ConeCW Playoff Chances LL65Beat BourkeR 6-3, Lost to BowmanD 1-7, Plays AndrewsS 11:59 PM, Lost to BreedingT 4-5, Beat ColemanK 7-5, Plays ErnstS 11:59 PM, Lost to FreezeB 4-7, Beat GrecoG 2-0, Plays HartleyK 11:59 PM, Lost to HeffnerE 0-1, Beat PriceE 5-1, Lost to SharpJ 2-4, Plays WatsonKR 11:59 PM, Lost to CurtinT 1-6, Tied EsneaultG 4-4, Beat GelfandJ 3-1, Lost to GrecoD 3-9, Beat HommeyerM 6-1, Lost to HudsonB 5-7, Lost to JeziorskiM 2-4, Beat MuttrejaR 2-1, Tied RizzoA 1-1, Beat SamaK 4-1, Beat SkardonS 2-0, Beat TavelP 5-0 (ot), playoff odds down 27.8 to 7.9% 22 points 10 9-0 2 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain Monday, 6/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Rundle B | 100.0* | Rundle E | 100.0* | Average seed | MuttrejaR 1 ConeCW 2 | +15.2 | | +0.1 | | -1.1 | | +1.0 | | ConeCW 4 FreezeB 7 | -14.9 | | | | +0.4 | | -1.1 | | CurtinT 6 ConeCW 1 | -14.8 | | | | +0.3 | | -0.9 | | GelfandJ 1 ConeCW 3 | +10.5 | | | | -3.1 | | +1.0 | | HudsonB 7 ConeCW 5 | -10.3 | | -0.2 | | +4.0 | | -1.1 | | GrecoD 9 ConeCW 3 | -9.1 | | -1.7 | | +3.2 | | -1.0 | | SkardonS 0 ConeCW 2 | +8.9 | | +0.3 | | -7.3 | | +1.3 | | ConeCW 0 HeffnerE 1 | -8.8 | | -5.6 | | +4.6 | | -1.3 | | ConeCW 4 BreedingT 5 | -8.8 | | -7.5 | | +3.7 | | -1.3 | | ConeCW 7 ColemanK 5 | +8.6 | | +7.1 | | -4.4 | | +1.4 | | BowmanD 7 ConeCW 1 | -8.5 | | -5.1 | | +1.1 | | -1.0 | | ConeCW 2 GrecoG 0 | +7.9 | | +4.8 | | -6.6 | | +1.5 | | HommeyerM 1 ConeCW 6 | +7.5 | | +2.5 | | -2.9 | | +0.9 | | JeziorskiM 4 ConeCW 2 | -7.2 | | -5.6 | | +1.9 | | -1.0 | | ConeCW 2 SharpJ 4 | -7.0 | | -4.2 | | +6.9 | | -1.5 | | ConeCW 5 PriceE 1 | +6.9 | | +3.1 | | -8.6 | | +1.6 | | TavelP 0 ConeCW 5 (ot) | +6.9 | | +2.4 | | -4.2 | | +1.0 | | RizzoA 1 ConeCW 1 | -6.7 | | | | +0.1 | | -0.4 | | SamaK 1 ConeCW 4 | +6.2 | | | | -0.8 | | +0.6 | | BourkeR 3 ConeCW 6 | +5.6 | | | | -4.5 | | +0.8 | | CurtinT 0 FreezeB 1E-05 (ot) | +4.1 | | | | | | +0.2 | | GrecoG 6 GrecoD 4 | -3.0 | | | | | | -0.2 | | GelfandJ 2 WatsonKR 5 | -1.9 | | | | | | | | HudsonB 2 WatsonKR 5 | -1.8 | | | | | | | | BourkeR 1 WatsonKR 3 | -1.7 | | | | | | | | BourkeR 7 CurtinT 3 | +1.6 | | | | | | | | GrecoG 7 BowmanD 4 | -1.5 | | | | | | -0.2 | | BrowneL 4 EsneaultG 6 | -1.5 | | | | | | | | SharpJ 7 BowmanD 8 | +1.5 | | | | | | | | MuttrejaR 9 HartleyK 1 | -1.4 | | | | | | | | PriceE 5 HeffnerE 1 | +1.4 | | | | | | | | GrecoG 1 JeziorskiM 5 | +1.3 | | | | | | | | SharpJ 3 SkardonS 1 | -1.3 | | | | | | | | MuttrejaR 2 FreezeB 1 | -1.3 | | | | | | | | BrowneL 6 HeffnerE 2 | +1.3 | | | | | | | | EsneaultG 2 LeeD2 4 | +1.2 | | | | | | | | MuttrejaR 2 AndrewsS 9 | +1.1 | | | | | | | | SkardonS 0 WatsonKR 4 | -1.0 | | | | | | | | WatsonKR 7 JeziorskiM 4 | -1.0 | | +0.4 | | | | | | EsneaultG 8 FreezeB 4 | -1.0 | | | | | | | | SkardonS 0 FreezeB 4 | +0.9 | | | | | | | | SamaK 0 CurtinT 1 | -0.8 | | | | | | | | GrecoD 6 WatsonKR 3 | +0.8 | | | | | | | | SharpJ 6 HeffnerE 7 | -0.8 | | | | | | | | SharpJ 3 HommeyerM 6 | +0.8 | | | | | | | | SharpJ 5 GrecoD 5 | -0.8 | | | | | | | | RizzoA 0 WatsonKR 4 | -0.7 | | | | | | | | GrecoD 6 CurtinT 9 | -0.7 | | +0.4 | | | | | | PriceE 1 HommeyerM 3 | -0.7 | | | | | | | | MuttrejaR 2 WatsonKR 3 | -0.7 | | | | | | | | GelfandJ 1 MuttrejaR 6 | -0.6 | | | | -0.3 | | | | HommeyerM 2 WatsonKR 3 | -0.6 | | | | | | | | ColemanK 6 HommeyerM 1 | +0.6 | | | | | | | | SharpJ 4 EsneaultG 7 | +0.6 | | | | | | | | RizzoA 1 CurtinT 6 | -0.6 | | | | | | | | EsneaultG 7 RizzoA 1 | -0.6 | | | | | | | | HudsonB 4 MuttrejaR 7 | -0.6 | | | | | | | | GrecoG 3 ColemanK 9 | +0.6 | | | | | | | | BourkeR 1 MuttrejaR 5 | -0.5 | | | | | | | | SamaK 5 MuttrejaR 9 | -0.5 | | | | | | | | CurtinT 5 WatsonKR 9 | -0.5 | | | | | | | | HeffnerE 5 JeziorskiM 9 | +0.5 | | *No | | | | | | GrecoG 5 TavelP 0 (ot) | -0.5 | | | | | | | | EsneaultG 3 AndrewsS 6 | +0.5 | | | | | | | | BowmanD 3 WatsonKR 1 | +0.5 | | | | | | | | GrecoD 9 HartleyK 2 | +0.4 | | | | | | | | BowmanD 5 RizzoA 0 | -0.4 | | -0.3 | | | | | | EsneaultG 5 ErnstS 5 | +0.4 | | | | | | | | AndrewsS 9 HeffnerE 2 | +0.4 | | -0.3 | | | | | | ColemanK 9 HeffnerE 1 | +0.4 | | | | | | | | SharpJ 2 BreedingT 0 | -0.3 | | | | | | | | MuttrejaR 6 RizzoA 1 | -0.3 | | | | | | | | LeeD2 4 PriceE 3 | | | -0.5 | | | | | | BrowneL 1 SharpJ 2 | | | -0.5 | | | | | | EsneaultG 4 ConeCW 4 | *+0.1 | | | | -1.1 | | +0.1 | | BourkeR 2 LeeD2 6 | | | *No | | | | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway | ConeCW vs WatsonKR | +9.4+9.1-1.1-7.4-5.9 | | | | -0.6-0.6-0.5+2.4+0.3 | | +1.1+1.1+0.3-1.5-0.7 | | ConeCW vs HartleyK | +4.8+3.9-3.0-7.6-6.5 | | | | -0.6-0.6-0.5+4.0+0.8 | | +0.8+0.7-0.1-1.9-1.1 | | BourkeR vs SharpJ | +2.7+4.8+0.6-1.1-1.2 | | | | | | +0.1+0.2+0.0-0.0-0.1 | | SharpJ vs HudsonB | -1.6-1.5+0.2+4.1+2.0 | | | | -0.0-0.2+0.0+0.1+0.1 | | +0.0+0.1-0.0+0.1-0.0 | | GrecoG vs SkardonS | -1.5-1.4+0.3+3.6+2.4 | | | | | | -0.1-0.1+0.0+0.2+0.1 | | MuttrejaR vs ErnstS | -1.0-1.0+0.3+4.1+2.3 | | | | -0.1-0.1*+0.0+0.2+0.2 | | -0.0-0.0+0.0+0.2+0.1 | | GrecoG vs EsneaultG | -1.7-0.7-0.7+2.7+1.3 | | | | | | -0.1-0.1-0.0+0.2+0.1 | | MuttrejaR vs LeeD2 | -1.5-1.5-0.5+2.8+1.2 | | | | | | -0.0-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.0 | | PriceE vs EsneaultG | +0.8+1.8*+0.0-0.4-0.3 | | | | | | +0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the ConeCW finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Rundle | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Rundle | | TP | W | | L | - | OT | | T | playoffs | B | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | E | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 30 | | 4 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 87.1 | % | No | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 35 | 39 | 12 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 392,390 | | 29 | | 3 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | 57.2 | | No | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 14 | 41 | 34 | 9 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 412,955 | | 28 | | 3 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 23.1 | | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 43 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,958,458 | | | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 22.7 | | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 43 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 154,348 | | 27 | | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | 5.0 | | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 47 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,402,183 | | | 3 | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | 7.1 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 46 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 249,188 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 0 | 3 | 4.9 | | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 27 | 47 | 18 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 24,240 | | 26 | | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 39 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,082,699 | | | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | 0.4 | | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 32 | 40 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 320,344 | | | 2 | 0 | - | 1 | 1 | 0.7 | | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 36 | 38 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 178,705 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 4 | 0.2 | | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 33 | 40 | 17 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,406 | | 25 | | 1 | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 33 | 35 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,354,411 | | | 2 | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 14 | 36 | 33 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 786,043 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 15 | 37 | 32 | 12 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 40,644 | | | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 3 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 34 | 35 | 15 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 23,930 | | 24 | | 1 | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 35 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 0.0 | % | 1,836,319 | | | 1 | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 14 | 33 | 33 | 16 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 345,616 | | | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 35 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 0.0 | | 145,140 | | | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 17 | 35 | 31 | 12 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 50,039 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 1 | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 14 | 34 | 34 | 15 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,927 | | 23 | | 1 | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 30 | 35 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 0.1 | | 702,799 | | | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 36 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 0.2 | | 382,280 | | | 0 | 1 | - | 1 | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 30 | 35 | 18 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 0.1 | | 37,073 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 2 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 15 | 32 | 33 | 15 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 0.0 | | 22,227 | | 22 | | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 39 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 4.8 | | 368,487 | | | 0 | 2 | - | 1 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 10 | 30 | 39 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 2.2 | | 146,395 | | | 1 | 1 | - | 2 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 33 | 37 | 14 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 1.3 | | 89,833 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 15 | 35 | 34 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 1.2 | | 2,349 | | 21 | | 0 | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 41 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 23.2 | | 187,814 | | | 0 | 1 | - | 2 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 40 | 14 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | 15.1 | | 18,486 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 3 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 13 | 37 | 38 | 9 | 1 | | | | | | | | | 10.2 | | 3,794 | | 20 | | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 32 | 39 | 18 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | 59.5 | | 35,978 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 3 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 1 | 11 | 35 | 37 | 14 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 52.5 | | 772 | | 19 | | 0 | 1 | - | 3 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 12 | 39 | 36 | 12 | 0 | | | | | | | 87.6 | | 2,992 | | 18 | | 0 | 0 | - | 4 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 21 | 45 | 27 | 6 | 1 | | | | | | Yes | 96 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 7.9 | % | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 19 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 0.6 | % | 14,763,360 | |
Chance Will Make Playoffs |