How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday, 6/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
PriceE 5 HeffnerE 1 -12.1
+4.6
-1.2
BrowneL 6 HeffnerE 2 -11.1
-0.6
+4.6
-1.2
SharpJ 6 HeffnerE 7 +10.3
-6.7
+1.3
LeeD2 6 HeffnerE 3 -9.4
-2.0
+1.5
-0.9
WatsonKR 4 HeffnerE 5 +9.4
+3.8
-4.1
+1.2
ConeCW 0 HeffnerE 1 +9.1
+4.3
-6.6
+1.5
ErnstS 1 HeffnerE 7 +8.6
+1.1
-5.0
+1.1
HeffnerE 3 CurtinT 5 -8.5
-5.9
+4.2
-1.3
HeffnerE 5 GelfandJ 3 +8.1
+6.3
-5.5
+1.4
HeffnerE 2 MuttrejaR 3 -8.1
-7.6
+4.2
-1.4
HeffnerE 5 BourkeR 1 +7.7
+4.6
-7.6
+1.6
AndrewsS 9 HeffnerE 2 -7.2
-3.0
+1.3
-0.8
GrecoG 5 HeffnerE 3 -7.0
+5.5
-1.1
HeffnerE 5 JeziorskiM 9 -3.3
+0.7
-0.6
ColemanK 9 HeffnerE 1 -2.1
No
+2.6
-0.4
SamaK 0 HeffnerE 1 +1.6
-5.2
+0.7
CurtinT 0 FreezeB 1E-05 (ot)+1.6
+0.7
+0.2
BourkeR 7 CurtinT 3 +1.2
FreezeB 5 HeffnerE 5 -1.2
-1.1
-0.1
HartleyK 4 HeffnerE 4 -1.2
-1.2
-0.1
-0.1
HudsonB 2 WatsonKR 5 -1.1
-0.4
WatsonKR 7 JeziorskiM 4 -1.1
+0.2
SkardonS 0 FreezeB 4 +1.0
GrecoG 6 GrecoD 4 -0.9
BreedingT 0 HeffnerE 6 +0.9
-9.6
+0.8
HeffnerE 3 TavelP 0 (ot)+0.9
-1.8
+0.3
HudsonB 7 ConeCW 5 +0.8
+0.5
BourkeR 1 MuttrejaR 5 -0.8
HeffnerE 1 RizzoA 1 -0.8
-1.2
-0.1
GrecoD 6 WatsonKR 3 +0.8
ConeCW 4 FreezeB 7 +0.8
+0.6
SkardonS 0 WatsonKR 4 -0.8
GrecoD 6 CurtinT 9 -0.8
+0.3
BowmanD 3 WatsonKR 1 +0.8
BourkeR 3 ConeCW 6 -0.8
EsneaultG 8 FreezeB 4 -0.7
-0.4
GelfandJ 1 ConeCW 3 -0.7
GelfandJ 1 MuttrejaR 6 -0.6
HudsonB 4 MuttrejaR 7 -0.6
HommeyerM 2 WatsonKR 3 -0.6
HudsonB 1 CurtinT 3 -0.6
EsneaultG 7 RizzoA 1 -0.6
HartleyK 2 HommeyerM 7 +0.6
BrowneL 4 EsneaultG 6 -0.5
-0.5
MuttrejaR 9 HartleyK 1 -0.5
-0.4
SharpJ 3 SkardonS 1 -0.5
BourkeR 1 WatsonKR 3 -0.5
HommeyerM 1 ConeCW 6 -0.5
BrowneL 3 JeziorskiM 7 -0.4
BowmanD 5 RizzoA 0 -0.4
BowmanD 7 ConeCW 1 +0.4
-0.2
MuttrejaR 6 RizzoA 1 -0.4
SharpJ 3 TavelP 0 (ot)-0.4
SamaK 5 MuttrejaR 9 -0.3
GrecoG 3 ColemanK 9 +0.3
MuttrejaR 2 AndrewsS 9 +0.3
GrecoD 9 ConeCW 3 +0.3
LeeD2 8 BreedingT 2 -0.3
SharpJ 2 BreedingT 0 -0.3
GrecoD 3 RizzoA 0 -0.3
SharpJ 4 EsneaultG 7 +0.2
SharpJ 5 GrecoD 5 -0.2
GelfandJ 2 WatsonKR 5 -0.9
EsneaultG 7 WatsonKR 4 +0.1
LeeD2 2 GrecoG 1 -0.4
MuttrejaR 2 FreezeB 1 -1.0
EsneaultG 5 ErnstS 5 +0.5
BourkeR 3 HartleyK 3 *-0.2
SkardonS 0 AndrewsS 7 -0.3
BrowneL 4 BowmanD 2 +1.3
RizzoA 3 FreezeB 0 -1.2
HudsonB 3 LeeD2 1 +1.0
BrowneL 1 GrecoD 7 -0.9
HudsonB 0 AndrewsS 6 -0.7
BrowneL 6 SkardonS 3 +0.6
LeeD2 6 SkardonS 0 -0.5
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
HeffnerE vs BowmanD+3.1+2.8-0.5-1.7-1.5
-3.2-3.1-2.2+7.2+1.4
+1.3+1.2+0.3-1.4-0.6
HeffnerE vs HommeyerM+2.0+1.8-0.9-1.7-1.6
-3.1-3.1-1.8+9.5+2.6
+1.2+1.2-0.0-1.7-1.0
BourkeR vs SharpJ+0.8+1.4+0.1-0.3-0.3
+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0
MuttrejaR vs ErnstS-0.3-0.3+0.1+1.3+0.6
-0.3-0.4*+0.0+0.6+0.7
-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0
GrecoG vs SkardonS-0.5-0.4+0.1+1.2+0.7
-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1
SharpJ vs HudsonB-0.4-0.4-0.0+1.1+0.6
-0.2-0.5+0.1+0.3+0.3
+0.1+0.2-0.0-0.1-0.1
ConeCW vs HartleyK-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.2+0.2
-0.6-0.9+0.1+0.8+1.0
-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.2+0.1
FreezeB vs WatsonKR+1.2+1.2+0.4-1.1-0.5
-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.1+0.1
GelfandJ vs BrowneL-0.8-1.2*+0.0+0.6+1.0
-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.2+0.1
CurtinT vs HartleyK-0.5-0.9+0.2+0.4+1.0
-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.2+0.1
BourkeR vs BrowneL-1.0-1.4-0.4+0.7+0.7
SamaK vs FreezeB-1.0-1.4-0.2+0.6+0.6
+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the HeffnerE finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inRundleChance will finish regular season at seedRundle
TPWL-OTTplayoffsB12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728ECount
2940-0049.5%No01103938121No298,773
2830-0116.4No011540358100No321,644
2731-003.1No0032045266100No1,546,807
20-023.0No003204526600No127,159
2621-010.2No0042237279100No1,210,975
30-100.4No006283822610No197,115
10-030.1No032036291020No21,992
2522-000.0No005223627910No2,850,449
11-020.0No0042036281010No308,846
20-110.0No007263623710No154,539
00-04OutNo03183731101No1,440
2412-01OutNo00417353212100.0%1,430,577
21-100.0No00162236278000.0728,454
10-12OutNo01622362880No39,431
01-03OutNo003163533121No25,513
2313-00OutNo0041838327000.32,183,730
11-11OutNo00052139295000.2365,465
02-02OutNo0031738338000.3175,791
20-20OutNo018253924400.146,783
00-13OutNo04194031600.23,240
2212-10OutNo0052545223002.8834,987
03-01OutNo0032045284004.1528,458
01-12OutNo0052546223002.744,831
10-21OutNo0017304317201.623,240
2104-00OutNo00425452240026.1587,627
02-11OutNo00530441830020.7202,828
11-20OutNo0173442142015.9106,456
00-22OutNo0163643131014.22,993
2003-10OutNo01937371420053.2299,711
01-21OutNo01133935111047.025,720
10-30OutNo114423310143.54,683
1902-20OutNo0218403281080.857,030
00-31OutNo22043295078.11,065
1801-30OutNo042242275096.34,860
1700-40OutNo283140144198.0148
Total:1.7%No0001410121516161473100003.3%14,763,360
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs