HeffnerE Playoff Chances LL65Lost to AndrewsS 2-9, Beat BreedingT 6-0, Lost to BrowneL 2-6, Lost to ColemanK 1-9, Beat ConeCW 1-0, Beat ErnstS 7-1, Tied FreezeB 5-5, Lost to GrecoG 3-5, Tied HartleyK 4-4, Beat BourkeR 5-1, Plays BowmanD 11:59 PM, Lost to CurtinT 3-5, Beat GelfandJ 5-3, Plays GrecoD 11:59 PM, Plays HommeyerM 11:59 PM, Lost to JeziorskiM 5-9, Lost to MuttrejaR 2-3, Tied RizzoA 1-1, Plays SkardonS 11:59 PM, Beat TavelP 3-0 (ot), Lost to LeeD2 3-6, Lost to PriceE 1-5, Beat SamaK 1-0, Beat SharpJ 7-6, Beat WatsonKR 5-4, playoff odds down 34 to 1.7% 21 points 9 9-0 3 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain Monday, 6/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Rundle B | 100.0* | Rundle E | 100.0* | Average seed | PriceE 5 HeffnerE 1 | -12.1 | | | | +4.6 | | -1.2 | | BrowneL 6 HeffnerE 2 | -11.1 | | -0.6 | | +4.6 | | -1.2 | | SharpJ 6 HeffnerE 7 | +10.3 | | | | -6.7 | | +1.3 | | LeeD2 6 HeffnerE 3 | -9.4 | | -2.0 | | +1.5 | | -0.9 | | WatsonKR 4 HeffnerE 5 | +9.4 | | +3.8 | | -4.1 | | +1.2 | | ConeCW 0 HeffnerE 1 | +9.1 | | +4.3 | | -6.6 | | +1.5 | | ErnstS 1 HeffnerE 7 | +8.6 | | +1.1 | | -5.0 | | +1.1 | | HeffnerE 3 CurtinT 5 | -8.5 | | -5.9 | | +4.2 | | -1.3 | | HeffnerE 5 GelfandJ 3 | +8.1 | | +6.3 | | -5.5 | | +1.4 | | HeffnerE 2 MuttrejaR 3 | -8.1 | | -7.6 | | +4.2 | | -1.4 | | HeffnerE 5 BourkeR 1 | +7.7 | | +4.6 | | -7.6 | | +1.6 | | AndrewsS 9 HeffnerE 2 | -7.2 | | -3.0 | | +1.3 | | -0.8 | | GrecoG 5 HeffnerE 3 | -7.0 | | | | +5.5 | | -1.1 | | HeffnerE 5 JeziorskiM 9 | -3.3 | | | | +0.7 | | -0.6 | | ColemanK 9 HeffnerE 1 | -2.1 | | No | | +2.6 | | -0.4 | | SamaK 0 HeffnerE 1 | +1.6 | | | | -5.2 | | +0.7 | | CurtinT 0 FreezeB 1E-05 (ot) | +1.6 | | | | +0.7 | | +0.2 | | BourkeR 7 CurtinT 3 | +1.2 | | | | | | | | FreezeB 5 HeffnerE 5 | -1.2 | | -1.1 | | | | -0.1 | | HartleyK 4 HeffnerE 4 | -1.2 | | -1.2 | | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | HudsonB 2 WatsonKR 5 | -1.1 | | | | -0.4 | | | | WatsonKR 7 JeziorskiM 4 | -1.1 | | +0.2 | | | | | | SkardonS 0 FreezeB 4 | +1.0 | | | | | | | | GrecoG 6 GrecoD 4 | -0.9 | | | | | | | | BreedingT 0 HeffnerE 6 | +0.9 | | | | -9.6 | | +0.8 | | HeffnerE 3 TavelP 0 (ot) | +0.9 | | | | -1.8 | | +0.3 | | HudsonB 7 ConeCW 5 | +0.8 | | | | +0.5 | | | | BourkeR 1 MuttrejaR 5 | -0.8 | | | | | | | | HeffnerE 1 RizzoA 1 | -0.8 | | -1.2 | | | | -0.1 | | GrecoD 6 WatsonKR 3 | +0.8 | | | | | | | | ConeCW 4 FreezeB 7 | +0.8 | | | | +0.6 | | | | SkardonS 0 WatsonKR 4 | -0.8 | | | | | | | | GrecoD 6 CurtinT 9 | -0.8 | | +0.3 | | | | | | BowmanD 3 WatsonKR 1 | +0.8 | | | | | | | | BourkeR 3 ConeCW 6 | -0.8 | | | | | | | | EsneaultG 8 FreezeB 4 | -0.7 | | | | -0.4 | | | | GelfandJ 1 ConeCW 3 | -0.7 | | | | | | | | GelfandJ 1 MuttrejaR 6 | -0.6 | | | | | | | | HudsonB 4 MuttrejaR 7 | -0.6 | | | | | | | | HommeyerM 2 WatsonKR 3 | -0.6 | | | | | | | | HudsonB 1 CurtinT 3 | -0.6 | | | | | | | | EsneaultG 7 RizzoA 1 | -0.6 | | | | | | | | HartleyK 2 HommeyerM 7 | +0.6 | | | | | | | | BrowneL 4 EsneaultG 6 | -0.5 | | | | -0.5 | | | | MuttrejaR 9 HartleyK 1 | -0.5 | | | | -0.4 | | | | SharpJ 3 SkardonS 1 | -0.5 | | | | | | | | BourkeR 1 WatsonKR 3 | -0.5 | | | | | | | | HommeyerM 1 ConeCW 6 | -0.5 | | | | | | | | BrowneL 3 JeziorskiM 7 | -0.4 | | | | | | | | BowmanD 5 RizzoA 0 | -0.4 | | | | | | | | BowmanD 7 ConeCW 1 | +0.4 | | -0.2 | | | | | | MuttrejaR 6 RizzoA 1 | -0.4 | | | | | | | | SharpJ 3 TavelP 0 (ot) | -0.4 | | | | | | | | SamaK 5 MuttrejaR 9 | -0.3 | | | | | | | | GrecoG 3 ColemanK 9 | +0.3 | | | | | | | | MuttrejaR 2 AndrewsS 9 | +0.3 | | | | | | | | GrecoD 9 ConeCW 3 | +0.3 | | | | | | | | LeeD2 8 BreedingT 2 | -0.3 | | | | | | | | SharpJ 2 BreedingT 0 | -0.3 | | | | | | | | GrecoD 3 RizzoA 0 | | | -0.3 | | | | | | SharpJ 4 EsneaultG 7 | +0.2 | | | | | | | | SharpJ 5 GrecoD 5 | -0.2 | | | | | | | | GelfandJ 2 WatsonKR 5 | | | | | -0.9 | | | | EsneaultG 7 WatsonKR 4 | +0.1 | | | | | | | | LeeD2 2 GrecoG 1 | | | -0.4 | | | | | | MuttrejaR 2 FreezeB 1 | | | | | -1.0 | | | | EsneaultG 5 ErnstS 5 | | | | | +0.5 | | | | BourkeR 3 HartleyK 3 | | | | | *-0.2 | | | | SkardonS 0 AndrewsS 7 | | | | | -0.3 | | | | BrowneL 4 BowmanD 2 | | | | | +1.3 | | | | RizzoA 3 FreezeB 0 | | | | | -1.2 | | | | HudsonB 3 LeeD2 1 | | | | | +1.0 | | | | BrowneL 1 GrecoD 7 | | | | | -0.9 | | | | HudsonB 0 AndrewsS 6 | | | | | -0.7 | | | | BrowneL 6 SkardonS 3 | | | | | +0.6 | | | | LeeD2 6 SkardonS 0 | | | | | -0.5 | | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway | HeffnerE vs BowmanD | +3.1+2.8-0.5-1.7-1.5 | | | | -3.2-3.1-2.2+7.2+1.4 | | +1.3+1.2+0.3-1.4-0.6 | | HeffnerE vs HommeyerM | +2.0+1.8-0.9-1.7-1.6 | | | | -3.1-3.1-1.8+9.5+2.6 | | +1.2+1.2-0.0-1.7-1.0 | | BourkeR vs SharpJ | +0.8+1.4+0.1-0.3-0.3 | | | | | | +0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0 | | MuttrejaR vs ErnstS | -0.3-0.3+0.1+1.3+0.6 | | | | -0.3-0.4*+0.0+0.6+0.7 | | -0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0 | | GrecoG vs SkardonS | -0.5-0.4+0.1+1.2+0.7 | | | | | | -0.0-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1 | | SharpJ vs HudsonB | -0.4-0.4-0.0+1.1+0.6 | | | | -0.2-0.5+0.1+0.3+0.3 | | +0.1+0.2-0.0-0.1-0.1 | | ConeCW vs HartleyK | -0.1-0.1+0.1+0.2+0.2 | | | | -0.6-0.9+0.1+0.8+1.0 | | -0.1-0.1+0.0+0.2+0.1 | | FreezeB vs WatsonKR | | | | | +1.2+1.2+0.4-1.1-0.5 | | -0.1-0.1-0.0+0.1+0.1 | | GelfandJ vs BrowneL | | | | | -0.8-1.2*+0.0+0.6+1.0 | | -0.1-0.1+0.0+0.2+0.1 | | CurtinT vs HartleyK | | | | | -0.5-0.9+0.2+0.4+1.0 | | -0.1-0.1+0.0+0.2+0.1 | | BourkeR vs BrowneL | | | | | -1.0-1.4-0.4+0.7+0.7 | | | | SamaK vs FreezeB | | | | | -1.0-1.4-0.2+0.6+0.6 | | +0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the HeffnerE finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Rundle | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Rundle | | TP | W | | L | - | OT | | T | playoffs | B | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | E | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 29 | | 4 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 49.5 | % | No | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 39 | 38 | 12 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 298,773 | | 28 | | 3 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | 16.4 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 15 | 40 | 35 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 321,644 | | 27 | | 3 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 3.1 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 45 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,546,807 | | | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 3.0 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 45 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 127,159 | | 26 | | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | 0.2 | | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 37 | 27 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,210,975 | | | 3 | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | 0.4 | | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 38 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 197,115 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 0 | 3 | 0.1 | | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 20 | 36 | 29 | 10 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 21,992 | | 25 | | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,850,449 | | | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 36 | 28 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 308,846 | | | 2 | 0 | - | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 26 | 36 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 154,539 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 4 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 18 | 37 | 31 | 10 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,440 | | 24 | | 1 | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 35 | 32 | 12 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 0.0 | % | 1,430,577 | | | 2 | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 36 | 27 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 0.0 | | 728,454 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 1 | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 39,431 | | | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 35 | 33 | 12 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 25,513 | | 23 | | 1 | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 38 | 32 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 0.3 | | 2,183,730 | | | 1 | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 39 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 0.2 | | 365,465 | | | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 38 | 33 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 0.3 | | 175,791 | | | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 39 | 24 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 0.1 | | 46,783 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 1 | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 31 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 0.2 | | 3,240 | | 22 | | 1 | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 45 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 2.8 | | 834,987 | | | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 45 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 4.1 | | 528,458 | | | 0 | 1 | - | 1 | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 46 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 2.7 | | 44,831 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 2 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 43 | 17 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 1.6 | | 23,240 | | 21 | | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 45 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 26.1 | | 587,627 | | | 0 | 2 | - | 1 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 44 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 20.7 | | 202,828 | | | 1 | 1 | - | 2 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 34 | 42 | 14 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | 15.9 | | 106,456 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 36 | 43 | 13 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 14.2 | | 2,993 | | 20 | | 0 | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 37 | 37 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 53.2 | | 299,711 | | | 0 | 1 | - | 2 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 13 | 39 | 35 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 47.0 | | 25,720 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 3 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 14 | 42 | 33 | 10 | 1 | | | | | | | | 43.5 | | 4,683 | | 19 | | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 18 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | 80.8 | | 57,030 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 3 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 20 | 43 | 29 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | 78.1 | | 1,065 | | 18 | | 0 | 1 | - | 3 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 22 | 42 | 27 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | 96.3 | | 4,860 | | 17 | | 0 | 0 | - | 4 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 8 | 31 | 40 | 14 | 4 | 1 | | | | | 98.0 | | 148 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 1.7 | % | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 3.3 | % | 14,763,360 | |
Chance Will Make Playoffs |