HommeyerM Playoff Chances LL65Lost to AndrewsS 3-8, Beat BreedingT 4-3, Beat BrowneL 6-5, Lost to ColemanK 1-6, Beat ErnstS 7-0, Tied GrecoG 1-1, Beat HartleyK 7-2, Plays at HeffnerE 11:59 PM, Tied BourkeR 3-3, Lost to ConeCW 1-6, Lost to CurtinT 1-4, Lost to EsneaultG 4-8, Beat FreezeB 8-6, Lost to GelfandJ 4-6, Beat HudsonB 2-1, Beat MuttrejaR 2-1, Lost to RizzoA 4-7, Tied SkardonS 0-0, Lost to WatsonKR 2-3, Plays at JeziorskiM 11:59 PM, Lost to LeeD2 4-6, Beat PriceE 3-1, Plays at SamaK 11:59 PM, Beat SharpJ 6-3, Plays at TavelP 11:59 PM, playoff odds down 30.3 to 5.5% 21 points 9 9-0 3 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain Monday, 6/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Rundle B | 100.0* | Rundle E | 100.0* | Average seed | HommeyerM 4 EsneaultG 8 | -8.2 | | -5.6 | | +6.5 | | -1.5 | | HommeyerM 4 RizzoA 7 | -7.1 | | -1.4 | | +8.8 | | -1.4 | | HommeyerM 4 GelfandJ 6 | -6.5 | | -2.1 | | +7.3 | | -1.3 | | HommeyerM 2 MuttrejaR 1 | +6.2 | | +1.5 | | -9.8 | | +1.5 | | HommeyerM 2 HudsonB 1 | +6.2 | | +2.2 | | -8.7 | | +1.5 | | ColemanK 6 HommeyerM 1 | -4.9 | | | | +0.3 | | -0.4 | | SharpJ 3 HommeyerM 6 | +4.7 | | | | -9.8 | | +1.3 | | PriceE 1 HommeyerM 3 | +4.0 | | | | -4.3 | | +0.8 | | HommeyerM 1 CurtinT 4 | -3.9 | | -0.5 | | +6.9 | | -1.0 | | CurtinT 0 FreezeB 1E-05 (ot) | +2.9 | | | | | | +0.2 | | LeeD2 6 HommeyerM 4 | -2.6 | | | | +5.9 | | -0.7 | | BrowneL 5 HommeyerM 6 | +2.2 | | | | -13.2 | | +1.2 | | HommeyerM 1 ConeCW 6 | -2.1 | | | | +6.7 | | -0.8 | | BreedingT 3 HommeyerM 4 | +1.8 | | | | -1.7 | | +0.7 | | HommeyerM 2 WatsonKR 3 | -1.8 | | | | +7.0 | | -0.8 | | GrecoG 1 HommeyerM 1 | -1.7 | | | | -0.8 | | +0.0 | | AndrewsS 8 HommeyerM 3 | -1.5 | | | | +4.3 | | -0.5 | | ErnstS 0 HommeyerM 7 | +1.4 | | | | -12.1 | | +1.1 | | HartleyK 2 HommeyerM 7 | +1.3 | | | | -12.4 | | +1.2 | | HommeyerM 8 FreezeB 6 | +1.2 | | | | -10.4 | | +1.2 | | GrecoG 7 BowmanD 4 | -1.1 | | | | | | -0.2 | | BrowneL 4 EsneaultG 6 | -1.1 | | | | | | | | MuttrejaR 9 HartleyK 1 | -1.0 | | | | | | | | SharpJ 3 SkardonS 1 | -0.9 | | | | | | | | GelfandJ 2 WatsonKR 5 | -0.7 | | | | -0.4 | | | | EsneaultG 2 LeeD2 4 | +0.7 | | | | | | | | SharpJ 7 BowmanD 8 | +0.6 | | | | | | | | SamaK 1 ConeCW 4 | -0.6 | | | | | | | | MuttrejaR 2 FreezeB 1 | -0.6 | | | | -0.4 | | | | HommeyerM 3 BourkeR 3 | -0.5 | | -0.4 | | *-0.1 | | -0.0 | | SharpJ 5 GrecoD 5 | -0.5 | | | | | | | | RizzoA 1 ConeCW 1 | +0.5 | | | | | | | | RizzoA 0 WatsonKR 4 | -0.4 | | | | | | | | HudsonB 2 WatsonKR 5 | -0.3 | | | | -0.9 | | | | MuttrejaR 2 WatsonKR 3 | -0.3 | | | | | | | | SkardonS 6 CurtinT 0 (ot) | | | | | +0.7 | | | | GelfandJ 1 ConeCW 3 | | | | | -0.4 | | | | BrowneL 3 JeziorskiM 7 | | | | | -0.8 | | | | GelfandJ 1 MuttrejaR 6 | | | | | -0.6 | | | | HudsonB 7 ConeCW 5 | | | | | +1.0 | | | | BowmanD 2 HartleyK 4 | | | | | +1.4 | | | | SkardonS 0 WatsonKR 4 | | | | | -0.6 | | | | HudsonB 1 CurtinT 3 | | | | | -0.4 | | | | EsneaultG 8 FreezeB 4 | | | | | -0.7 | | | | MuttrejaR 0 CurtinT 5 | | | | | +1.0 | | | | GrecoG 7 BreedingT 5 | | | | | +0.6 | | | | GrecoD 9 HartleyK 2 | | | | | -0.4 | | | | SamaK 5 MuttrejaR 9 | | | | | -0.4 | | | | ErnstS 3 JeziorskiM 4 | | | | | -0.7 | | | | BourkeR 5 GelfandJ 4 | | | | | -0.6 | | | | GrecoG 3 ColemanK 9 | | | | | -0.3 | | | | AndrewsS 9 BreedingT 3 | | | | | -0.4 | | | | SkardonS 2 RizzoA 0 (ot) | | | | | *+0.2 | | | | EsneaultG 6 HartleyK 3 | | | | | -0.4 | | | | HommeyerM 0 SkardonS 0 | | | -0.3 | | -0.6 | | +0.1 | | ErnstS 1 ColemanK 8 | | | | | -0.5 | | | | SharpJ 8 GrecoG 6 | | | | | -0.5 | | | | BowmanD 8 FreezeB 4 | | | | | -0.5 | | | | ColemanK 6 BreedingT 6 | | | *No | | | | | | ErnstS 4 GrecoD 7 | | | *No | | -0.5 | | | | SamaK 1 RizzoA 3 | | | *No | | -0.6 | | | | BourkeR 3 AndrewsS 6 | | | *No | | | | | | BrowneL 4 BowmanD 2 | | | | | +1.4 | | | | HartleyK 8 JeziorskiM 6 | | | | | +1.0 | | | | GelfandJ 8 RizzoA 0 (ot) | | | | | +0.9 | | | | BrowneL 8 TavelP 0 (ot) | | | | | +0.8 | | | | ErnstS 1E-06 TavelP 0 (ot) | | | | | +0.8 | | | | HudsonB 3 RizzoA 1 | | | | | +0.7 | | | | SkardonS 0 AndrewsS 7 | | | | | -0.7 | | | | PriceE 0 GrecoG 2 | | | | | +0.6 | | | | GrecoD 5 FreezeB 0 | | | | | -0.6 | | | | HartleyK 5 TavelP 0 (ot) | | | | | +0.5 | | | | BrowneL 1 GrecoD 7 | | | | | -0.4 | | | | ErnstS 4 BowmanD 5 | | | | | -0.4 | | | | BourkeR 2 FreezeB 2 | | | | | -0.3 | | | | SamaK 1 ColemanK 7 | | | | | -0.2 | | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway | HeffnerE vs HommeyerM | -4.9-5.4-2.3+4.5+5.3 | | | | +0.4+2.2-0.4-0.5-0.5 | | -1.0-1.9+0.1+1.1+1.1 | | TavelP vs HommeyerM | -5.1-5.4-3.5+0.8+1.3 | | | | +2.5+6.6+0.1-0.5-0.5 | | -1.5-2.3-0.6+0.3+0.3 | | BourkeR vs SharpJ | +2.4+3.8+0.3-1.0-1.0 | | | | | | +0.1+0.2+0.0-0.0-0.0 | | MuttrejaR vs ErnstS | -0.9-0.8+0.3+3.7+1.8 | | | | | | -0.0-0.0+0.0+0.2+0.1 | | SharpJ vs HudsonB | -1.3-1.3-0.1+3.2+1.8 | | | | | | +0.0+0.1-0.0+0.1-0.1 | | GrecoG vs SkardonS | -1.3-1.2+0.3+3.1+2.0 | | | | | | -0.1-0.1+0.0+0.2+0.1 | | MuttrejaR vs LeeD2 | -1.2-1.2-0.4+2.7+0.9 | | | | | | -0.0-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.0 | | GrecoG vs EsneaultG | -1.5-0.7-0.5+2.3+1.1 | | | | | | -0.1-0.1-0.0+0.2+0.1 | | PriceE vs EsneaultG | +0.7+1.6*-0.0-0.2-0.3 | | | | | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the HommeyerM finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Rundle | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Rundle | | TP | W | | L | - | OT | | T | playoffs | B | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | E | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 29 | | 4 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 51.5 | % | No | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 40 | 37 | 11 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 996,808 | | 28 | | 3 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | 18.6 | | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 41 | 33 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 827,047 | | 27 | | 3 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 3.8 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 47 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,159,867 | | | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 3.7 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 47 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 244,004 | | 26 | | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | 0.3 | | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 39 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,762,260 | | | 3 | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | 0.6 | | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 34 | 38 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 403,547 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 0 | 3 | 0.3 | | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 40 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 30,519 | | 25 | | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 8 | 27 | 35 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,938,601 | | | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 9 | 28 | 35 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 314,123 | | | 2 | 0 | - | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 33 | 34 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 224,560 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 4 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 9 | 26 | 38 | 20 | 6 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,414 | | 24 | | 1 | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 35 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 0.0 | % | 984,317 | | | 2 | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 27 | 35 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 0.0 | | 750,448 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 1 | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 34 | 19 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 40,372 | | | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 35 | 25 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 17,887 | | 23 | | 1 | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 38 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 0.2 | | 922,321 | | | 1 | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 38 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 0.1 | | 251,902 | | | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 38 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 0.2 | | 79,348 | | | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 11 | 29 | 36 | 18 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 0.0 | | 47,648 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 1 | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 36 | 25 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 0.1 | | 2,257 | | 22 | | 1 | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 43 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 2.2 | | 353,136 | | | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 44 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 3.4 | | 138,945 | | | 0 | 1 | - | 1 | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 43 | 18 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 1.9 | | 20,419 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 2 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 11 | 33 | 39 | 15 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 1.1 | | 15,890 | | 21 | | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 44 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 24.4 | | 78,888 | | | 0 | 2 | - | 1 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 43 | 16 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | 18.3 | | 53,171 | | | 1 | 1 | - | 2 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 36 | 41 | 12 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 13.2 | | 45,270 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 10 | 36 | 39 | 12 | 1 | | | | | | | | | 13.0 | | 1,251 | | 20 | | 0 | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 38 | 36 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 50.9 | | 39,995 | | | 0 | 1 | - | 2 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 14 | 41 | 33 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 44.3 | | 6,743 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 3 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 16 | 44 | 30 | 8 | 1 | | | | | | | | 38.5 | | 1,916 | | 19 | | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 18 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | 80.5 | | 7,545 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 3 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 24 | 42 | 24 | 6 | | | | | | | | 73.1 | | 279 | | 18 | | 0 | 1 | - | 3 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 22 | 44 | 24 | 5 | 1 | | | | | | 96.1 | | 647 | | 17 | | 0 | 0 | - | 4 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 33 | 40 | 27 | | | | | | | Yes | 15 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 5.5 | % | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 19 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 0.6 | % | 14,763,360 | |
Chance Will Make Playoffs |