How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

 Week of 2/15 100.0* Chance wins title 100.0* Playoff LFFA B 100.0* Campeonato Nacional 100.0* Average seed Jiquiá FAC 17 Duas 42 -0.1 -1.9 +2.6 -0.7 Paternos 24 Doza 36 +0.1 União Militar 12 Bolanha 32 -0.1 -0.2 +0.0 FAC Metropolitano 7 Pocino 20 -0.2 -0.4 Olímpia 40 Olimorque 36 -0.1 Floresta Negra 19 AE Popular 17 -0.1 -0.3 Siliar 33 Serafiano 13 -0.2 Abedi Pelé 34 Esquina de Baixo 32 +0.1 Liga Operária 21 Poti 19 -0.1 If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway Week of 2/22 100.0* Chance wins title 100.0* Playoff LFFA B 100.0* Campeonato Nacional 100.0* Average seed Poti vs Jiquiá FAC -0.4-0.3-0.1+0.2+0.6 +5.3+1.9-1.6-4.6-6.4 -0.8-0.4+0.1+0.6+1.0 Duas vs FAC Metropolitano -0.0*-0.0*+0.0*+0.1+0.1 -0.3+0.1+0.4+0.7+1.1 +0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1 Olimorque vs Pocino +0.0*+0.1*+0.2*-0.1-0.1 Esquina de Baixo vs Paternos +0.1+0.1*+0.0*-0.0-0.1 +0.6+0.4*+0.0-0.2-0.4 -0.1-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0 Olimorque vs Dima Cardinals +0.1*-0.0*+0.0*-0.0-0.1 União Militar vs Siliar +0.6+0.4*+0.2-0.2-0.4 Serafiano vs Abedi Pelé +0.2+0.2*+0.2-0.2-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Jiquiá FAC finish out the regular season.   Explain

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance Playoff Chance will finish season at seed Campeonato TP W - OT - W L - OT T wins title LFFA B 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Nacional Count 60 13 - 0 - 0 0 - 0 0 51.9 % Yes 52 39 9 1 No 1,530 59 12 - 1 - 0 0 - 0 0 33.3 Yes 33 51 16 No 57 58 11 - 2 - 0 0 - 0 0 33.9 Yes 34 32 30 4 No 56 * 57 12 - 0 - 0 0 - 1 0 18.1 Yes 18 48 28 6 No 127 * 56 12 - 0 - 0 1 - 0 0 10.7 Yes 11 37 37 13 3 No 1,175 * 55 11 - 1 - 0 1 - 0 0 4.7 99.4 % 5 27 41 22 4 0 0 No 1,049 * 54 11 - 0 - 0 1 - 0 1 2.8 99.1 3 21 38 29 9 1 No 1,040 * 53 11 - 0 - 0 1 - 1 0 1.7 97.6 2 12 37 33 14 2 0 No 1,938 * 52 11 - 0 - 0 2 - 0 0 0.5 91.1 1 6 22 37 26 8 1 0 No 10,353 * 51 10 - 1 - 0 2 - 0 0 0.1 83.4 0 2 14 34 33 14 2 0 No 8,751 * 50 10 - 0 - 0 2 - 0 1 0.0 72.9 0 1 8 27 37 21 6 0 0 No 7,956 * 49 10 - 0 - 0 2 - 1 0 No 55.8 0 4 18 34 29 12 2 0 0 No 15,161 * 48 10 - 0 - 0 3 - 0 0 No 35.6 0 1 9 26 35 22 6 1 0 No 55,895 * 47 9 - 1 - 0 3 - 0 0 No 21.9 0 0 4 18 33 30 12 2 0 0 No 42,966 * 46 9 - 0 - 0 3 - 0 1 No 11.9 0 0 2 10 28 34 20 6 1 0 No 38,121 * 45 9 - 0 - 0 3 - 1 0 No 4.9 0 0 4 18 33 29 12 2 0 0 No 67,282 * 44 9 - 0 - 0 4 - 0 0 No 1.7 0 0 2 10 27 34 21 6 1 0 No 199,684 * 43 8 - 1 - 0 4 - 0 0 No 0.6 0 1 5 19 34 28 11 2 0 0 No 139,276 * 42 8 - 0 - 0 4 - 0 1 No 0.1 0 0 2 11 28 34 19 5 0 0 No 120,674 * 41 8 - 0 - 0 4 - 1 0 No 0.0 0 1 5 20 34 29 10 1 0 0 No 201,144 * 40 8 - 0 - 0 5 - 0 0 No 0.0 0 0 2 12 30 35 18 4 0 0 0 No 493,560 * 39 7 - 1 - 0 5 - 0 0 No No 0 1 6 22 36 27 8 1 0 No 310,656 * 38 7 - 0 - 0 5 - 0 1 No No 0 0 2 13 32 35 15 2 0 0 No 261,239 * 37 7 - 0 - 0 5 - 1 0 No No 0 0 1 7 25 38 24 5 0 0 No 414,703 * 36 7 - 0 - 0 6 - 0 0 No No 0 0 3 16 36 32 11 1 0 0 No 872,594 * 35 6 - 1 - 0 6 - 0 0 No No 0 0 1 9 29 38 19 4 0 0 No 493,949 * 34 6 - 0 - 0 6 - 0 1 No No 0 0 0 4 20 39 28 8 1 0 0 No 401,459 * 33 6 - 0 - 0 6 - 1 0 No No 0 0 2 12 34 35 15 3 0 0 0 0.0 % 604,740 * 32 6 - 0 - 0 7 - 0 0 No No 0 1 6 24 37 24 7 1 0 0 0.0 1,119,678 * 31 5 - 1 - 0 7 - 0 0 No No 0 0 2 14 33 32 15 3 0 0 0 0.0 562,627 * 30 5 - 0 - 0 7 - 0 1 No No 0 1 8 26 36 23 7 1 0 0 0.1 436,757 * 29 5 - 0 - 0 7 - 1 0 No No 0 0 4 17 33 30 13 3 0 0 0.2 630,051 * 28 5 - 0 - 0 8 - 0 0 No No 0 0 1 9 25 34 23 7 1 0 0 1.1 1,038,211 * 27 4 - 1 - 0 8 - 0 0 No No 0 0 3 15 31 31 15 3 0 0 3.6 449,947 * 26 4 - 0 - 0 8 - 0 1 No No 0 0 1 9 25 34 23 7 1 0 7.8 336,625 * 25 4 - 0 - 0 8 - 1 0 No No 0 0 4 17 32 31 13 2 0 15.9 463,718 * 24 4 - 0 - 0 9 - 0 0 No No 0 0 1 8 24 35 24 7 1 31.4 687,406 * 23 3 - 1 - 0 9 - 0 0 No No 0 0 3 15 33 33 14 2 49.3 249,113 * 22 3 - 0 - 0 9 - 0 1 No No 0 0 1 9 27 38 22 4 63.3 178,424 * 21 3 - 0 - 0 9 - 1 0 No No 0 0 4 19 38 31 8 76.7 236,088 * 20 3 - 0 - 0 10 - 0 0 No No 0 0 1 10 32 40 17 88.6 316,278 * 19 2 - 1 - 0 10 - 0 0 No No 0 0 4 23 45 27 95.3 90,395 * 18 2 - 0 - 0 10 - 0 1 No No 0 2 17 45 36 97.7 61,721 * 17 2 - 0 - 0 10 - 1 0 No No 0 1 10 41 48 99.1 78,323 * 16 2 - 0 - 0 11 - 0 0 No No 0 0 5 33 62 99.8 95,522 * 15 1 - 1 - 0 11 - 0 0 No No 0 2 24 74 99.9 19,206 * 14 1 - 0 - 0 10 - 2 0 No No 0 1 19 80 100.0 12,534 * 13 1 - 0 - 0 11 - 1 0 No No 0 13 86 Yes 15,390 * 12 1 - 0 - 0 12 - 0 0 No No 0 7 93 Yes 16,739 * 11 0 - 1 - 0 12 - 0 0 No No 0 4 96 Yes 1,815 * 10 0 - 0 - 0 11 - 2 0 No No 3 97 Yes 1,115 * 9 0 - 0 - 0 12 - 1 0 No No 1 99 Yes 1,325 8 0 - 0 - 0 13 - 0 0 No No 0 100 Yes 2,817 Total: 0.0 % 0.7 % 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 4 7 10 12 12 11 10 9 7 6 4 2 12.1 % 11,868,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship