HartleyK Playoff Chances LL65
Tied BourkeR 3-3, Beat BowmanD 4-2, Plays at ConeCW 11:59 PM, Plays at CurtinT 11:59 PM, Lost to EsneaultG 3-6, Plays at FreezeB 11:59 PM, Lost to GelfandJ 3-5, Lost to GrecoD 2-9, Beat BreedingT 2-0, Beat BrowneL 3-2, Lost to ColemanK 2-8, Lost to ErnstS 1-7, Beat GrecoG 6-1, Tied HeffnerE 4-4, Lost to HommeyerM 2-7, Beat JeziorskiM 8-6, Lost to LeeD2 4-7, Lost to PriceE 6-8, Lost to SharpJ 4-7, Beat TavelP 5-0 (ot), Lost to HudsonB 1-2, Lost to MuttrejaR 1-9, Tied RizzoA 3-3, Beat SkardonS 4-1, Plays at WatsonKR 11:59 PM, playoff odds down 35.7 to 0.00007%
17 points 7 11-0 3
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain
| Monday, 6/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Rundle B | 100.0* | Rundle E | 100.0* | Average seed |
| HartleyK 1 ErnstS 7 | -7.0 | -4.2 | +6.9 | -1.5 | ||||
| HartleyK 8 JeziorskiM 6 | +6.4 | +0.3 | -12.0 | +1.5 | ||||
| HartleyK 2 HommeyerM 7 | -6.4 | -0.2 | +8.2 | -1.2 | ||||
| BowmanD 2 HartleyK 4 | +5.6 | -13.1 | +1.5 | |||||
| EsneaultG 6 HartleyK 3 | -5.2 | +4.3 | -0.7 | |||||
| HartleyK 4 LeeD2 7 | -5.1 | -2.1 | +7.1 | -1.3 | ||||
| HartleyK 3 BrowneL 2 | +4.8 | +1.4 | -8.6 | +1.5 | ||||
| SkardonS 1 HartleyK 4 | +4.5 | -12.4 | +1.3 | |||||
| HartleyK 4 SharpJ 7 | -4.2 | -1.3 | +6.4 | -1.1 | ||||
| GrecoD 9 HartleyK 2 | -4.2 | +3.9 | -0.6 | |||||
| HartleyK 6 PriceE 8 | -3.3 | -0.6 | +7.9 | -1.2 | ||||
| HartleyK 2 ColemanK 8 | -3.2 | -0.4 | +6.5 | -0.9 | ||||
| HudsonB 2 HartleyK 1 | -3.0 | *No | +8.1 | -0.9 | ||||
| HartleyK 6 GrecoG 1 | +2.5 | +0.3 | -8.2 | +1.2 | ||||
| HartleyK 2 BreedingT 0 | +2.1 | -9.2 | +1.2 | |||||
| HartleyK 5 TavelP 0 (ot) | +1.8 | -7.4 | +0.8 | |||||
| GelfandJ 5 HartleyK 3 | -1.0 | +11.7 | -0.9 | |||||
| BourkeR 7 CurtinT 3 | +1.0 | |||||||
| HudsonB 2 WatsonKR 5 | -0.9 | -0.5 | ||||||
| HudsonB 7 ConeCW 5 | +0.7 | +0.6 | ||||||
| EsneaultG 8 FreezeB 4 | -0.6 | -0.4 | ||||||
| BourkeR 3 HartleyK 3 | -0.6 | +0.7 | -0.1 | |||||
| SkardonS 6 CurtinT 0 (ot) | +0.5 | *+0.3 | ||||||
| BourkeR 1 MuttrejaR 5 | -0.5 | |||||||
| BowmanD 3 WatsonKR 1 | +0.4 | |||||||
| BourkeR 1 WatsonKR 3 | -0.4 | |||||||
| GrecoG 3 ColemanK 9 | +0.4 | |||||||
| SamaK 5 MuttrejaR 9 | -0.3 | |||||||
| MuttrejaR 9 HartleyK 1 | -0.3 | +8.9 | -0.6 | |||||
| HommeyerM 2 WatsonKR 3 | -0.3 | -0.4 | ||||||
| GelfandJ 1 MuttrejaR 6 | -0.7 | |||||||
| GelfandJ 2 WatsonKR 5 | -0.9 | |||||||
| HudsonB 1 CurtinT 3 | -0.4 | |||||||
| MuttrejaR 2 FreezeB 1 | -1.0 | |||||||
| SharpJ 3 HommeyerM 6 | +0.8 | |||||||
| PriceE 0 GrecoG 2 | +0.5 | |||||||
| HudsonB 3 RizzoA 1 | +0.5 | |||||||
| GrecoD 5 FreezeB 0 | -0.4 | |||||||
| HartleyK 4 HeffnerE 4 | +0.1 | -2.0 | +0.2 | |||||
| GrecoG 7 BreedingT 5 | +0.6 | |||||||
| GelfandJ 5 CurtinT 4 | +0.5 | |||||||
| BourkeR 5 GelfandJ 4 | -0.6 | |||||||
| BrowneL 3 JeziorskiM 7 | -0.7 | |||||||
| CurtinT 0 FreezeB 1E-05 (ot) | +2.9 | |||||||
| LeeD2 6 HommeyerM 4 | -0.5 | |||||||
| SkardonS 2 RizzoA 0 (ot) | +0.4 | |||||||
| JeziorskiM 6 FreezeB 4 | -0.4 | |||||||
| ErnstS 3 JeziorskiM 4 | -0.6 | |||||||
| BrowneL 4 EsneaultG 6 | -2.0 | |||||||
| AndrewsS 9 BreedingT 3 | -0.4 | |||||||
| AndrewsS 8 HommeyerM 3 | -0.4 | |||||||
| GelfandJ 8 AndrewsS 6 | +2.5 | -0.2 | ||||||
| HudsonB 3 LeeD2 1 | +4.2 | -0.2 | ||||||
| EsneaultG 5 ErnstS 5 | +0.3 | |||||||
| RizzoA 3 HartleyK 3 | Out | +5.3 | -0.2 | |||||
| HeffnerE 3 TavelP 0 (ot) | +0.3 | |||||||
| ConeCW 4 FreezeB 7 | +5.1 | |||||||
| BreedingT 3 HommeyerM 4 | +0.3 | |||||||
| SharpJ 8 GrecoG 6 | -0.4 | |||||||
| BowmanD 8 FreezeB 4 | -0.5 | |||||||
| BrowneL 2 ColemanK 7 | -0.3 | |||||||
| ErnstS 1 ColemanK 8 | -0.5 | |||||||
| SkardonS 0 AndrewsS 7 | -0.4 | |||||||
| RizzoA 3 FreezeB 0 | -2.4 | |||||||
| BourkeR 3 ErnstS 2 | -2.0 | |||||||
| BrowneL 4 BowmanD 2 | +1.5 | |||||||
| HudsonB 4 BrowneL 1 | -1.4 | |||||||
| BrowneL 6 SkardonS 3 | +1.4 | |||||||
