How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 2/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Playoff LFFA B100.0*Campeonato Nacional100.0*Average seed
Bolanha 22 Floresta Negra 17 -0.5
-5.9
+0.1
-0.6
Doza 24 Olímpia 23 -0.1
+0.4
Olimorque 23 Dima Cardinals 22 +0.8
Duas 28 FAC Metropolitano 17 -0.3
Pocino 28 Zopene 25 (ot)-0.2
Esquina de Baixo 23 Paternos 42 -0.7
-0.0
União Militar 13 Siliar 31 -0.3
-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Dima Cardinals vs Doza-0.5-0.3*-0.2+0.4+0.5
-0.1-0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.1
Zopene vs Duas-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0
Olimorque vs Pocino+0.5+0.4+0.2-0.3-0.5
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Week of 3/1100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Playoff LFFA B100.0*Campeonato Nacional100.0*Average seed
Liga Operária vs Floresta Negra-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0+0.1
-5.9-4.5-1.4+1.5+3.7
+0.4+0.1-0.1-0.2-0.3
-1.0-0.6-0.1+0.3+0.6
Siliar vs Bolanha-0.1-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
Olímpia vs Esquina de Baixo-0.4-0.2+0.6+0.9+1.0
-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1
Paternos vs Serafiano-0.4-0.1+0.6+0.8+1.2
Siliar vs Abedi Pelé-0.3*-0.0+0.3+0.4+0.6
-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1
Jiquiá FAC vs AE Popular-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Floresta Negra finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChancePlayoffChance will finish season at seedCampeonato
TPW-OT-WL-OTTwins titleLFFA B1234567891011121314151617181920NacionalCount
6312-0-00-0064.4%Yes643140No3,448
6211-1-00-0056.4Yes563770No1,855
6110-2-00-0049.4Yes494280No1,480*
6011-0-00-1035.8Yes3646162No2,544*
5911-0-01-0021.3Yes21462750No24,105*
5810-1-01-0015.7Yes16433380No20,128*
5710-0-01-0111.9100.0%1239371110No15,897*
5610-0-01-105.699.8628402240No25,450*
5510-0-02-001.999.021638331010No130,053*
549-1-02-001.098.311135381420No97,193*
539-0-02-010.596.407294020300No74,998*
529-0-02-100.187.20316363211100No113,493*
519-0-03-000.073.7017273921500No410,132*
508-1-03-000.065.20042239277100No277,234*
498-0-03-010.051.900215353313200No205,330*
488-0-03-100.028.200052237268100No297,420*
478-0-04-00No14.100212313416400No842,819*
467-1-04-00No9.1018263522610No513,239*
457-0-04-01No4.700418342912200No363,921*
447-0-04-10No1.20018263523710No505,874*
437-0-05-00No0.300316333214200No941,240
6-1-04-10No0.30041633311320No252,862*
426-1-05-00No0.100211283520400No647,645*
416-0-05-01No0.0016213627810No439,184*
406-0-05-10No0.000212313617200No588,924*
396-0-06-00No0.000162239285000No1,200,200*
385-1-06-00NoNo00315363510100No570,835*
375-0-06-01NoNo0019314116200No371,852*
365-0-06-10NoNo004204227610No477,701*
355-0-07-00NoNo00111373613200No859,357*
344-1-07-00NoNo006304119300No351,319*
334-0-07-01NoNo003214127710No217,637*
324-0-07-10NoNo00110323617400No271,232*
314-0-08-00NoNo00422372791000.0%434,517*
303-1-08-00NoNo02153432143000.0147,740*
293-0-08-01NoNo0182635226100.086,738*
283-0-08-10NoNo02133133174000.4105,421*
273-0-09-00NoNo01621352791001.5152,629*
262-1-09-00NoNo003153232153003.240,516*
252-0-09-01NoNo0172435247107.922,759*
242-0-09-10NoNo02112935194022.926,760*
232-0-010-00NoNo0052036298137.935,099*
221-1-010-00NoNo0314343414249.46,756*
211-0-010-01NoNo17264022466.13,506*
201-0-010-10NoNo021338361084.63,990*
191-0-011-00NoNo01830441891.64,753*
180-1-011-00NoNo529452194.6459*
170-0-010-20NoNo219522898.3240*
160-0-011-10NoNo113355098.5272
150-0-012-00NoNo05346199.81,804
Total:0.2%11.1%01235810111314139532100000.3%12,190,560

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship