Montreal Canadiens Playoff Chances Saison9

Beat Calgary 5-3, playoff odds up 8.9 to 100%

89 points 41 33-7

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Calgary 3 Montreal 5	In		+0.8
St-Louis 0 Vancouver 5	-2.4		-0.2
Boston 4 Calgary 6	-2.4		-0.1
Vancouver 2 Ottawa 1	-2.4		-0.1
Washington 2 Chicago 3	-1.9		+0.2
Chicago 6 Pittsburgh 0	-1.1		+0.2
NY Rangers 5 Anaheim 1	+0.2		+0.2
Washington 2 Los Angeles 3 (so)	-0.2		+0.1
Nashville 5 Anaheim 3	+0.1		+0.1
Columbus 3 Anaheim 4	-0.1		-0.1
Anaheim 3 San Jose 2 (so)	*-0.1		-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Montreal vs Calgary			+0.9+0.9+0.9-0.1-0.1-1.8
Pittsburgh vs Edmonton			-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Montreal finish out the regular season. Explain

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs	Président	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

91	1	0		-	0	In	No				100												9,474,861
90	0	0		-	1	In	No					100											1,447,459
89	0	1		-	0	In	No						32	68									4,484,180

Total:						In	No				61	9	9	20									15,406,500

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Why are you looking down here? We just made the playoffs!

Big Games

Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Calgary 3 Montreal 5	-1.5
Washington 2 Chicago 3	-0.4
NY Rangers 5 Anaheim 1	-0.3
Chicago 6 Pittsburgh 0	-0.3
St-Louis 0 Vancouver 5	+0.3
Vancouver 2 Ottawa 1	+0.3
Washington 2 Los Angeles 3 (so)	-0.2
Nashville 5 Anaheim 3	-0.2
Columbus 3 Anaheim 4	+0.2
Anaheim 3 San Jose 2 (so)	+0.1
Boston 4 Calgary 6	+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Montreal vs Calgary	-1.8-1.8-1.8+0.2+0.2+3.6
Pittsburgh vs Edmonton	+0.2+0.2+0.2-0.4-0.4-0.4

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

91	1	0		-	0								100
90	0	0		-	1										100
89	0	1		-	0												32		68

Total:													61		9		9		20