| BreedingT 0 HeffnerE 6 | +1.1 | |||||||
| BrowneL 1 GrecoD 7 | -1.0 | |||||||
| HudsonB 0 AndrewsS 6 | -0.7 | |||||||
| ErnstS 1E-06 TavelP 0 (ot) | +0.5 | |||||||
| GelfandJ 8 RizzoA 0 (ot) | +0.5 | |||||||
| BrowneL 8 TavelP 0 (ot) | +0.4 | |||||||
| ErnstS 4 BowmanD 5 | -0.4 | |||||||
| SamaK 1 ColemanK 7 | -0.2 | |||||||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway | ||||||||
| ConeCW vs HartleyK | +11.4+19.6-2.5-18.5-18.9 | -0.6-1.1+0.2+0.9+0.9 | ||||||
| CurtinT vs HartleyK | +10.9+19.2-3.7-23.2-21.6 | -0.5-1.1+0.2+1.1+1.1 | ||||||
| HeffnerE vs BowmanD | +0.6+0.7+0.4-1.5-0.3 | -0.0-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.0 | ||||||
| MuttrejaR vs ErnstS | -0.9-1.5+0.2+2.1+2.4 | +0.1+0.2-0.0-0.2-0.2 | ||||||
| FreezeB vs WatsonKR | +7.0+6.8+2.5-6.8-3.1 | -0.2-0.2-0.1+0.2+0.1 | ||||||
| SamaK vs FreezeB | -6.2-9.4-1.1+3.5+3.9 | +0.1+0.2+0.0-0.0-0.1 | ||||||
| BourkeR vs BrowneL | -3.3-4.7-1.3+2.3+2.4 | +0.1+0.3+0.0-0.1-0.1 | ||||||
| GelfandJ vs BrowneL | -2.0-3.8*+0.0+0.9+2.9 | +0.1+0.2-0.0-0.0-0.1 | ||||||
| PriceE vs HudsonB | -2.0-4.8+0.3+1.2+1.3 | +0.1+0.2-0.0-0.0-0.0 | ||||||
| SharpJ vs HudsonB | -0.8-3.0+0.8+1.3+1.3 | +0.0+0.1-0.0-0.1-0.1 | ||||||
| GelfandJ vs LeeD2 | +0.9+0.9+0.5-1.9-0.4 | -0.1-0.1-0.0+0.1+0.0 | ||||||
| CurtinT vs AndrewsS | +0.8+0.9+0.5-1.7-0.3 | -0.1-0.1-0.0+0.1+0.0 | ||||||
| RizzoA vs ErnstS | -1.3-1.4-0.6+0.8+0.9 | +0.1+0.2+0.0-0.1-0.1 | ||||||
| HeffnerE vs HommeyerM | +0.5+0.2+0.5-1.7-0.4 | -0.0+0.0-0.0+0.1+0.0 | ||||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the HartleyK finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Rundle | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Rundle | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | T | playoffs | B | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | E | Count | |||||||
| 25 | 4 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | No | 0 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 36 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | No | 186,847 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 24 | 3 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 31 | 31 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0.1 | % | 221,877 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 23 | 3 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 30 | 35 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1.8 | 1,142,151 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 28 | 36 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 2.3 | 99,464 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 22 | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 29 | 45 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 16.8 | 1,012,404 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 34 | 40 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 10.7 | 145,914 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 0 | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 45 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 18.6 | 19,274 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 21 | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 38 | 40 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 53.2 | 2,572,504 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 35 | 43 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 57.3 | 293,972 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 1 | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 41 | 36 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 46.4 | 129,092 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 4 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 45 | 14 | 1 | 60.7 | 1,383 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 20 | 1 | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 46 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 85.3 | 1,486,561 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 45 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 77.1 | 656,623 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 1 | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 18 | 46 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 80.6 | 37,303 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 10 | 46 | 36 | 7 | 0 | 89.6 | 28,330 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 19 | 1 | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 49 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 97.9 | 2,495,365 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 3 | 27 | 48 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 96.8 | 379,809 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 22 | 50 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 98.8 | 212,180 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 6 | 33 | 46 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 94.1 | 41,965 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 1 | 3 | Out | No | 2 | 27 | 48 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 97.9 | 3,645 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | 1 | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 9 | 40 | 40 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 99.6 | 955,502 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 7 | 37 | 43 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 706,659 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 1 | - | 1 | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 8 | 40 | 41 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 99.9 | 54,025 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 2 | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 12 | 44 | 36 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 99.5 | 24,293 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 17 | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | No | 1 | 16 | 45 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 0 | Yes | 877,554 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 2 | - | 1 | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 19 | 46 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | 271,427 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 1 | - | 2 | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 24 | 46 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 100.0 | 122,216 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | Out | No | 2 | 24 | 46 | 23 | 4 | 0 | Yes | 3,446 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 16 | 0 | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 4 | 28 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | Yes | 446,925 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 1 | - | 2 | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 6 | 33 | 40 | 18 | 3 | 0 | Yes | 34,708 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 3 | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 8 | 37 | 38 | 15 | 2 | Yes | 5,204 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 15 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 38 | 16 | 1 | 0 | Yes | 85,892 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 3 | 1 | Out | No | 1 | 14 | 36 | 35 | 13 | 0 | Yes | 1,410 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 0 | 1 | - | 3 | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 3 | 18 | 42 | 33 | 4 | 0 | Yes | 7,219 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 0 | 0 | - | 4 | 0 | Out | No | 6 | 27 | 51 | 16 | 0 | Yes | 217 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0.0 | % | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 23 | 24 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 69.7 | % | 14,763,360 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:09 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
