How are these numbers calculated?

## Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

 Week of 2/22 100.0* Chance wins title 100.0* Playoff LFFA B 100.0* Campeonato Nacional 100.0* Average seed Olimorque 23 Dima Cardinals 22 +0.2 +4.9 -0.9 +0.9 Doza 24 Olímpia 23 +0.2 Bolanha 22 Floresta Negra 17 -0.1 +0.0 Duas 28 FAC Metropolitano 17 -0.1 Esquina de Baixo 23 Paternos 42 -0.4 -0.1 União Militar 13 Siliar 31 -0.2 -0.1 Poti 17 Jiquiá FAC 24 (ot) -0.1 If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway Olimorque vs Pocino +0.2+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.2 +6.3+3.0-1.3-4.5-6.3 -0.2-0.2-0.1+0.0+0.2 +0.8+0.5-0.0-0.5-0.9 Dima Cardinals vs Doza +0.1+0.0*+0.0-0.0-0.1 -0.5-0.4*-0.1+0.4+0.6 -0.1-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1 Zopene vs Duas +0.1+0.0*+0.0*-0.0-0.0 -0.1-0.1*-0.0+0.0+0.0 If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway Week of 3/1 100.0* Chance wins title 100.0* Playoff LFFA B 100.0* Campeonato Nacional 100.0* Average seed Siliar vs Bolanha -0.1-0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.1 Paternos vs Serafiano -0.4-0.1+0.4+0.9+1.2 Olímpia vs Esquina de Baixo -0.4-0.2+0.5+0.8+1.1 -0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1 Siliar vs Abedi Pelé -0.3*-0.0*+0.1+0.5+0.6 -0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1 Liga Operária vs Floresta Negra +0.4+0.2*+0.1*-0.0-0.2 +0.1+0.0*+0.0-0.0-0.0 Jiquiá FAC vs AE Popular -0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

