How are these numbers calculated?

## Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

 Week of 2/22 100.0* Chance wins title 100.0* Playoff LFFA B 100.0* Campeonato Nacional 100.0* Average seed Doza 24 Olímpia 23 -2.9 -7.9 -0.6 Bolanha 22 Floresta Negra 17 -0.2 Olimorque 23 Dima Cardinals 22 +0.2 +1.1 Duas 28 FAC Metropolitano 17 -0.2 -0.4 -0.0 Esquina de Baixo 23 Paternos 42 -0.1 -1.1 -0.1 Pocino 28 Zopene 25 (ot) *-0.1 União Militar 13 Siliar 31 -0.5 -0.0 If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway Dima Cardinals vs Doza +0.4+0.2+0.1-0.2-0.4 -1.2-0.6*+0.3+1.0+1.2 -0.1-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1 Zopene vs Duas +0.3+0.2*+0.1*-0.0-0.2 -0.2-0.3*-0.2*-0.0+0.2 Olimorque vs Pocino +0.1+0.1*+0.0*-0.0-0.1 +0.8+0.4*+0.1-0.4-0.9 If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway Week of 3/1 100.0* Chance wins title 100.0* Playoff LFFA B 100.0* Campeonato Nacional 100.0* Average seed Olímpia vs Esquina de Baixo +0.5-0.1-0.5-0.9-1.1 +5.7+1.1-5.1-9.7-13.7 -0.0-0.0-0.0*+0.0+0.1 +0.5+0.1-0.4-0.7-1.1 Siliar vs Bolanha +0.2+0.1*+0.0-0.1-0.1 Paternos vs Serafiano -0.0*-0.0*+0.0*+0.1+0.1 -0.8-0.2+1.2+1.9+2.3 -0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1 Liga Operária vs Floresta Negra +0.8+0.6*+0.1-0.4-0.5 +0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0 Siliar vs Abedi Pelé -0.6*+0.0+0.5+0.9+1.3 -0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

## What If

Chances based on how well the Olímpia finish out the regular season.   Explain

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance Playoff Chance will finish season at seed Campeonato TP W - OT - W L - OT T wins title LFFA B 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Nacional Count 68 12 - 0 - 0 0 - 0 0 90.2 % Yes 90 10 No 3,881 67 11 - 1 - 0 0 - 0 0 87.1 Yes 87 13 0 No 2,202 66 11 - 0 - 0 0 - 0 1 84.6 Yes 85 15 0 No 1,791 * 65 11 - 0 - 0 0 - 1 0 80.6 Yes 81 19 0 No 3,022 * 64 11 - 0 - 0 1 - 0 0 68.7 Yes 69 30 2 0 No 28,573 * 63 10 - 1 - 0 1 - 0 0 58.5 Yes 59 38 4 0 No 23,662 * 62 10 - 0 - 0 1 - 0 1 52.4 Yes 52 42 6 0 No 18,710 * 61 10 - 0 - 0 1 - 1 0 44.3 Yes 44 46 9 0 No 29,734 * 60 10 - 0 - 0 2 - 0 0 30.9 Yes 31 51 17 1 0 No 149,874 * 59 9 - 1 - 0 2 - 0 0 20.4 100.0 % 20 50 26 4 0 0 No 113,075 * 58 9 - 0 - 0 2 - 0 1 15.1 100.0 15 46 32 6 0 0 No 85,487 * 57 9 - 0 - 0 2 - 1 0 9.9 100.0 10 41 38 11 1 0 No 128,903 * 56 9 - 0 - 0 3 - 0 0 4.6 99.9 5 29 43 20 3 0 0 No 460,834 * 55 8 - 1 - 0 3 - 0 0 1.9 99.6 2 19 42 30 7 0 0 No 311,993 * 54 8 - 0 - 0 3 - 0 1 0.9 98.8 1 12 37 37 11 1 0 No 227,557 * 53 8 - 0 - 0 3 - 1 0 0.4 96.6 0 7 29 41 19 3 0 0 No 325,148 * 52 8 - 0 - 0 4 - 0 0 0.1 90.6 0 3 18 39 30 8 1 0 0 No 917,860 * 51 7 - 1 - 0 4 - 0 0 0.0 81.0 0 1 9 33 38 16 3 0 0 No 556,579 * 50 7 - 0 - 0 4 - 0 1 0.0 68.3 0 0 5 24 39 25 6 1 0 0 No 389,091 * 49 7 - 0 - 0 4 - 1 0 0.0 52.1 0 0 2 15 35 33 13 2 0 0 No 530,398 * 48 7 - 0 - 0 5 - 0 0 No 33.9 0 1 7 26 37 22 6 1 0 0 No 982,058 6 - 1 - 0 4 - 1 0 0.0 34.7 0 0 1 7 27 37 22 6 1 0 No 263,807 * 47 6 - 1 - 0 5 - 0 0 No 20.1 0 0 3 17 35 30 12 2 0 0 No 672,857 * 46 6 - 0 - 0 5 - 0 1 No 10.5 0 1 9 28 35 21 6 1 0 No 448,060 * 45 6 - 0 - 0 5 - 1 0 No 4.7 0 0 4 19 35 29 11 2 0 0 No 584,027 * 44 6 - 0 - 0 6 - 0 0 No 1.8 0 0 2 11 30 34 18 4 0 0 No 1,181,801 * 43 5 - 1 - 0 6 - 0 0 No 0.6 0 1 6 22 35 27 9 1 0 No 559,327 * 42 5 - 0 - 0 6 - 0 1 No 0.2 0 0 2 12 30 34 18 4 0 0 No 354,550 * 41 5 - 0 - 0 6 - 1 0 No 0.0 0 1 7 23 36 26 7 1 0 No 442,584 * 40 5 - 0 - 0 7 - 0 0 No 0.0 0 0 0 3 16 35 32 12 1 0 0 No 789,288 * 39 4 - 1 - 0 7 - 0 0 No 0.0 0 0 1 9 28 38 20 3 0 0 No 319,418 * 38 4 - 0 - 0 7 - 0 1 No No 0 0 3 17 37 32 9 1 0 No 191,382 * 37 4 - 0 - 0 7 - 1 0 No No 0 0 1 11 32 38 15 2 0 0 No 230,733 * 36 4 - 0 - 0 8 - 0 0 No No 0 1 6 25 40 22 5 0 0 0 No 367,754 * 35 3 - 1 - 0 8 - 0 0 No No 0 0 3 16 38 31 10 1 0 0 No 123,265 * 34 3 - 0 - 0 8 - 0 1 No No 0 1 7 29 39 20 4 0 0 No 70,112 * 33 3 - 0 - 0 8 - 1 0 No No 0 0 3 20 38 28 9 1 0 0 No 81,589 * 32 3 - 0 - 0 9 - 0 0 No No 0 1 12 32 34 17 4 0 0 No 116,765 * 31 2 - 1 - 0 9 - 0 0 No No 0 0 6 22 36 26 9 1 0 No 30,786 * 30 2 - 0 - 0 9 - 0 1 No No 0 2 12 31 33 17 4 0 0 0.0 % 16,008 * 29 2 - 0 - 0 9 - 1 0 No No 0 1 6 21 34 27 10 2 0 0 0.1 18,146 * 28 2 - 0 - 0 10 - 0 0 No No 0 2 12 30 33 18 5 0 0 0 0.5 23,944 * 27 1 - 1 - 0 10 - 0 0 No No 1 5 19 35 28 10 2 0 2.5 4,414 * 26 1 - 0 - 0 10 - 0 1 No No 0 2 10 29 34 19 5 1 5.8 2,208 * 25 1 - 0 - 0 10 - 1 0 No No 0 4 18 34 29 12 2 0 14.1 2,326 * 24 1 - 0 - 0 11 - 0 0 No No 0 2 9 26 36 22 5 1 27.5 2,771 * 23 0 - 1 - 0 11 - 0 0 No No 0 4 13 38 32 10 2 44.6 267 * 22 0 - 0 - 0 11 - 0 1 No No 1 8 34 34 19 4 56.5 131 * 21 0 - 0 - 0 11 - 1 0 No No 2 20 40 30 9 78.4 148 20 0 - 0 - 0 12 - 0 0 No No 0 1 10 32 40 17 88.7 1,660 Total: 1.6 % 36.0 % 2 4 7 10 12 13 13 12 10 8 5 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 % 12,190,560

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship