JeziorskiM Playoff Chances LL65Lost to AndrewsS 5-6, Tied BreedingT 6-6, Beat BrowneL 7-3, Beat ColemanK 6-5, Beat ErnstS 4-3, Beat GrecoG 5-1, Lost to HartleyK 6-8, Beat HeffnerE 9-5, Beat BourkeR 8-0, Plays BowmanD 11:59 PM, Beat ConeCW 4-2, Beat CurtinT 9-8, Beat EsneaultG 9-5, Beat FreezeB 6-4, Beat GelfandJ 3-1, Plays HommeyerM 11:59 PM, Beat HudsonB 8-0 (ot), Lost to MuttrejaR 5-7, Beat RizzoA 7-0, Lost to LeeD2 3-7, Beat PriceE 7-1, Plays at SamaK 11:59 PM, Beat SharpJ 4-3, Plays at TavelP 11:59 PM, Lost to WatsonKR 4-7, playoff odds up 64.3 to 99.999% 31 points 15 5-0 1 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain Monday, 6/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Rundle B | 100.0* | Rundle E | 100.0* | Average seed | JeziorskiM 8 HudsonB 0 (ot) | +8.6 | | +6.3 | | -6.0 | | +1.5 | | JeziorskiM 9 EsneaultG 5 | +7.7 | | +4.6 | | -7.6 | | +1.6 | | JeziorskiM 8 BourkeR 0 | +6.8 | | +6.9 | | -3.4 | | +1.2 | | JeziorskiM 3 GelfandJ 1 | +5.0 | | +7.7 | | -1.4 | | +0.9 | | BrowneL 3 JeziorskiM 7 | +4.3 | | +4.5 | | | | +0.6 | | JeziorskiM 5 MuttrejaR 7 | -4.2 | | -9.2 | | +0.7 | | -0.9 | | JeziorskiM 7 RizzoA 0 | +4.0 | | +6.4 | | -0.9 | | +0.7 | | SharpJ 3 JeziorskiM 4 | +2.9 | | +8.2 | | | | +0.8 | | JeziorskiM 9 CurtinT 8 | +2.8 | | +8.3 | | -0.2 | | +0.7 | | ErnstS 3 JeziorskiM 4 | +2.8 | | +5.1 | | | | +0.5 | | LeeD2 7 JeziorskiM 3 | -2.4 | | -10.7 | | | | -0.7 | | JeziorskiM 4 ConeCW 2 | +2.2 | | +8.1 | | | | +0.6 | | HartleyK 8 JeziorskiM 6 | -2.0 | | -11.7 | | | | -0.8 | | AndrewsS 6 JeziorskiM 5 | -1.9 | | -8.9 | | | | -0.6 | | PriceE 1 JeziorskiM 7 | +1.3 | | +5.2 | | | | +0.4 | | JeziorskiM 6 FreezeB 4 | +1.0 | | +5.3 | | | | +0.4 | | WatsonKR 7 JeziorskiM 4 | -0.9 | | -8.4 | | | | -0.6 | | GrecoG 1 JeziorskiM 5 | +0.8 | | +9.3 | | | | +0.5 | | SharpJ 6 HeffnerE 7 | -0.3 | | +1.5 | | | | | | GrecoD 6 WatsonKR 3 | +0.3 | | -1.3 | | | | | | LeeD2 6 HeffnerE 3 | | | -1.2 | | | | | | ColemanK 5 JeziorskiM 6 | | | +17.4 | | | | +0.7 | | BowmanD 2 HartleyK 4 | | | +2.0 | | | | | | LeeD2 6 HommeyerM 4 | | | -0.7 | | | | | | BowmanD 3 WatsonKR 1 | | | -0.9 | | | | | | LeeD2 2 BrowneL 1 | | | -0.6 | | | | | | GrecoD 9 HartleyK 2 | | | -1.3 | | | | | | SharpJ 2 BreedingT 0 | | | -0.5 | | | | | | BowmanD 5 RizzoA 0 | | | -0.6 | | | | | | SharpJ 7 BowmanD 8 | | | -3.0 | | | | | | EsneaultG 3 AndrewsS 6 | | | -0.8 | | | | | | SamaK 3 SharpJ 2 | | | +1.3 | | | | | | AndrewsS 8 HommeyerM 3 | | | -0.8 | | | | | | GrecoD 6 CurtinT 9 | | | +0.6 | | | | | | GrecoD 9 ConeCW 3 | | | -1.0 | | | | | | LeeD2 4 PriceE 3 | | | -0.7 | | | | | | SharpJ 1 ColemanK 4 | | | +0.6 | | | | | | LeeD2 8 BreedingT 2 | | | -0.9 | | | | | | GrecoD 3 RizzoA 0 | | | -0.5 | | | | | | AndrewsS 9 BreedingT 3 | | | -0.6 | | | | | | GrecoD 5 FreezeB 0 | | | -1.1 | | | | | | HeffnerE 5 JeziorskiM 9 | | | +11.6 | | | | +0.4 | | EsneaultG 2 LeeD2 4 | | | -3.4 | | | | | | BreedingT 6 JeziorskiM 6 | | | -8.7 | | | | -0.3 | | GrecoG 6 GrecoD 4 | | | +3.0 | | | | | | ColemanK 6 HommeyerM 1 | | | -0.4 | | | | | | MuttrejaR 2 AndrewsS 9 | | | -2.7 | | | | | | HudsonB 3 LeeD2 1 | | | +5.6 | | | | +0.2 | | GrecoG 7 BowmanD 4 | | | +5.3 | | | | | | GelfandJ 8 AndrewsS 6 | | | +3.6 | | | | | | ColemanK 6 BowmanD 4 | | | +3.3 | | | | | | BourkeR 2 LeeD2 6 | | | -2.8 | | | | | | BrowneL 4 BowmanD 2 | | | +2.6 | | | | | | LeeD2 6 SkardonS 0 | | | -2.3 | | | | | | PriceE 4 GrecoD 5 | | | -2.0 | | | | | | BrowneL 1 GrecoD 7 | | | -1.9 | | | | | | PriceE 0 BowmanD 3 (ot) | | | -1.9 | | | | | | AndrewsS 4 GrecoG 6 | | | +1.1 | | | | | | HudsonB 0 AndrewsS 6 | | | -1.0 | | | | | | SharpJ 8 GrecoG 6 | | | -0.9 | | | | | | BowmanD 8 FreezeB 4 | | | -0.9 | | | | | | SkardonS 0 AndrewsS 7 | | | -0.9 | | | | | | ErnstS 4 GrecoD 7 | | | -0.8 | | | | | | BourkeR 3 AndrewsS 6 | | | -0.8 | | | | | | HartleyK 2 ColemanK 8 | | | -0.7 | | | | | | LeeD2 2 GrecoG 1 | | | -0.7 | | | | | | ErnstS 4 BowmanD 5 | | | -0.6 | | | | | | AndrewsS 6 BowmanD 7 | | | -0.6 | | | | | | BrowneL 1 SharpJ 2 | | | -0.6 | | | | | | ErnstS 1 ColemanK 8 | | | -0.6 | | | | | | LeeD2 4 BowmanD 7 | | | -0.6 | | | | | | LeeD2 5 TavelP 0 (ot) | | | -0.6 | | | | | | AndrewsS 9 TavelP 0 (ot) | | | -0.5 | | | | | | SharpJ 5 PriceE 3 | | | -0.5 | | | | | | LeeD2 3 GrecoD 6 | | | -0.3 | | | | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway | TavelP vs JeziorskiM | | | -30.7-41.2-12.2+3.2+3.8 | | | | -1.1-1.5-0.4+0.1+0.1 | | SamaK vs JeziorskiM | -0.0-0.0In*In+0.0 | | -28.0-39.4-8.8+6.8+7.4 | | | | -0.9-1.4-0.3+0.2+0.3 | | MuttrejaR vs LeeD2 | | | +6.3+11.5+0.7-5.8-6.0 | | | | +0.2+0.3+0.0-0.2-0.2 | | GelfandJ vs LeeD2 | | | +7.4+12.2+2.0-4.6-4.8 | | | | +0.2+0.3+0.1-0.1-0.1 | | BreedingT vs GrecoD | | | +8.8+12.7+3.0-2.3-2.8 | | | | +0.3+0.4+0.1-0.1-0.1 | | ColemanK vs GrecoD | | | +3.2+7.9-1.9-5.7-6.0 | | | | +0.1+0.2-0.1-0.2-0.2 | | HeffnerE vs BowmanD | | | +5.7+7.4+2.3-3.4-3.5 | | | | +0.2+0.2+0.1-0.1-0.1 | | RizzoA vs AndrewsS | | | +5.4+9.6+1.3-0.8-0.8 | | | | +0.3+0.4+0.1-0.0-0.0 | | BreedingT vs BowmanD | | | +6.1+7.7+3.0-2.1-2.2 | | | | +0.2+0.2+0.1-0.1-0.1 | | CurtinT vs AndrewsS | | | +3.4+7.5*-0.1-1.5-1.6 | | | | +0.2+0.4+0.0-0.1-0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the JeziorskiM finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Rundle | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Rundle | | TP | W | | L | - | OT | | T | playoffs | B | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | E | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 39 | | 4 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 99.3 | % | 1 | 45 | 43 | 10 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,695,431 | | 38 | | 3 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 95.9 | | 0 | 18 | 50 | 28 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,663,573 | | 37 | | 3 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 70.1 | | 0 | 4 | 24 | 43 | 26 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,925,244 | | | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | In | 78.7 | | 0 | 4 | 29 | 46 | 21 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 379,540 | | 36 | | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 43.1 | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 34 | 42 | 15 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,720,951 | | | 3 | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | In | 49.9 | | | 1 | 11 | 38 | 40 | 10 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 501,601 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 0 | 3 | In | 47.2 | | | 1 | 10 | 37 | 41 | 12 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 38,176 | | 35 | | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 10.4 | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 38 | 49 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,749,058 | | | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | In | 13.1 | | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 42 | 43 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 248,011 | | | 2 | 0 | - | 1 | 1 | In | 15.7 | | | 0 | 2 | 14 | 45 | 39 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 219,161 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 4 | In | 15.9 | | | | 1 | 15 | 49 | 34 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,367 | | 34 | | 1 | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 2.2 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 61 | 16 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 480,563 | | | 2 | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | In | 2.8 | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 60 | 14 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 447,529 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 1 | 2 | In | 3.2 | | | | 0 | 3 | 25 | 58 | 13 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 31,577 | | | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 3 | In | 2.4 | | | | 0 | 2 | 21 | 62 | 14 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 11,503 | | 33 | | 1 | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 0.1 | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 56 | 34 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 264,531 | | | 1 | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | In | 0.3 | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 60 | 29 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 122,786 | | | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | In | 0.2 | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 57 | 33 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 32,443 | | | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | In | 0.4 | | | | | 0 | 8 | 61 | 28 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 28,506 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 1 | 3 | In | 0.4 | | | | 0 | 0 | 8 | 62 | 27 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,538 | | 32 | | 1 | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | In | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 1 | 29 | 48 | 20 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 101,473 | | | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 26 | 48 | 23 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 34,515 | | | 0 | 1 | - | 1 | 2 | In | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 1 | 30 | 49 | 20 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,229 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 2 | 1 | In | No | | | | | 1 | 31 | 48 | 19 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,841 | | 31 | | 0 | 2 | - | 1 | 1 | In | No | | | | | 0 | 11 | 41 | 38 | 10 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 13,194 | | | 1 | 1 | - | 2 | 0 | In | No | | | | | 0 | 13 | 41 | 38 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 12,946 | | | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | % | No | | | | | 0 | 8 | 35 | 41 | 15 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 12,362 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | In | No | | | | | | 13 | 39 | 41 | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 540 | | 30 | | 0 | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 99.8 | | No | | | | | | 2 | 16 | 45 | 31 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,690 | | | 0 | 1 | - | 2 | 1 | In | No | | | | | | 2 | 20 | 45 | 30 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,645 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 3 | 0 | 99.6 | | No | | | | | | 3 | 19 | 43 | 32 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 548 | | 29 | | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 96.6 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 25 | 44 | 24 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,100 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 3 | 1 | 97.6 | | No | | | | | | | 2 | 27 | 43 | 25 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 84 | | 28 | | 0 | 1 | - | 3 | 0 | 75.8 | | No | | | | | | | | 4 | 27 | 44 | 21 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 99 | | 27 | | 0 | 0 | - | 4 | 0 | 40.0 | | No | | | | | | | | | | 40 | 40 | 20 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 100.0 | % | 58.3 | % | 0 | 11 | 22 | 25 | 22 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 14,763,360 | |
Chance Will Make Playoffs |