"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday, 6/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
SkardonS 1 GelfandJ 2 +8.0
+1.3
-9.4
+1.5
BowmanD 6 GelfandJ 3 -7.9
-4.2
+5.1
-1.2
HommeyerM 4 GelfandJ 6 +7.8
+3.0
-7.4
+1.4
EsneaultG 4 GelfandJ 3 -7.8
-1.3
+5.7
-1.1
BreedingT 5 GelfandJ 7 +7.7
+4.6
-7.6
+1.6
HeffnerE 5 GelfandJ 3 -7.3
-5.2
+5.5
-1.3
TavelP 0 GelfandJ 1 (ot)+7.3
+3.8
-7.2
+1.5
JeziorskiM 3 GelfandJ 1 -7.0
-4.7
+4.6
-1.2
GrecoD 9 GelfandJ 7 -6.8
-1.9
+5.3
-1.1
HudsonB 7 GelfandJ 4 -6.0
-0.4
+7.6
-1.1
GelfandJ 1 ConeCW 3 -4.9
+7.1
-1.0
BourkeR 5 GelfandJ 4 -4.3
+11.1
-1.3
GelfandJ 5 CurtinT 4 +3.8
-11.6
+1.2
GelfandJ 1 MuttrejaR 6 -2.8
+7.4
-0.8
GelfandJ 8 AndrewsS 6 +2.3
-12.9
+1.4
SamaK 1 GelfandJ 2 +1.6
-9.3
+0.9
GelfandJ 2 WatsonKR 5 -1.5
+8.4
-0.8
GelfandJ 2 ErnstS 2 -1.1
-1.0
-0.2
HudsonB 2 WatsonKR 5 -0.7
-0.7
GelfandJ 3 FreezeB 3 -0.7
-0.2
-0.1
GelfandJ 8 RizzoA 0 (ot)+0.7
-7.5
+0.7
SkardonS 6 CurtinT 0 (ot)+0.5
+0.5
ConeCW 4 FreezeB 7 +0.4
+1.4
CurtinT 0 FreezeB 1E-05 (ot)+0.4
+1.7
GelfandJ 5 HartleyK 3 +0.4
-14.0
+1.0
HudsonB 4 MuttrejaR 7 -0.5
HommeyerM 2 WatsonKR 3 -0.4
MuttrejaR 0 CurtinT 5 +0.7
HartleyK 8 JeziorskiM 6 +1.0
HartleyK 4 HeffnerE 4 *+0.2
HudsonB 1 CurtinT 3 -0.4
SharpJ 3 HommeyerM 6 +1.0
MuttrejaR 2 FreezeB 1 -0.9
BowmanD 2 HartleyK 4 +1.4
HudsonB 7 ConeCW 5 +0.9
EsneaultG 8 FreezeB 4 -0.7
GrecoG 7 BreedingT 5 +0.7
SkardonS 0 WatsonKR 4 -0.7
BrowneL 4 EsneaultG 6 -1.2
SharpJ 6 HeffnerE 7 +0.7
MuttrejaR 9 HartleyK 1 -1.2
BrowneL 3 JeziorskiM 7 -0.8
LeeD2 6 HommeyerM 4 -0.6
HartleyK 5 TavelP 0 (ot)+0.5
ErnstS 3 JeziorskiM 4 -0.6
SamaK 5 MuttrejaR 9 -0.5
GrecoG 3 ColemanK 9 -0.3
PriceE 0 GrecoG 2 +0.7
ColemanK 9 HeffnerE 1 -0.3
GrecoD 9 HartleyK 2 -0.4
AndrewsS 8 HommeyerM 3 -0.4
EsneaultG 5 ErnstS 5 +0.5
PriceE 1 JeziorskiM 7 *No
HeffnerE 3 TavelP 0 (ot)+0.2
SamaK 0 HeffnerE 1 +0.3
SharpJ 8 GrecoG 6 -0.4
BowmanD 8 FreezeB 4 -0.5
GrecoD 5 FreezeB 0 -0.6
ErnstS 4 GrecoD 7 -0.3
BreedingT 0 HeffnerE 6 *No
+1.1
HudsonB 3 LeeD2 1 +2.9
-0.2
RizzoA 3 FreezeB 0 -2.5
BrowneL 4 BowmanD 2 +1.7
BourkeR 3 ErnstS 2 -1.7
BrowneL 6 SkardonS 3 +1.5
BrowneL 1 GrecoD 7 -0.9
ErnstS 1E-06 TavelP 0 (ot)+0.7
HudsonB 3 RizzoA 1 +0.7
HudsonB 0 AndrewsS 6 -0.7
BrowneL 8 TavelP 0 (ot)+0.5
SkardonS 0 AndrewsS 7 -0.4
RizzoA 3 HartleyK 3 -0.4
ErnstS 4 BowmanD 5 -0.4
BrowneL 2 ColemanK 7 -0.3
SamaK 1 ColemanK 7 -0.2
BourkeR 3 HartleyK 3 *-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
GelfandJ vs LeeD2+2.7+2.3-0.6-1.4-1.4
-4.9-4.8-2.6+9.9+2.3
+1.3+1.2+0.3-1.5-0.7
GelfandJ vs BrowneL+1.4+1.1-0.9-1.4-1.4
-5.2-5.3-2.7+15.8+5.7
+1.0+0.9+0.0-1.8-1.0
ConeCW vs HartleyK-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.2+0.2
-0.7-1.2+0.1+1.0+1.3
-0.1-0.0+0.0+0.2+0.1
FreezeB vs WatsonKR+1.7+1.6+0.4-1.6-0.7
-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.1+0.1
CurtinT vs HartleyK-0.6-1.1+0.3+0.6+1.2
-0.1-0.0+0.0+0.3+0.1
BourkeR vs BrowneL-1.8-2.4-0.4+1.0+1.2
+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0
SamaK vs FreezeB-1.4-2.0-0.3+0.8+0.9
+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the GelfandJ finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inRundleChance will finish regular season at seedRundle
TPWL-OTTplayoffsB12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728ECount
2840-0032.1%No004284122400No522,847
2730-016.7No006284121400No487,833
2631-000.6No017263723610No2,098,593
20-020.5No00062638236100No167,957
2521-010.0No017263723610No1,425,673
30-100.0No0110293719400No268,223
10-030.0No007263922500No25,231
2422-000.0No00162337267000.0%2,981,475
11-02OutNo01624382560No315,360
20-110.0No001827382140No182,702
00-04OutNo1626372550No1,405
2312-01OutNo00162439255000.21,295,620
21-10OutNo00182739223000.1760,335
10-12OutNo018283921300.140,185
01-03OutNo0162540244000.123,108
2213-00OutNo00162643223003.41,739,376
11-11OutNo0183042172001.9332,191
02-02OutNo0162643213003.2138,299
20-20OutNo0110334114101.248,376
00-13OutNo18334215201.62,921
2112-10OutNo0183341162017.4666,209
03-01OutNo00062841213023.9364,600
01-12OutNo0193541141015.435,199
10-21OutNo01113839101011.420,924
2004-00OutNo00730421820062.3353,467
02-11OutNo001103539141053.6139,377
11-20OutNo001133935111046.584,838
00-22OutNo1124134111045.82,168
1903-10OutNo00113403790086.3179,220
01-21OutNo021742327080.817,676
10-30OutNo032242285075.23,704
1802-20OutNo0219462940097.934,368
00-31OutNo032144283096.6783
1701-30OutNo053243182099.83,029
1600-40OutNo7434010Yes88
Total:1.4%No000137111517171484100005.6%14,763,360
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs