How are these numbers calculated?

## Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

 Week of 2/22 100.0* Chance wins title 100.0* Playoff LFFA B 100.0* Campeonato Nacional 100.0* Average seed Serafiano 17 Abedi Pelé 14 -0.4 +6.8 -0.9 Esquina de Baixo 23 Paternos 42 -0.6 +0.0 Olimorque 23 Dima Cardinals 22 +0.1 União Militar 13 Siliar 31 -0.5 Duas 28 FAC Metropolitano 17 -0.3 +0.0 Poti 17 Jiquiá FAC 24 (ot) -0.3 If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway Week of 3/1 100.0* Chance wins title 100.0* Playoff LFFA B 100.0* Campeonato Nacional 100.0* Average seed Siliar vs Abedi Pelé NoNo*No*-0.0+0.0 -0.1-0.1-0.0+0.1+0.3 +4.3+0.4-3.5-7.0-9.3 -0.5-0.2+0.3+0.7+1.1 Abedi Pelé vs União Militar +0.0No*No*NoNo +0.1-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1 -6.7-3.2+1.2+7.3+12.6 +0.6+0.2-0.2-0.7-1.1 Olímpia vs Esquina de Baixo -0.6*-0.1+0.6+1.0+1.4 +0.0+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1 Paternos vs Serafiano -0.3*-0.1*-0.1+0.6+0.9 +0.0+0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.1 Liga Operária vs Floresta Negra +1.2+0.8+0.3-0.2-0.7 -0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0 Jiquiá FAC vs AE Popular -0.6*-0.1+0.4+0.9+1.1 FAC Metropolitano vs Poti *+0.0-0.3-0.5*-0.1*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

## What If

Chances based on how well the Abedi Pelé finish out the regular season.   Explain

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance Playoff Chance will finish season at seed Campeonato TP W - OT - W L - OT T wins title LFFA B 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Nacional Count 56 12 - 0 - 0 0 - 0 0 11.7 % Yes 12 48 32 8 0 No 1,563 55 11 - 1 - 0 0 - 0 0 4.1 Yes 4 35 51 8 2 No 49 54 11 - 0 - 0 0 - 0 1 No Yes 29 47 24 No 38 * 53 11 - 0 - 0 0 - 1 0 No 98.2 % 9 48 33 8 2 No 111 * 52 11 - 0 - 0 1 - 0 0 0.1 97.3 0 7 34 41 15 3 0 No 1,077 * 51 10 - 1 - 0 1 - 0 0 0.2 91.5 0 3 19 40 29 8 0 No 894 * 50 10 - 0 - 0 1 - 0 1 0.1 81.1 0 1 11 34 36 17 2 0 No 885 * 49 10 - 0 - 0 1 - 1 0 No 68.1 0 6 25 36 24 7 1 0 No 1,935 * 48 10 - 0 - 0 2 - 0 0 No 50.5 0 2 15 34 33 14 3 0 No 10,779 * 47 9 - 1 - 0 2 - 0 0 No 29.0 0 0 6 23 36 25 9 1 0 No 8,140 * 46 9 - 0 - 0 2 - 0 1 No 14.4 0 2 12 30 34 17 4 1 0 No 7,956 * 45 9 - 0 - 0 2 - 1 0 No 6.7 0 1 6 21 34 25 10 2 0 No 15,557 * 44 9 - 0 - 0 3 - 0 0 No 2.7 0 0 3 13 29 32 18 5 1 0 No 61,002 * 43 8 - 1 - 0 3 - 0 0 No 0.6 0 1 5 19 32 28 12 3 0 No 42,528 * 42 8 - 0 - 0 3 - 0 1 No 0.1 0 0 2 10 26 33 22 7 1 0 No 39,115 * 41 8 - 0 - 0 3 - 1 0 No 0.0 0 1 5 18 32 29 13 2 0 0 No 74,206 * 40 8 - 0 - 0 4 - 0 0 No 0.0 0 0 2 11 27 34 20 5 0 0 No 225,344 * 39 7 - 1 - 0 4 - 0 0 No No 0 1 4 17 33 31 12 2 0 0 No 143,483 * 38 7 - 0 - 0 4 - 0 1 No No 0 0 2 9 27 37 21 4 0 0 No 127,504 * 37 7 - 0 - 0 4 - 1 0 No No 0 1 5 20 37 30 8 1 0 No 228,030 * 36 7 - 0 - 0 5 - 0 0 No No 0 0 2 13 33 37 14 2 0 0 No 570,009 * 35 6 - 1 - 0 5 - 0 0 No No 0 0 1 5 23 41 25 4 0 0 No 325,789 * 34 6 - 0 - 0 5 - 0 1 No No 0 0 2 15 40 34 9 1 0 No 281,307 * 33 6 - 0 - 0 5 - 1 0 No No 0 0 1 8 33 40 16 2 0 0 No 474,599 * 32 6 - 0 - 0 6 - 0 0 No No 0 0 4 23 41 25 6 1 0 No 1,017,023 * 31 5 - 1 - 0 6 - 0 0 No No 0 0 1 13 38 34 12 2 0 0 0.0 % 513,982 * 30 5 - 0 - 0 6 - 0 1 No No 0 0 7 31 39 19 4 0 0 0.0 427,635 * 29 5 - 0 - 0 6 - 1 0 No No 0 0 3 21 38 28 9 1 0 0 0.1 682,953 * 28 5 - 0 - 0 7 - 0 0 No No 0 1 12 32 35 17 4 0 0 0.3 1,005,270 4 - 1 - 0 6 - 1 0 No No 0 1 11 31 35 17 4 0 0 0.4 271,081 * 27 4 - 1 - 0 7 - 0 0 No No 0 0 5 23 37 26 8 1 0 0 1.2 558,262 * 26 4 - 0 - 0 7 - 0 1 No No 0 3 15 33 32 14 3 0 0 2.9 444,874 * 25 4 - 0 - 0 7 - 1 0 No No 0 1 8 25 36 23 7 1 0 7.5 675,029 * 24 4 - 0 - 0 8 - 0 0 No No 0 0 3 15 32 32 15 3 0 17.6 1,123,862 * 23 3 - 1 - 0 8 - 0 0 No No 0 0 1 8 25 36 23 6 1 29.9 408,388 * 22 3 - 0 - 0 8 - 0 1 No No 0 0 4 18 35 31 11 1 42.9 311,294 * 21 3 - 0 - 0 8 - 1 0 No No 0 0 1 10 29 37 20 4 60.1 450,676 * 20 3 - 0 - 0 9 - 0 0 No No 0 0 4 19 38 31 8 77.1 668,511 * 19 2 - 1 - 0 9 - 0 0 No No 0 1 11 34 39 15 87.5 192,243 * 18 2 - 0 - 0 9 - 0 1 No No 0 1 6 27 44 22 92.9 139,257 * 17 2 - 0 - 0 9 - 1 0 No No 0 0 3 18 45 34 97.1 191,002 * 16 2 - 0 - 0 10 - 0 0 No No 0 0 1 10 41 48 99.1 256,163 * 15 1 - 1 - 0 10 - 0 0 No No 0 0 5 36 59 99.7 51,649 * 14 1 - 0 - 0 9 - 2 0 No No 0 3 29 68 99.9 35,382 * 13 1 - 0 - 0 10 - 1 0 No No 0 1 20 79 100.0 46,547 * 12 1 - 0 - 0 11 - 0 0 No No 0 0 12 87 100.0 56,159 * 11 0 - 1 - 0 11 - 0 0 No No 0 9 91 Yes 5,944 * 10 0 - 0 - 0 10 - 2 0 No No 0 5 95 Yes 3,813 * 9 0 - 0 - 0 11 - 1 0 No No 2 98 Yes 4,913 8 0 - 0 - 0 12 - 0 0 No No 1 99 Yes 6,748 Total: 0.0 % 0.1 % 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 5 9 13 14 13 12 10 8 6 4 18.6 % 12,190,560

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship