How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday, 6/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
MuttrejaR 1 ConeCW 2 +15.2
+0.1
-1.1
+1.0
ConeCW 4 FreezeB 7 -14.9
+0.4
-1.1
CurtinT 6 ConeCW 1 -14.8
+0.3
-0.9
GelfandJ 1 ConeCW 3 +10.5
-3.1
+1.0
HudsonB 7 ConeCW 5 -10.3
-0.2
+4.0
-1.1
GrecoD 9 ConeCW 3 -9.1
-1.7
+3.2
-1.0
SkardonS 0 ConeCW 2 +8.9
+0.3
-7.3
+1.3
ConeCW 0 HeffnerE 1 -8.8
-5.6
+4.6
-1.3
ConeCW 4 BreedingT 5 -8.8
-7.5
+3.7
-1.3
ConeCW 7 ColemanK 5 +8.6
+7.1
-4.4
+1.4
BowmanD 7 ConeCW 1 -8.5
-5.1
+1.1
-1.0
ConeCW 2 GrecoG 0 +7.9
+4.8
-6.6
+1.5
HommeyerM 1 ConeCW 6 +7.5
+2.5
-2.9
+0.9
JeziorskiM 4 ConeCW 2 -7.2
-5.6
+1.9
-1.0
ConeCW 2 SharpJ 4 -7.0
-4.2
+6.9
-1.5
ConeCW 5 PriceE 1 +6.9
+3.1
-8.6
+1.6
TavelP 0 ConeCW 5 (ot)+6.9
+2.4
-4.2
+1.0
RizzoA 1 ConeCW 1 -6.7
+0.1
-0.4
SamaK 1 ConeCW 4 +6.2
-0.8
+0.6
BourkeR 3 ConeCW 6 +5.6
-4.5
+0.8
CurtinT 0 FreezeB 1E-05 (ot)+4.1
+0.2
GrecoG 6 GrecoD 4 -3.0
-0.2
GelfandJ 2 WatsonKR 5 -1.9
HudsonB 2 WatsonKR 5 -1.8
BourkeR 1 WatsonKR 3 -1.7
BourkeR 7 CurtinT 3 +1.6
GrecoG 7 BowmanD 4 -1.5
-0.2
BrowneL 4 EsneaultG 6 -1.5
SharpJ 7 BowmanD 8 +1.5
MuttrejaR 9 HartleyK 1 -1.4
PriceE 5 HeffnerE 1 +1.4
GrecoG 1 JeziorskiM 5 +1.3
SharpJ 3 SkardonS 1 -1.3
MuttrejaR 2 FreezeB 1 -1.3
BrowneL 6 HeffnerE 2 +1.3
EsneaultG 2 LeeD2 4 +1.2
MuttrejaR 2 AndrewsS 9 +1.1
SkardonS 0 WatsonKR 4 -1.0
WatsonKR 7 JeziorskiM 4 -1.0
+0.4
EsneaultG 8 FreezeB 4 -1.0
SkardonS 0 FreezeB 4 +0.9
SamaK 0 CurtinT 1 -0.8
GrecoD 6 WatsonKR 3 +0.8
SharpJ 6 HeffnerE 7 -0.8
SharpJ 3 HommeyerM 6 +0.8
SharpJ 5 GrecoD 5 -0.8
RizzoA 0 WatsonKR 4 -0.7
GrecoD 6 CurtinT 9 -0.7
+0.4
PriceE 1 HommeyerM 3 -0.7
MuttrejaR 2 WatsonKR 3 -0.7
GelfandJ 1 MuttrejaR 6 -0.6
-0.3
HommeyerM 2 WatsonKR 3 -0.6
ColemanK 6 HommeyerM 1 +0.6
SharpJ 4 EsneaultG 7 +0.6
RizzoA 1 CurtinT 6 -0.6
EsneaultG 7 RizzoA 1 -0.6
HudsonB 4 MuttrejaR 7 -0.6
GrecoG 3 ColemanK 9 +0.6
BourkeR 1 MuttrejaR 5 -0.5
SamaK 5 MuttrejaR 9 -0.5
CurtinT 5 WatsonKR 9 -0.5
HeffnerE 5 JeziorskiM 9 +0.5
*No
GrecoG 5 TavelP 0 (ot)-0.5
EsneaultG 3 AndrewsS 6 +0.5
BowmanD 3 WatsonKR 1 +0.5
GrecoD 9 HartleyK 2 +0.4
BowmanD 5 RizzoA 0 -0.4
-0.3
EsneaultG 5 ErnstS 5 +0.4
AndrewsS 9 HeffnerE 2 +0.4
-0.3
ColemanK 9 HeffnerE 1 +0.4
SharpJ 2 BreedingT 0 -0.3
MuttrejaR 6 RizzoA 1 -0.3
LeeD2 4 PriceE 3 -0.5
BrowneL 1 SharpJ 2 -0.5
EsneaultG 4 ConeCW 4 *+0.1
-1.1
+0.1
BourkeR 2 LeeD2 6 *No
