How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday, 6/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
CurtinT 1 ColemanK 3 +8.2
+6.9
-4.9
+1.4
FreezeB 3 ColemanK 7 +7.8
+5.7
-3.8
+1.2
RizzoA 4 ColemanK 6 +7.7
+5.3
-6.1
+1.4
ColemanK 9 MuttrejaR 6 +7.7
+4.6
-7.6
+1.6
WatsonKR 1 ColemanK 7 +7.7
+7.7
-2.5
+1.2
ConeCW 7 ColemanK 5 -6.9
-7.6
+2.6
-1.1
HartleyK 2 ColemanK 8 +4.7
+7.0
-0.8
+0.8
AndrewsS 6 ColemanK 9 +3.7
+11.0
-0.3
+0.9
ErnstS 1 ColemanK 8 +1.7
+6.5
+0.5
LeeD2 2 ColemanK 8 +0.9
+7.8
+0.5
BowmanD 2 BourkeR 3 +0.3
+0.6
LeeD2 2 BrowneL 1 -0.5
BrowneL 2 ColemanK 7 +0.2
+3.4
+0.3
GrecoD 4 BourkeR 1 -0.4
JeziorskiM 9 CurtinT 8 -0.2
JeziorskiM 7 RizzoA 0 -0.5
JeziorskiM 4 ConeCW 2 -0.3
HommeyerM 2 MuttrejaR 1 +0.4
SharpJ 1 ColemanK 4 +4.8
No
+0.4
BowmanD 4 HudsonB 3 -0.4
BowmanD 5 RizzoA 0 -0.6
HeffnerE 1 RizzoA 1 *+0.2
ErnstS 0 SharpJ 6 -0.4
WatsonKR 7 JeziorskiM 4 +0.6
HommeyerM 1 CurtinT 4 -0.4
GrecoD 6 CurtinT 9 +0.7
SamaK 3 SharpJ 2 +1.5
BowmanD 4 MuttrejaR 4 *+0.2
JeziorskiM 3 GelfandJ 1 -0.2
GrecoD 4 EsneaultG 6 +0.4
GrecoD 5 MuttrejaR 4 -0.6
LeeD2 2 GrecoG 1 -0.8
HartleyK 4 SharpJ 7 -0.4
BowmanD 7 ConeCW 1 -0.6
GrecoD 3 RizzoA 0 -0.7
BrowneL 1 SharpJ 2 -0.7
JeziorskiM 6 FreezeB 4 -0.6
AndrewsS 9 BreedingT 3 -0.7
AndrewsS 6 BrowneL 0 -0.4
SharpJ 5 PriceE 3 -0.6
AndrewsS 9 HeffnerE 2 -0.6
PriceE 1 ColemanK 3 +1.6
No
+0.1
GrecoD 9 ConeCW 3 -0.6
GrecoG 3 ColemanK 9 +1.8
+0.2
LeeD2 8 BreedingT 2 -0.5
BowmanD 3 WatsonKR 1 -0.4
SamaK 1 ColemanK 7 +0.8
+0.1
GrecoD 5 FreezeB 0 -0.5
ColemanK 6 BreedingT 6 -0.5
-0.1
ColemanK 9 HeffnerE 1 +1.3
+0.1
ColemanK 8 TavelP 0 (ot)*In
+0.3
+0.0
MuttrejaR 2 FreezeB 1 *In
PriceE 1 HommeyerM 3 *In
ColemanK 6 HommeyerM 1 +1.9
+0.2
ColemanK 5 JeziorskiM 6 -1.4
-0.2
AndrewsS 4 GrecoG 6 +1.2
HudsonB 3 LeeD2 1 +0.9
HartleyK 8 JeziorskiM 6 +0.9
GrecoG 7 BowmanD 4 +0.8
LeeD2 4 PriceE 3 -0.7
GrecoD 9 GelfandJ 7 -0.6
GelfandJ 8 AndrewsS 6 +0.6
BowmanD 2 HartleyK 4 +0.6
SharpJ 8 GrecoG 6 -0.5
ColemanK 6 BowmanD 4 +0.5
+0.1
LeeD2 6 HeffnerE 3 -0.5
BowmanD 8 FreezeB 4 -0.5
AndrewsS 9 PriceE 0 -0.5
BowmanD 5 CurtinT 3 -0.4
GrecoD 6 WatsonKR 3 -0.4
BreedingT 6 JeziorskiM 6 +0.4
GrecoD 9 HartleyK 2 -0.3
PriceE 4 GrecoD 5 -0.3
LeeD2 5 TavelP 0 (ot)-0.2
AndrewsS 9 TavelP 0 (ot)-0.2
AndrewsS 8 HommeyerM 3 -0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
ColemanK vs SkardonS+0.1+0.1+0.0-1.6-0.4
+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.4-0.2
ColemanK vs GrecoD+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.8-0.1
+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.3-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the ColemanK finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inRundleChance will finish regular season at seedRundle
TPWL-OTTplayoffsB12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728ECount
41-45InYes100No13,023,530*
4012-01InYes742600No490,172
21-10InYes762400No432,957
10-12InYes75250No30,524
01-03InYes74260No11,447
3913-00In100.0%35461720No323,992
11-11In100.041451410No125,101
02-02In100.040451410No35,401
20-20InYes4244131No27,590
00-13InYes4445110No1,501
3812-10In99.0124036111No123,828
03-01In98.7103739131No46,471
01-12In99.1123937121No9,133
10-21In99.014413491No8,024
3704-00In84.91103539150No23,267
02-11In88.01133737120No17,499
11-20In89.02143836110No15,746
00-22In87.1212353813No604
3603-10In59.0021541365No11,095
01-21In61.7021743344No2,298
10-30In64.4041942305No702
3502-20In25.102234826No2,191
00-31In25.25205421No115
3401-30In4.853043194No166
3300-40InNo503317No6
Total:In99.9%954100000No14,763,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs