GelfandJ Playoff Chances LL65Lost to BourkeR 4-5, Lost to BowmanD 3-6, Beat BreedingT 7-5, Lost to EsneaultG 3-4, Beat AndrewsS 8-6, Plays BrowneL 11:59 PM, Lost to ConeCW 1-3, Beat CurtinT 5-4, Tied ErnstS 2-2, Tied FreezeB 3-3, Beat HartleyK 5-3, Plays LeeD2 11:59 PM, Lost to MuttrejaR 1-6, Plays PriceE 11:59 PM, Beat RizzoA 8-0 (ot), Plays SharpJ 11:59 PM, Lost to WatsonKR 2-5, Lost to GrecoD 7-9, Lost to HeffnerE 3-5, Beat HommeyerM 6-4, Lost to HudsonB 4-7, Lost to JeziorskiM 1-3, Beat SamaK 2-1, Beat SkardonS 2-1, Beat TavelP 1-0 (ot), playoff odds down 34.3 to 1.4% 20 points 9 10-0 2 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain Monday, 6/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Rundle B | 100.0* | Rundle E | 100.0* | Average seed | SkardonS 1 GelfandJ 2 | +8.0 | | +1.3 | | -9.4 | | +1.5 | | BowmanD 6 GelfandJ 3 | -7.9 | | -4.2 | | +5.1 | | -1.2 | | HommeyerM 4 GelfandJ 6 | +7.8 | | +3.0 | | -7.4 | | +1.4 | | EsneaultG 4 GelfandJ 3 | -7.8 | | -1.3 | | +5.7 | | -1.1 | | BreedingT 5 GelfandJ 7 | +7.7 | | +4.6 | | -7.6 | | +1.6 | | HeffnerE 5 GelfandJ 3 | -7.3 | | -5.2 | | +5.5 | | -1.3 | | TavelP 0 GelfandJ 1 (ot) | +7.3 | | +3.8 | | -7.2 | | +1.5 | | JeziorskiM 3 GelfandJ 1 | -7.0 | | -4.7 | | +4.6 | | -1.2 | | GrecoD 9 GelfandJ 7 | -6.8 | | -1.9 | | +5.3 | | -1.1 | | HudsonB 7 GelfandJ 4 | -6.0 | | -0.4 | | +7.6 | | -1.1 | | GelfandJ 1 ConeCW 3 | -4.9 | | | | +7.1 | | -1.0 | | BourkeR 5 GelfandJ 4 | -4.3 | | | | +11.1 | | -1.3 | | GelfandJ 5 CurtinT 4 | +3.8 | | | | -11.6 | | +1.2 | | GelfandJ 1 MuttrejaR 6 | -2.8 | | | | +7.4 | | -0.8 | | GelfandJ 8 AndrewsS 6 | +2.3 | | | | -12.9 | | +1.4 | | SamaK 1 GelfandJ 2 | +1.6 | | | | -9.3 | | +0.9 | | GelfandJ 2 WatsonKR 5 | -1.5 | | | | +8.4 | | -0.8 | | GelfandJ 2 ErnstS 2 | -1.1 | | | | -1.0 | | -0.2 | | HudsonB 2 WatsonKR 5 | -0.7 | | | | -0.7 | | | | GelfandJ 3 FreezeB 3 | -0.7 | | | | -0.2 | | -0.1 | | GelfandJ 8 RizzoA 0 (ot) | +0.7 | | | | -7.5 | | +0.7 | | SkardonS 6 CurtinT 0 (ot) | +0.5 | | | | +0.5 | | | | ConeCW 4 FreezeB 7 | +0.4 | | | | +1.4 | | | | CurtinT 0 FreezeB 1E-05 (ot) | +0.4 | | | | +1.7 | | | | GelfandJ 5 HartleyK 3 | +0.4 | | | | -14.0 | | +1.0 | | HudsonB 4 MuttrejaR 7 | | | | | -0.5 | | | | HommeyerM 2 WatsonKR 3 | | | | | -0.4 | | | | MuttrejaR 0 CurtinT 5 | | | | | +0.7 | | | | HartleyK 8 JeziorskiM 6 | | | | | +1.0 | | | | HartleyK 4 HeffnerE 4 | *+0.2 | | | | | | | | HudsonB 1 CurtinT 3 | | | | | -0.4 | | | | SharpJ 3 HommeyerM 6 | | | | | +1.0 | | | | MuttrejaR 2 FreezeB 1 | | | | | -0.9 | | | | BowmanD 2 HartleyK 4 | | | | | +1.4 | | | | HudsonB 7 ConeCW 5 | | | | | +0.9 | | | | EsneaultG 8 FreezeB 4 | | | | | -0.7 | | | | GrecoG 7 BreedingT 5 | | | | | +0.7 | | | | SkardonS 0 WatsonKR 4 | | | | | -0.7 | | | | BrowneL 4 EsneaultG 6 | | | | | -1.2 | | | | SharpJ 6 HeffnerE 7 | | | | | +0.7 | | | | MuttrejaR 9 HartleyK 1 | | | | | -1.2 | | | | BrowneL 3 JeziorskiM 7 | | | | | -0.8 | | | | LeeD2 6 HommeyerM 4 | | | | | -0.6 | | | | HartleyK 5 TavelP 0 (ot) | | | | | +0.5 | | | | ErnstS 3 JeziorskiM 4 | | | | | -0.6 | | | | SamaK 5 MuttrejaR 9 | | | | | -0.5 | | | | GrecoG 3 ColemanK 9 | | | | | -0.3 | | | | PriceE 0 GrecoG 2 | | | | | +0.7 | | | | ColemanK 9 HeffnerE 1 | | | | | -0.3 | | | | GrecoD 9 HartleyK 2 | | | | | -0.4 | | | | AndrewsS 8 HommeyerM 3 | | | | | -0.4 | | | | EsneaultG 5 ErnstS 5 | | | | | +0.5 | | | | PriceE 1 JeziorskiM 7 | | | *No | | | | | | HeffnerE 3 TavelP 0 (ot) | | | | | +0.2 | | | | SamaK 0 HeffnerE 1 | | | | | +0.3 | | | | SharpJ 8 GrecoG 6 | | | | | -0.4 | | | | BowmanD 8 FreezeB 4 | | | | | -0.5 | | | | GrecoD 5 FreezeB 0 | | | | | -0.6 | | | | ErnstS 4 GrecoD 7 | | | | | -0.3 | | | | BreedingT 0 HeffnerE 6 | | | *No | | +1.1 | | | | HudsonB 3 LeeD2 1 | | | | | +2.9 | | -0.2 | | RizzoA 3 FreezeB 0 | | | | | -2.5 | | | | BrowneL 4 BowmanD 2 | | | | | +1.7 | | | | BourkeR 3 ErnstS 2 | | | | | -1.7 | | | | BrowneL 6 SkardonS 3 | | | | | +1.5 | | | | BrowneL 1 GrecoD 7 | | | | | -0.9 | | | | ErnstS 1E-06 TavelP 0 (ot) | | | | | +0.7 | | | | HudsonB 3 RizzoA 1 | | | | | +0.7 | | | | HudsonB 0 AndrewsS 6 | | | | | -0.7 | | | | BrowneL 8 TavelP 0 (ot) | | | | | +0.5 | | | | SkardonS 0 AndrewsS 7 | | | | | -0.4 | | | | RizzoA 3 HartleyK 3 | | | | | -0.4 | | | | ErnstS 4 BowmanD 5 | | | | | -0.4 | | | | BrowneL 2 ColemanK 7 | | | | | -0.3 | | | | SamaK 1 ColemanK 7 | | | | | -0.2 | | | | BourkeR 3 HartleyK 3 | | | | | *-0.1 | | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway | GelfandJ vs LeeD2 | +2.7+2.3-0.6-1.4-1.4 | | | | -4.9-4.8-2.6+9.9+2.3 | | +1.3+1.2+0.3-1.5-0.7 | | GelfandJ vs BrowneL | +1.4+1.1-0.9-1.4-1.4 | | | | -5.2-5.3-2.7+15.8+5.7 | | +1.0+0.9+0.0-1.8-1.0 | | ConeCW vs HartleyK | -0.1-0.1+0.1+0.2+0.2 | | | | -0.7-1.2+0.1+1.0+1.3 | | -0.1-0.0+0.0+0.2+0.1 | | FreezeB vs WatsonKR | | | | | +1.7+1.6+0.4-1.6-0.7 | | -0.1-0.1-0.0+0.1+0.1 | | CurtinT vs HartleyK | | | | | -0.6-1.1+0.3+0.6+1.2 | | -0.1-0.0+0.0+0.3+0.1 | | BourkeR vs BrowneL | | | | | -1.8-2.4-0.4+1.0+1.2 | | +0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0 | | SamaK vs FreezeB | | | | | -1.4-2.0-0.3+0.8+0.9 | | +0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the GelfandJ finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Rundle | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Rundle | | TP | W | | L | - | OT | | T | playoffs | B | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | E | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 28 | | 4 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 32.1 | % | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 522,847 | | 27 | | 3 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | 6.7 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 41 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 487,833 | | 26 | | 3 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 0.6 | | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 37 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,098,593 | | | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 0.5 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 38 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 167,957 | | 25 | | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 37 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,425,673 | | | 3 | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 37 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 268,223 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 0 | 3 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 26 | 39 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 25,231 | | 24 | | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 37 | 26 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 0.0 | % | 2,981,475 | | | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 38 | 25 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 315,360 | | | 2 | 0 | - | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 38 | 21 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 182,702 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 4 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 6 | 26 | 37 | 25 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,405 | | 23 | | 1 | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 39 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 0.2 | | 1,295,620 | | | 2 | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 39 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 0.1 | | 760,335 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 1 | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 39 | 21 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 0.1 | | 40,185 | | | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 40 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 0.1 | | 23,108 | | 22 | | 1 | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 43 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 3.4 | | 1,739,376 | | | 1 | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 42 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 1.9 | | 332,191 | | | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 43 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 3.2 | | 138,299 | | | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 41 | 14 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 1.2 | | 48,376 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 1 | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 8 | 33 | 42 | 15 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 1.6 | | 2,921 | | 21 | | 1 | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 33 | 41 | 16 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | 17.4 | | 666,209 | | | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 41 | 21 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | 23.9 | | 364,600 | | | 0 | 1 | - | 1 | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 35 | 41 | 14 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 15.4 | | 35,199 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 2 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 38 | 39 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 11.4 | | 20,924 | | 20 | | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 42 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 62.3 | | 353,467 | | | 0 | 2 | - | 1 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 35 | 39 | 14 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 53.6 | | 139,377 | | | 1 | 1 | - | 2 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 39 | 35 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 46.5 | | 84,838 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 12 | 41 | 34 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 45.8 | | 2,168 | | 19 | | 0 | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 40 | 37 | 9 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 86.3 | | 179,220 | | | 0 | 1 | - | 2 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 17 | 42 | 32 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | 80.8 | | 17,676 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 3 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 22 | 42 | 28 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | 75.2 | | 3,704 | | 18 | | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 19 | 46 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 97.9 | | 34,368 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 3 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 21 | 44 | 28 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | 96.6 | | 783 | | 17 | | 0 | 1 | - | 3 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 32 | 43 | 18 | 2 | 0 | | | | | 99.8 | | 3,029 | | 16 | | 0 | 0 | - | 4 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | 43 | 40 | 10 | | | | | | Yes | 88 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 1.4 | % | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 5.6 | % | 14,763,360 | |
Chance Will Make Playoffs |