LeeD2 Playoff Chances LL65

Lost to AndrewsS 2-7, Beat BourkeR 6-2, Plays at CurtinT 11:59 PM, Beat ErnstS 5-3, Beat EsneaultG 4-2, Plays at GelfandJ 11:59 PM, Beat HartleyK 7-4, Lost to HudsonB 1-3, Lost to BowmanD 4-7, Beat BreedingT 8-2, Beat BrowneL 2-1, Lost to ColemanK 2-8, Lost to GrecoD 3-6, Beat GrecoG 2-1, Beat HeffnerE 6-3, Beat HommeyerM 6-4, Beat JeziorskiM 7-3, Beat PriceE 4-3, Beat SharpJ 9-7, Beat SkardonS 6-0, Beat TavelP 5-0 (ot), Plays at MuttrejaR 11:59 PM, Plays at RizzoA 11:59 PM, Beat SamaK 5-0 (ot), Beat WatsonKR 5-3, playoff odds up 64.3 to 99.999%

32 points 16 5-0 0

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Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday, 6/22	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Rundle B	100.0*	Rundle E	100.0*	Average seed
ErnstS 3 LeeD2 5	+8.6		+5.0		-6.2		+1.5
WatsonKR 3 LeeD2 5	+7.7		+4.6		-7.6		+1.6
HartleyK 4 LeeD2 7	+7.7		+5.2		-6.0		+1.4
LeeD2 9 SharpJ 7	+7.2		+9.9		-1.3		+1.1
AndrewsS 7 LeeD2 2	-7.1		-6.6		+3.9		-1.2
SamaK 0 LeeD2 5 (ot)	+6.5		+4.2		-3.5		+1.0
LeeD2 2 BrowneL 1	+6.2		+6.0		-2.3		+1.0
LeeD2 4 PriceE 3	+4.0		+6.4		-0.5		+0.7
LeeD2 2 GrecoG 1	+3.8		+7.7		-0.2		+0.7
LeeD2 8 BreedingT 2	+3.7		+6.0				+0.6
LeeD2 6 HeffnerE 3	+3.4		+9.6				+0.7
LeeD2 2 ColemanK 8	-2.2		-8.6				-0.6
LeeD2 5 TavelP 0 (ot)	+0.8		+4.0				+0.3
LeeD2 7 JeziorskiM 3	+0.7		+12.6		No		+0.7
LeeD2 6 SkardonS 0	+0.4		+9.4				+0.4
BowmanD 3 WatsonKR 1			-1.0
LeeD2 6 HommeyerM 4			+7.1		*No		+0.4
GrecoD 9 ConeCW 3			-1.0
HartleyK 8 JeziorskiM 6			+1.5
AndrewsS 4 GrecoG 6			+1.0
GrecoD 6 CurtinT 9			+0.9
LeeD2 3 GrecoD 6			-13.4				-0.6
GrecoD 6 WatsonKR 3			-1.6
SamaK 3 SharpJ 2			+1.7
AndrewsS 9 HeffnerE 2			-0.7
BrowneL 1 SharpJ 2			-0.7
EsneaultG 2 LeeD2 4			+13.5				+0.5
BowmanD 2 HartleyK 4			+2.2
JeziorskiM 6 FreezeB 4			-0.6
SharpJ 5 PriceE 3			-0.7
AndrewsS 9 BreedingT 3			-0.6
GrecoD 5 FreezeB 0			-1.1
SharpJ 1 ColemanK 4			+0.7
SharpJ 8 GrecoG 6			-0.9
GrecoD 3 RizzoA 0			-0.8
SharpJ 6 HeffnerE 7			+1.9
LeeD2 4 BowmanD 7			-9.6				-0.5
SharpJ 7 BowmanD 8			-3.3
GrecoG 1 JeziorskiM 5			-2.3
GrecoD 9 HartleyK 2			-1.4
AndrewsS 9 TavelP 0 (ot)			-0.6
BourkeR 2 LeeD2 6			+9.1				+0.3
ErnstS 3 JeziorskiM 4			-0.9
SharpJ 2 BreedingT 0			-0.7
HudsonB 3 LeeD2 1			-20.2				-0.7
GrecoG 6 GrecoD 4			+3.0
MuttrejaR 0 CurtinT 5			+1.2
SharpJ 5 GrecoD 5			*-0.2
MuttrejaR 6 RizzoA 1			-0.4
GrecoG 7 BowmanD 4			+5.2				+0.2
MuttrejaR 2 AndrewsS 9			-3.5
HeffnerE 5 JeziorskiM 9			-3.6
ColemanK 5 JeziorskiM 6			-4.6
GelfandJ 8 AndrewsS 6			+4.3				+0.2
ColemanK 6 BowmanD 4			+3.0
BrowneL 4 BowmanD 2			+2.8
BreedingT 6 JeziorskiM 6			+2.4
PriceE 0 BowmanD 3 (ot)			-2.2
BrowneL 1 GrecoD 7			-2.1
PriceE 4 GrecoD 5			-2.0
HudsonB 0 AndrewsS 6			-1.3
EsneaultG 3 AndrewsS 6			-1.1
BourkeR 3 AndrewsS 6			-1.1
ErnstS 4 GrecoD 7			-1.0
SkardonS 0 AndrewsS 7			-1.0
PriceE 1 JeziorskiM 7			-1.0
ErnstS 4 BowmanD 5			-1.0
AndrewsS 8 HommeyerM 3			-0.9
BowmanD 8 FreezeB 4			-0.9
GrecoD 6 AndrewsS 9			-0.8
ErnstS 1 ColemanK 8			-0.8
AndrewsS 6 BowmanD 7			-0.7
ColemanK 6 HommeyerM 1			-0.5
BrowneL 2 ColemanK 7			-0.4
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
GelfandJ vs LeeD2	-0.0-0.0InInIn		-23.5-37.6-4.1+14.0+14.9				-0.8-1.3-0.1+0.5+0.5
MuttrejaR vs LeeD2	*-0.0-0.0InInIn		-19.9-35.2-0.1+17.5+18.3				-0.7-1.2-0.0+0.6+0.6
BreedingT vs GrecoD			+9.2+15.5+2.7-2.7-2.9				+0.2+0.4+0.1-0.1-0.1
SamaK vs JeziorskiM			+9.3+13.6+2.7-2.4-2.4				+0.2+0.4+0.1-0.1-0.1
ColemanK vs GrecoD			+3.0+9.9-2.4-5.6-5.9				+0.1+0.3-0.1-0.2-0.2
TavelP vs JeziorskiM			+10.2+14.2+3.8-1.2-1.2				+0.3+0.4+0.1-0.0-0.0
RizzoA vs AndrewsS			+6.6+12.9+2.3-1.2-1.0				+0.2+0.4+0.1-0.0-0.0
CurtinT vs AndrewsS			+4.3+10.7+0.6-2.2-2.2				+0.2+0.4+0.1-0.1-0.1
HeffnerE vs BowmanD			+4.9+7.0+1.7-2.7-3.1				+0.2+0.2+0.1-0.1-0.1
BreedingT vs BowmanD			+5.4+7.0+2.6-1.6-2.0				+0.2+0.2+0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the LeeD2 finish out the regular season. Explain

100

If finish:

Chance in

Rundle

Chance will finish regular season at seed

Rundle

playoffs

Count

Yes

1,623,511

98.6

1,126,778

87.0

3,374,273

86.8

290,941

58.2

1,719,106

61.6

430,604

57.2

33,135

24.3

2,477,723

23.6

288,961

28.3

220,243

21.3

1,379

5.2

813,183

6.7

632,818

6.6

36,543

5.2

16,182

0.7

735,967

1.0

207,343

0.7

65,506

1.6

40,193

1.1

2,081

0.1

281,234

0.0

114,889

0.1

16,789

0.1

13,270

70,336

43,712

35,963

1,065

99.9

35,134

5,483

1,535

98.8

6,646

99.6

240

91.1

574

70.0

Total:

100.0

54.4

14,763,360

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs