Gowanda Shenanigans Playoff Chances 2013-2014

Beat Grand Island Landsharks 502-408, playoff odds up 6.3 to 32.4%

5-11-0 .313

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 1/19	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Gowanda Shenanigans 502 Grand Island Landsharks 408	+3.8		+0.1
Got Malk? 261 Redwall Avengers 428	-1.4
NorCal Wildfires 391 Boston Red Coats 337	+1.1

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 1/26	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Gowanda Shenanigans vs NorCal Wildfires	+3.0+1.0-1.7		+0.1+0.0-0.0
Off Constantly vs Redwall Avengers	+1.6-1.6-3.0		+0.0-0.0-0.1

Chances based on how well the Gowanda Shenanigans finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	Count

11		6	-	0	-	0	In			16	81	2			8,108
10	.5	5	-	0	-	1	In			13	82	5			1,097
10		5	-	1	-	0	100.0	%	0	2	70	28	0		110,242
		4	-	0	-	2	In			7	75	18			76
9	.5	4	-	1	-	1	98.9			2	60	38	1		13,719
		3	-	0	-	3	In				33	67			3
9		4	-	2	-	0	94.5			0	32	63	5	0	632,476
		3	-	1	-	2	94.6				37	57	5		612
8	.5	3	-	2	-	1	77.1			0	21	56	22	1	58,073
		2	-	1	-	3	92.9				50	43	7		14
8		3	-	3	-	0	62.5				7	55	34	4	1,706,836
		2	-	2	-	2	55.9				7	49	40	4	1,890
7	.5	2	-	3	-	1	35.8				1	34	47	18	109,337
		1	-	2	-	3	33.3				5	29	57	10	21
7		2	-	4	-	0	18.3					18	53	29	2,350,915
		1	-	3	-	2	12.4					12	50	38	2,281
6	.5	1	-	4	-	1	1.2					1	39	60	95,871
		0	-	3	-	3	Out						57	43	7
6		1	-	5	-	0	Out						21	79	1,592,533
		0	-	4	-	2	Out						10	90	959
5	.5	0	-	5	-	1	Out						1	99	31,016
5		0	-	6	-	0	Out							100	419,410

Total:							32.4	%	0	0	6	26	32	36	7,135,496

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Week of 1/19	100.0*	Lottery seed
Gowanda Shenanigans 502 Grand Island Landsharks 408	-0.5
NorCal Wildfires 391 Boston Red Coats 337	-0.1

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 1/26	100.0*	Lottery seed
Gowanda Shenanigans vs NorCal Wildfires	-0.3-0.0+0.2
Off Constantly vs Redwall Avengers	-0.1+0.0+0.1
Boston Red Coats vs North Pole Polar Bears	+0.1+0.1-0.0
Top Shelf Cheap Shots vs Got Malk?	-0.0+0.1+0.1

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12

11		6	-	0	-	0					1	14	43	34	8
10	.5	5	-	0	-	1						7	33	48	12
10		5	-	1	-	0						0	6	36	58	0
		4	-	0	-	2							7	33	61
9	.5	4	-	1	-	1						0	4	32	64	0
		3	-	0	-	3								33	67
9		4	-	2	-	0							0	5	92	3	0
		3	-	1	-	2							0	5	92	3
8	.5	3	-	2	-	1							0	3	89	8	0
		2	-	1	-	3									100
8		3	-	3	-	0								0	80	20	0	0
		2	-	2	-	2								0	78	22	0
7	.5	2	-	3	-	1									60	38	2	0
		1	-	2	-	3									57	43
7		2	-	4	-	0									39	54	6	0
		1	-	3	-	2									35	57	7	0
6	.5	1	-	4	-	1									12	60	25	3
		0	-	3	-	3									14	57	29
6		1	-	5	-	0									4	52	37	7
		0	-	4	-	2									2	46	43	9
5	.5	0	-	5	-	1										15	51	34
5		0	-	6	-	0										8	48	44

Total:											0	0	0	1	44	36	14	4