## What If

Chances based on how well the Olimorque finish out the regular season.   Explain

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance Playoff Chance will finish season at seed Campeonato TP W - OT - W L - OT T wins title LFFA B 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Nacional Count 63 12 - 0 - 0 0 - 0 0 79.7 % Yes 80 19 1 No 2,937 62 11 - 1 - 0 0 - 0 0 72.2 Yes 72 26 1 No 1,361 61 11 - 0 - 0 0 - 0 1 65.7 Yes 66 31 3 0 No 1,157 * 60 11 - 0 - 0 0 - 1 0 51.5 Yes 52 41 7 0 No 2,097 * 59 11 - 0 - 0 1 - 0 0 32.0 Yes 32 48 18 2 0 No 20,847 * 58 10 - 1 - 0 1 - 0 0 23.8 Yes 24 48 24 3 0 No 17,448 * 57 10 - 0 - 0 1 - 0 1 17.4 Yes 17 46 30 7 0 No 14,099 * 56 10 - 0 - 0 1 - 1 0 9.2 100.0 % 9 36 39 14 2 0 No 23,552 * 55 10 - 0 - 0 2 - 0 0 3.0 99.5 3 22 41 27 6 0 0 No 122,758 * 54 9 - 1 - 0 2 - 0 0 1.6 99.0 2 15 39 33 10 1 0 0 No 92,812 * 53 9 - 0 - 0 2 - 0 1 0.8 97.4 1 10 32 38 16 2 0 No 71,912 * 52 9 - 0 - 0 2 - 1 0 0.2 90.7 0 4 20 38 28 8 1 0 No 111,931 * 51 9 - 0 - 0 3 - 0 0 0.0 77.7 0 1 9 30 37 18 4 0 0 No 409,149 * 50 8 - 1 - 0 3 - 0 0 0.0 67.7 0 0 5 23 39 25 7 1 0 0 No 277,339 * 49 8 - 0 - 0 3 - 0 1 0.0 53.5 0 0 3 16 35 32 12 2 0 0 No 206,219 * 48 8 - 0 - 0 3 - 1 0 0.0 31.8 0 0 1 7 24 37 24 7 1 0 0 No 303,908 * 47 8 - 0 - 0 4 - 0 0 No 15.9 0 0 2 14 32 33 15 3 0 0 No 865,228 * 46 7 - 1 - 0 4 - 0 0 No 9.4 0 0 1 8 26 35 22 6 1 0 No 527,592 * 45 7 - 0 - 0 4 - 0 1 No 4.6 0 0 0 4 19 34 29 12 2 0 0 No 375,163 * 44 7 - 0 - 0 4 - 1 0 No 1.4 0 0 1 9 27 35 21 6 1 0 No 523,225 * 43 7 - 0 - 0 5 - 0 0 No 0.3 0 0 4 17 34 30 12 2 0 0 No 1,233,480 * 42 6 - 1 - 0 5 - 0 0 No 0.1 0 0 0 2 11 29 35 19 4 0 0 No 669,263 * 41 6 - 0 - 0 5 - 0 1 No 0.0 0 0 1 6 22 36 27 8 1 0 No 451,381 * 40 6 - 0 - 0 5 - 1 0 No 0.0 0 0 2 13 33 35 15 2 0 0 No 601,148 * 39 6 - 0 - 0 6 - 0 0 No 0.0 0 0 1 7 24 39 25 4 0 0 No 954,184 5 - 1 - 0 5 - 1 0 No No 0 1 6 24 39 25 5 0 0 No 263,213 * 38 5 - 1 - 0 6 - 0 0 No 0.0 0 0 0 3 16 37 34 9 1 0 0 No 579,326 * 37 5 - 0 - 0 6 - 0 1 No No 0 0 1 10 32 40 15 2 0 0 No 370,051 * 36 5 - 0 - 0 6 - 1 0 No No 0 0 0 5 23 43 24 5 0 0 No 469,948 * 35 5 - 0 - 0 7 - 0 0 No No 0 0 2 13 39 34 11 1 0 0 No 843,820 * 34 4 - 1 - 0 7 - 0 0 No No 0 0 1 7 32 40 17 3 0 0 No 342,827 * 33 4 - 0 - 0 7 - 0 1 No No 0 0 4 24 42 24 6 1 0 0 No 208,487 * 32 4 - 0 - 0 7 - 1 0 No No 0 0 1 12 35 34 15 3 0 0 No 255,567 * 31 4 - 0 - 0 8 - 0 0 No No 0 0 5 25 37 24 7 1 0 0 0.0 % 408,448 * 30 3 - 1 - 0 8 - 0 0 No No 0 3 17 36 30 12 2 0 0 0.0 137,536 * 29 3 - 0 - 0 8 - 0 1 No No 0 1 10 29 34 20 5 1 0 0 0.0 78,982 * 28 3 - 0 - 0 8 - 1 0 No No 0 0 3 15 32 31 15 4 0 0 0.4 93,771 * 27 3 - 0 - 0 9 - 0 0 No No 0 1 7 23 34 25 8 1 0 1.5 135,329 * 26 2 - 1 - 0 9 - 0 0 No No 0 0 4 17 33 30 13 3 0 0 2.9 35,339 * 25 2 - 0 - 0 9 - 0 1 No No 0 2 10 26 33 22 7 1 0 7.7 19,260 * 24 2 - 0 - 0 9 - 1 0 No No 0 3 12 28 33 19 5 0 23.5 22,246 * 23 2 - 0 - 0 10 - 0 0 No No 0 1 5 21 35 28 9 1 38.3 28,880 * 22 1 - 1 - 0 10 - 0 0 No No 0 0 3 14 34 32 14 2 48.3 5,376 * 21 1 - 0 - 0 10 - 0 1 No No 0 1 8 24 37 24 5 67.2 2,705 * 20 1 - 0 - 0 10 - 1 0 No No 0 1 12 34 38 14 86.5 3,170 * 19 1 - 0 - 0 11 - 0 0 No No 0 0 6 28 43 23 93.6 3,622 * 18 0 - 1 - 0 11 - 0 0 No No 0 3 22 39 36 97.2 351 * 17 0 - 0 - 0 11 - 0 1 No No 12 44 44 Yes 199 * 16 0 - 0 - 0 11 - 1 0 No No 2 30 68 Yes 190 15 0 - 0 - 0 12 - 0 0 No No 2 25 73 Yes 1,727 Total: 0.2 % 11.5 % 0 1 2 3 5 8 10 12 14 14 13 8 5 3 1 1 0 0 0 0 0.3 % 12,190,560

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship