000No313
9994-60In93.79810No443
9893-61In92.39721No627
9792-62In87.29451No1,013
9691-63In80.992601No1,515
9590-64In71.7861003No2,150
9489-65In58.48015040No2,987
9388-66In45.27220170No4,029
9287-67100.0%30.2592821100No5,166
9186-68In17.247345141No6,984
9085-69100.08.4343682020No8,511
8984-7099.82.720371225500No10,117
8883-7199.00.5113217309100No12,334
8782-7296.20.1424223016300No14,127
8681-7389.7No11523252691000No15,741
8580-7475.10.007211730195100No17,378
8479-7553.1No021692628144100No18,367
8378-7629.6No01113152926123000No19,124
8277-7712.9No0616193124112000No19,186
8176-784.6No301721312410200No18,919
8075-791.4No100292330239200No18,383
7974-800.5No100310243122810No17,305
7873-810.2No0000312263120610No15,648
7772-820.0No0000141529301640No13,881
7671-830.0No0000161932291120.0%12,177
7570-84OutNo0002926352350.110,458
7469-85OutNo0014163434120.78,479
7368-86OutNo00182742222.86,728
7267-87OutNo00031744358.15,327
7166-88OutNo0110395017.64,097
7065-89OutNo006326232.42,978
6964-90OutNo003267143.82,210
6863-91OutNo2197956.01,427
6762-92OutNo1138668.61,003
6661-93OutNo079280.4723
6560-94OutNo049686.7458
6459-95OutNo29890.4292
6358-96OutNo19992.4171
6257-97OutNo100Yes125
6156-98OutNo29898.360
5-60OutNo100Yes90*
Total:38.6%4.2%8878777776666552.2%301,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Mariners 2 Astros 0 -0.7
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Mariners vs Astros-0.7+0.7

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
159154-0100
110105-49100
104-109100
10398-56982
10297-57982
10196-58973
10095-59973
9994-60946
9893-61928
9792-62871210
9691-63811810
9590-64722440
9489-655833710
9388-66453913200
9287-6730402261000
9186-68173530143100
9085-69825322292100
8984-70313262919821000
8883-7105152526187200100
8782-7201514242417820300
8681-73014122124188282000
8580-740001381722187167200
8479-7500015122015191782100
8378-76001310161221191251000
8277-77000210311202217931000
8176-7800402715212217831000
8075-79001013916222215721000
7974-8001000014101823211462000
7873-810000002512202319115100
7772-820000138162223168210
7671-830001511202520124100
7570-8400013919252314510
7469-850001281726251451
7368-8600027182827143
7267-87001392232258
7166-88001313293718
7065-890017213932
6964-90003134044
6863-910183556
6762-92042769
6661-9311880
6560-9411287
6459-951090
6358-96892
6257-97100
6156-98298
5-60100
Total:444444444344433333333333333322