How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 4/8100.0*Chance in playoffs
Carcajou vs Sangliers+0.3-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 4/15100.0*Chance in playoffs
Carcajou vs Fourmies Charpentieres+0.5*-0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Carcajou finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTL-OTplayoffs1234567Count
407-00-091.4%345794,514
396-10-078.315632292
385-20-053.8450451582*
375-10-131.91316352,461*
364-20-113.701472158,146*
354-10-24.14663024,595*
343-20-20.91514862,786*
333-21-10.10346642,593
3-10-30.10336736,147
4-01-20.10356526,452
2-30-20.10326838,023*
323-11-20.001981107,772
2-20-30.00178354,368
2-31-10.00188242,521
4-02-10.00208047,154*
3-00-4Out188234,915*
312-21-2Out892162,658
3-12-1Out1090105,655
3-01-3Out99188,289
2-10-4Out89267,562
1-30-3Out79336,937
1-41-1Out79321,402
2-32-0Out99132,455*
302-11-3Out397266,670
2-22-1Out397161,151
3-02-2Out496130,625
1-31-2Out298109,809
1-20-4Out29868,651
3-13-0Out49634,941
2-00-5Out39732,496
1-42-0Out29824,415*
292-12-2Out199395,852
1-21-3Out199269,855
2-01-4Out199160,302
1-32-1Out199108,018
3-03-1Out19986,124
1-10-5Out19965,772
2-23-0Out19952,885
0-41-2Out010027,815
0-30-4Out010024,963*
281-22-2Out0100399,638
1-11-4Out0100324,808
2-02-3Out0100317,228
2-13-1Out0100260,845
0-31-3Out10090,624
1-33-0Out010035,458
0-20-5Out10033,273
0-42-1Out10027,525
1-00-6Out010046,593*
19-27Out1007,996,141*
Total:0.1%0029812,600,556

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs