Only here so I don't get fined! Playoff Chances 2015
Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.5%
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||||
| Week of 9/10 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| 12th vs Stags | +10.7-10.7 | +1.3-1.3 | ||
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||||
| Week of 9/17 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Marioto vs 12th | -10.7+10.7 | -1.3+1.3 | ||
What If
Chances based on how well the 12th finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 12 | 12 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 0 | 4,069 | |||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 11 | - | 1 | In | 98 | 2 | 0 | 36,477 | ||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 10 | - | 2 | In | 89 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 201,498 | |||||||||||||||
| 9 | 9 | - | 3 | In | 55 | 35 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 672,093 | |||||||||||||
| 8 | 8 | - | 4 | 99.9 | % | 12 | 31 | 32 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1,511,672 | ||||||||||
| 7 | 7 | - | 5 | 81.4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 26 | 22 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2,420,008 | |||||||
| 6 | 6 | - | 6 | 10.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 23 | 23 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2,820,304 | |||||
| 5 | 5 | - | 7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 26 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2,420,365 | |||||||
| 4 | 4 | - | 8 | Out | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 32 | 31 | 12 | 1,512,031 | ||||||||||
| 3 | 3 | - | 9 | Out | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 35 | 55 | 671,335 | |||||||||||||
| 2 | 2 | - | 10 | Out | 0 | 0 | 11 | 89 | 201,575 | |||||||||||||||
| 1 | 1 | - | 11 | Out | 0 | 2 | 98 | 36,744 | ||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 12 | Out | 0 | 100 | 4,037 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 37.5 | % | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 12,512,208 | |||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||
| Week of 9/10 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| 12th vs Stags | -2.5+2.5 | |
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||
| Week of 9/17 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Marioto vs 12th | +2.5-2.5 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 12 | 12 | - | 0 | 100 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 11 | - | 1 | 96 | 4 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 10 | - | 2 | 74 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 9 | - | 3 | 27 | 36 | 24 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 8 | - | 4 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | 21 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 7 | - | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 6 | 6 | - | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||
| 5 | 5 | - | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 4 | 4 | - | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 21 | 20 | 15 | 7 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 3 | - | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 36 | 27 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 2 | - | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 75 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 1 | - | 11 | 0 | 4 | 96 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 12 | 0 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | ||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:22 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