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
ConeCW vs WatsonKR+9.4+9.1-1.1-7.4-5.9
-0.6-0.6-0.5+2.4+0.3
+1.1+1.1+0.3-1.5-0.7
ConeCW vs HartleyK+4.8+3.9-3.0-7.6-6.5
-0.6-0.6-0.5+4.0+0.8
+0.8+0.7-0.1-1.9-1.1
BourkeR vs SharpJ+2.7+4.8+0.6-1.1-1.2
+0.1+0.2+0.0-0.0-0.1
SharpJ vs HudsonB-1.6-1.5+0.2+4.1+2.0
-0.0-0.2+0.0+0.1+0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.0+0.1-0.0
GrecoG vs SkardonS-1.5-1.4+0.3+3.6+2.4
-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.2+0.1
MuttrejaR vs ErnstS-1.0-1.0+0.3+4.1+2.3
-0.1-0.1*+0.0+0.2+0.2
-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.2+0.1
GrecoG vs EsneaultG-1.7-0.7-0.7+2.7+1.3
-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.2+0.1
MuttrejaR vs LeeD2-1.5-1.5-0.5+2.8+1.2
-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.0
PriceE vs EsneaultG+0.8+1.8*+0.0-0.4-0.3
+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the ConeCW finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inRundleChance will finish regular season at seedRundle
TPWL-OTTplayoffsB12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728ECount
3040-0087.1%No01113539121No392,390
2930-0157.2No0214413490No412,955
2831-0023.1No0032143304000No1,958,458
20-0222.7No002204330400No154,348
2721-015.0No0005274719200No1,402,183
30-107.1No007314614100No249,188
10-034.9No0527471820No24,240
2622-000.5No0073139184000No3,082,699
11-020.4No007324018300No320,344
20-110.7No019363814200No178,705
00-040.2No0733401730No1,406
2512-010.0No0111333516400No1,354,411
21-100.0No0114363313200No786,043
10-120.0No011537321220No40,644
01-030.0No011234351530No23,930
2413-000.0No001102835205000.0%1,836,319
11-11OutNo021433331630No345,616
02-02OutNo01102935205000.0145,140
20-20OutNo031735311220No50,039
00-13OutNo021434341520No2,927
2312-10OutNo002123035183000.1702,799
03-01OutNo00192636224000.2382,280
01-12OutNo00212303518200.137,073
10-21OutNo0315323315200.022,227
2204-00OutNo00172439244004.8368,487
02-11OutNo02103039172002.2146,395
11-20OutNo00213333714101.389,833
00-22OutNo0315353411101.22,349
2103-10OutNo001728411940023.2187,814
01-21OutNo01103340142015.118,486
10-30OutNo021337389110.23,794
2002-20OutNo0173239183059.535,978
00-31OutNo01113537141052.5772
1901-30OutNo112393612087.62,992
1800-40OutNo21452761Yes96
Total:7.9%No000261220191511842100000.6%14,763,360
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs